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50 publications published in 2004

“Forest Biodiversity”

Climate Impacts Group. 2004. “Forest Biodiversity.” Fact sheet prepared by the Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

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“Forest Change”

Climate Impacts Group. 2004. “Forest Change.” Fact sheet prepared by the Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

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“Forest Fire and Climate”

Climate Impacts Group. 2004. “Forest Fire and Climate.” Fact sheet prepared by the Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

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“Forest Growth and Climate Change”

Climate Impacts Group. 2004. “Forest Growth and Climate Change.” Fact sheet prepared by the Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

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“Forests and Climate Fact Sheet Series”

Climate Impacts Group. 2004. “Forests and Climate Fact Sheet Series.” Fact sheets prepared by the Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

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“Impacts of Climate Change on PNW Timber Production”

Climate Impacts Group. 2004. “Impacts of Climate Change on PNW Timber Production.” Fact sheet prepared by the Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

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A comparison of the incorporation of climate forecasts and other climate information by coastal managers in the Pacific Northwest between 1996 and 2003

Andersen, M.S., Miles, E.L., Fluharty, D.L. 2004. A comparison of the incorporation of climate forecasts and other climate information by coastal managers in the Pacific Northwest between 1996 and 2003. In Conference Proceedings for The Coastal Society 19th International Conference, Alexandria, Virginia: The Coastal Society.

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A method for prediction of California summer air surface temperatures

Alfaro, E., Gershunov, A., Cayan, D., Steinemann, A.C., Pierce, D., Barnett, T. 2004. A method for prediction of California summer air surface temperatures. EOS, Transactions American Geophysical Union 85: 553, 557-558.

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A simplified linear framework for interpreting patterns of Northern Hemisphere wintertime climate variability

Quadrelli, R., Wallace, J.M. 2004. A simplified linear framework for interpreting patterns of Northern Hemisphere wintertime climate variability. Journal of Climate 17(19):3728-3744.

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Analysis techniques to incorporate climate change information into Seattle’s long range water supply planning

Wiley, M.W. 2004. Analysis techniques to incorporate climate change information into Seattle’s long range water supply planning. M.S.C.E. thesis, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Application of ecosystem-based fishery management approaches in the Northern California Current

Field, J.C. 2004. Application of ecosystem-based fishery management approaches in the Northern California Current. Ph.D. dissertation, School of Aquatic and Fishery Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Beyond the Kyoto/Marrakesh Protocol: Options and strategies

Miles, E.L. 2004. Beyond the Kyoto/Marrakesh Protocol: Options and strategies. In Peterson, D.L. and J.L. Innes (eds), Climatic Change, Carbon, and Forestry in Northwestern North America, General Technical Report GTR-PNW-614, pp. 23-33, USDA Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Portland, Oregon.

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Boundaries of open marine ecosystems: An application to the Pribilof archipelago, southeast Bering Sea

Ciannelli, L., Robson, B.W., Francis, R.C., Aydin, K, Brodeur, R.D. 2004. Boundaries of open marine ecosystems: An application to the Pribilof archipelago, southeast Bering Sea. Ecological Applications 14(3):942-953.

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Climatic Change, Carbon, and Forestry in Northwestern North America

Peterson, D.L., Innes, J.L. 2004. Climatic Change, Carbon, and Forestry in Northwestern North America. USDA Forest Service General Technical Report GTR-PNW-614. Pacific Northwest Research Station, Portland, OR.

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Climatic change, wildfire, and conservation

McKenzie, D., Gedalof, Z.M., Peterson, D.L., Mote, P.W. 2004. Climatic change, wildfire, and conservation. Conservation Biology 18(4):890-902.

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Columbia River flow and drought since 1750

Gedalof, Z.M., Peterson, D.L., Mantua, N.J. 2004. Columbia River flow and drought since 1750. Journal of the American Water Resources Association 40(6):1579-1592.

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Designing efficient observing networks for ENSO prediction

Morss, R., Battisti, D.S. 2004. Designing efficient observing networks for ENSO prediction. Journal of Climate 17: 3074-3089.

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Detecting regime shifts in the ocean: Data considerations

deYoung, B., Harris, R., Alheit, J., Beaugrand, G., Mantua, N.J., Shannon, L. 2004. Detecting regime shifts in the ocean: Data considerations. Progress in Oceanography 60(2-4):143-164.

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Determining the skill of meteorological and hydrological forecasts in the Pacific Northwest

Palmer, R.N., Miller, M. 2004. Determining the skill of meteorological and hydrological forecasts in the Pacific Northwest. In Proceedings of ASCE’s 2004 World Water and Environmental Resources Congress, Salt Lake City, Utah, June, 2004.

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Determining the skill of meteorological and hydrological forecasts in the Pacific Northwest

Ryu, J.H., Palmer, R.N., Jeong, S., Lee, J. 2004. Determining the skill of meteorological and hydrological forecasts in the Pacific Northwest. In Proceedings of ASCE’s 2004 World Water and Environmental Resources Congress, Salt Lake City, Utah, June, 2004.

