Publications

Global Climate Projections, Sea Level Rise, and Extreme Precipitation: Final report to the Port Gamble S’Klallam Tribe

Citation

Mauger, G.S., K. Hegewisch, I.M. Miller, J.S. Won, C. Lynch (2018). Global Climate Projections, Sea Level Rise, and Extreme Precipitation: Final report to the Port Gamble S’Klallam Tribe. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle.

 


Abstract

About this Report

This report describes the results of Tasks B-D in the attached scope of work (Appendix A). Other tasks (Tasks A, E, and F) are covered in separate reports (Port Gamble S’Klallam Tribe, 2017; Ramirez and Simenstad, 2018). The specific objectives tasks B-D were:

Task B. Synthesize and statistically downscale global climate model projections. This task had two parts:

1. Synthesize global model projections. Specifically, the Tribe was interested in evaluating climate projections through the year 2160 (which spans seven generations).

2. Statistically downscale global climate model projections. The purpose of this task is to produce downscaled climate change projections for areas of interest to the Tribe. This task leveraged recent work to apply a correction to existing statistically downscaled projections.

Task C. Produce local relative sea level rise projections.

As in Task B.1, the purpose of this task was to produce updated sea level rise projections through the year 2160. This work leverages the ongoing Washington Coastal Resilience Project (WCRP), funded by the NOAA Office of Coastal Resilience.

Task D. New projections of changing heavy precipitation. The goal of this task was to produce new physically-based estimates of changing heavy precipitation. This task leveraged existing funding from King County to produce two new regional climate model simulations for the region. This report describes the methods and products developed for each of these tasks, referencing other reports when results are leveraged from a larger parallel effort.