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Drought and Pacific Decadal Oscillation linked to fire occurrence in the inland Pacific Northwest

Hessl, A.E., McKenzie, D., Schellhaas, R. 2004. Drought and Pacific Decadal Oscillation linked to fire occurrence in the inland Pacific Northwest. Ecological Applications 14(2): 425-442.

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Ecophysiological parameters for Pacific Northwest trees

Hessl, A.E., Milesi, C, Peterson, D.L., White, M., Keane, R.E. 2004. Ecophysiological parameters for Pacific Northwest trees. USDA Forest Service General Technical Report PNW-GTR-618, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Portland, Oregon.

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Empirical approaches to modeling wildland fire in the Pacific Northwest: Methods and applications to landscape simulations

McKenzie, D., Prichard, S.J., Hessl, A.E., Peterson, D.L. 2004. Empirical approaches to modeling wildland fire in the Pacific Northwest: Methods and applications to landscape simulations. Chapter 7 in A.J. Perera and L. Buse (eds.), Emulating Natural Forest Landscape Disturbances New York, NY: Columbia University Press.

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Environmental factors influencing freshwater survival and smolt production in two Pacific Northwest coho salmon (Oncorhynchus kisutch) populations

Lawson, P.W., Logerwell, E.A., Mantua, N.J., Francis, R.C., Agostini, V.N. 2004. Environmental factors influencing freshwater survival and smolt production in two Pacific Northwest coho salmon (Oncorhynchus kisutch) populations. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 61:360-373.

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Evaluating observing system requirements for ENSO prediction: Experiments with an intermediate coupled model

Morss, R., Battisti, D.S. 2004. Evaluating observing system requirements for ENSO prediction: Experiments with an intermediate coupled model. Journal of Climate 17: 3057-3073.

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Fire and Climatic Variability in the Inland Pacific Northwest: Integrating Science and Management

McKenzie, D., Hessl, A.E., Peterson, D.L., Agee, J.K., Lehmkuhl, J.F., Kellogg, L-K.B., Kernan, J. 2004. Fire and Climatic Variability in the Inland Pacific Northwest: Integrating Science and Management. Final report to the Joint Fire Science Program on Project #01-1-6-01, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station. 44 pp.

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How and why is Northwest climate changing?

Mote, P.W. 2004. How and why is Northwest climate changing? pp. 11-22 in Peterson, D.L. and J.L. Innes (eds.), Climate Change, Carbon, and Forestry in Northwestern North America. General technical report for the USDA Forest Service Pacific Northwest Research Station, Portland, Oregon.

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Hydrologic implications of dynamical and statistical approaches to downscaling climate model outputs

Wood, A.W., Leung, L.R., Sridhar, V., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2004. Hydrologic implications of dynamical and statistical approaches to downscaling climate model outputs. Climatic Change 62:189-216.

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Impact of climate change on U.S. air quality using multi-scale modeling with the MM5/SMOKE/CMAQ system

Chen, J., Avise, J., Vaughan, J., Lamb, B., Mass, C.F., Salathé, E.P., Guenther, A., Wiedinmyer, C., O’Neill, S., Ferguson, S., Larkin, N., McKenzie, D. . 2004. Impact of climate change on U.S. air quality using multi-scale modeling with the MM5/SMOKE/CMAQ system. In proceedings for Symposium on Planning, Nowcasting, and Forecasting in the Urban Zone, Boston, Massachusetts: American Meteorological Society.

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Incorporating long-lead climate forecasts into risk-based management and decision analysis: A case for the Snake River Basin

VanRheenen, N.T., Palmer, R.N., Lettenmaier, D.P., Hamlet, A.F. 2004. Incorporating long-lead climate forecasts into risk-based management and decision analysis: A case for the Snake River Basin. Incorporating long-lead climate forecasts into risk-based management and decision analysis: A case for the Snake River Basin. In Proceedings of ASCE’s 2004 World Water and Environmental Resources Congress, Salt Lake City, Utah, June, 2004.

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Institutional history of the Snake River, 1850-2004

Slaughter, R. 2004. Institutional history of the Snake River, 1850-2004. Background paper prepared for the Climate Impacts Group.

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Integrated and cumulative threats to water

Cohen, S.J., de Loe, R., Hamlet, A.F., Herrington, R., Mortsch, L., Shrubsole, D. 2004. Integrated and cumulative threats to water. Chapter 15 in Threats to Fresh Water Availability in Canada, Environment Canada, NWRI Scientific Assessment Report Series No.3, Burlington, Ontario: National Water Research Institute.

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Interannual Indian rainfall variability and Indian Ocean sea surface temperature anomalies

Vecchi, G., Harrison, D.E. 2004. Interannual Indian rainfall variability and Indian Ocean sea surface temperature anomalies. pages 247-260 in C. Wang, S.-P. Xie, and J.A. Carton (eds.) Earth Climate: The Ocean-Atmosphere Interaction, American Geophysical Union, Geophysical Monograph 147, Washington D.C..

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Mechanisms controlling the sensitivity of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation to the parameterization of eddy transports in an ocean GCM

Kamenkovich, I.V., Sarachik, E.S. 2004. Mechanisms controlling the sensitivity of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation to the parameterization of eddy transports in an ocean GCM. Journal of Physical Oceanography 34:1628-1647.

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Methods for detecting regime shifts in large marine ecosystems: A review with approaches applied to North Pacific data

Mantua, N.J. 2004. Methods for detecting regime shifts in large marine ecosystems: A review with approaches applied to North Pacific data. Progress in Oceanography 60(2-4):165-182.

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Mid-century ensemble regional climate change scenarios for the Western United States

Leung, L.R., Qian, Y., Bian, X., Washington, W.M., Han, J., Roads, J.O. 2004. Mid-century ensemble regional climate change scenarios for the Western United States. Climatic Change 62:75-113.

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Mitigating the effects of climate change on the water resources of the Columbia River basin

Payne, J.T., Wood, A.W., Hamlet, A.F., Palmer, R.N., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2004. Mitigating the effects of climate change on the water resources of the Columbia River basin. Climatic Change 62(1-3):233-256.

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Natural climate insurance for Pacific Northwest salmon and salmon fisheries: Finding our way through the entangled bank

Mantua, N.J., Francis, R.C. 2004. Natural climate insurance for Pacific Northwest salmon and salmon fisheries: Finding our way through the entangled bank. pp. 127-140, in E.E. Knudsen and D. MacDonald (eds), Fish in our Future? Perspectives on Fisheries Sustainability. A special publication of the American Fisheries Society.

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North Pacific climate recorded in growth rings of geoduck clams: A new tool for paleoenvironmental reconstruction

Strom, A., Francis, R.C., Mantua, N.J., Miles, E.L., Peterson, D.L. 2004. North Pacific climate recorded in growth rings of geoduck clams: A new tool for paleoenvironmental reconstruction. Geophysical Research Letters 31, doi: 10.1029/2004GL019440, 2004.

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On reducing errors in temperature and salinity in an ocean model forced by restoring boundary conditions

Kamenkovich, I.V., Sarachik, E.S. 2004. On reducing errors in temperature and salinity in an ocean model forced by restoring boundary conditions. Journal of Physical Oceanography 34:1856-1869.

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Overview of Climate Change Impacts in the U.S. Pacific Northwest

Climate Impacts Group. 2004. Overview of Climate Change Impacts in the U.S. Pacific Northwest. Background paper prepared for the West Coast Governors’ Climate Change Initiative.

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Potential implications of PCM climate change scenarios for Sacramento – San Joaquin River Basin hydrology and water resources

VanRheenen, N.T., Wood, A.W., Palmer, R.N., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2004. Potential implications of PCM climate change scenarios for Sacramento – San Joaquin River Basin hydrology and water resources. Climatic Change 62(1-3): 257-281.

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Projecting climate change in mesoscale river basins

Salathé, E.P. 2004. Projecting climate change in mesoscale river basins. In proceedings for the 15th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations, Boston, Massachusetts: American Meteorological Society.

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Proposal to NOAA OGP: CDEP and RISA programs, April 1, 2005-March 31, 2010

Center for Science in the Earth System. 2004. Proposal to NOAA OGP: CDEP and RISA programs, April 1, 2005-March 31, 2010. Proposal to the NOAA Office of Global Programs for 2005-2010. Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle, WA.

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The Impacts of Climate Change on the Tualatin River Basin Water Supply: An Investigation into Projected Hydrologic and Management Impacts

Palmer, R.N., Clancy, E., VanRheenen, N.T., Wiley, M.W. 2004. The Impacts of Climate Change on the Tualatin River Basin Water Supply: An Investigation into Projected Hydrologic and Management Impacts. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Washington, Seattle. 91 pp.

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The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) and northern high latitude wintertime surface air temperatures

Vecchi, G., Bond, N. 2004. The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) and northern high latitude wintertime surface air temperatures. Geophysical Research Letters 31, doi: 10.1029/2003GL018645.

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The role of climate in water resources planning and management

Lettenmaier, D.P. 2004. The role of climate in water resources planning and management. pp. 247-266 in R. Lawford, D. Fort, H. Hartmann, and S. Eden (eds.), Water: Science, Policy, and Management, AGU Press Monograph, 422 pp.

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Variability and predictability of North American runoff

Maurer, E.P., Lettenmaier, D.P., Mantua, N.J. 2004. Variability and predictability of North American runoff. Water Resources Research 40, W09306, doi:10.1029/2003WR002789.

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Variability and trends in mountain snowpack in western North America

Mote, P.W., Hamlet, A.F., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2004. Variability and trends in mountain snowpack in western North America. In F. Wagner (ed.), Proceedings of the American Association for the Advancement of Science Pacific Division 85th Annual Meeting, Ashland, Oregon: American Association for the Advancement of Science Pacific Division.

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Varied expressions of the hemispheric circulation observed in association with contrasting polarities of prescribed patterns of variability

Quadrelli, R., Wallace, J.M. 2004. Varied expressions of the hemispheric circulation observed in association with contrasting polarities of prescribed patterns of variability. Journal of Climate 17(21):4245-4253.

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