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37 publications published in 2008

A descriptive analysis of temporal and spatial patterns of variability in Puget Sound oceanographic properties

Moore, S.K., Mantua, N.J., Newton, J.A., Kawase, M., Warner, M.J., Kellogg, J.P. 2008. A descriptive analysis of temporal and spatial patterns of variability in Puget Sound oceanographic properties. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science doi:10.1016/j.ecss.2008.09.016.

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A high-resolution climate model for the U.S. Pacific Northwest: Mesoscale feedbacks and local responses to climate change

Salathé, E.P., Steed, R., Mass, C.F., Zahn, P.  2008. A high-resolution climate model for the U.S. Pacific Northwest: Mesoscale feedbacks and local responses to climate change. Journal of Climate 21(21): 5708-5726, doi:10.1175/2008JCLI2090.1.

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Adapting decision making to uncertainty when addressing sea level rise response in Puget Sound

Petersen, A., Canning, D.J., Leschine, T.M., Miles, E.L. 2008. Adapting decision making to uncertainty when addressing sea level rise response in Puget Sound. Proceedings of the 15th Biennial Coastal Zone Conference, July 22-26, 2007, Portland, Oregon. Charleston, SC: NOAA Coastal Services Center.

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Adapting to climate change on Olympic National Forest

Peterson, D.L., Littell, J.S., O’Halloran, K.  2008. Adapting to climate change on Olympic National Forest. Mountain Views 2(1): 15-18.

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An ensemble approach for attribution of hydrologic prediction uncertainty

Wood, A.W., Lettenmaier, D.P.  2008. An ensemble approach for attribution of hydrologic prediction uncertainty. Geophysical Research Letters 35, L14401, doi:10.1029/2008GL034648.

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Attribution of declining western U.S. snowpack to human effects

Pierce, D.W., Barnett, T., Hidalgo, H., Das, T., Bonfils, C., Santer, B.D., Bala, G., Dettinger, M., Cayan, D., Mirin, A,, Wood, A.W., Nazawa, T. . 2008. Attribution of declining western U.S. snowpack to human effects. Journal of Climate 21(23): 6425-6444, doi:10.1175/2008JCLI2405.1.

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Characterizing the interannual variability of the equatorial Pacific: An OLR perspective

Harrison, D.E., Chiodi, A.M. 2008. Characterizing the interannual variability of the equatorial Pacific: An OLR perspective. NOAA Tech. Memo. OAR PMEL-140. Seattle, WA, 30pp.

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Climate change, ecosystem impacts, and management for Pacific Salmon

Schindler, D., Augerot, X., Fleishman, E., Mantua, N.J., Riddell, B., Ruckelshaus, M.H., Seeb, J., Webster, M. 2008. Climate change, ecosystem impacts, and management for Pacific Salmon. Fisheries 33(10):502-506.

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Climate drivers of regionally synchronous fires in the inland Northwest (1651-1900)

Heyerdahl, E.K., McKenzie, D., Daniels, L., Hessl, A.E., Littell, J.S., Mantua, N.J. 2008. Climate drivers of regionally synchronous fires in the inland Northwest (1651-1900). International Journal of Wildland Fire 17:40-49.

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Correcting errors in streamflow forecast ensemble mean and spread

Wood, A.W., Schaake, J.C. 2008. Correcting errors in streamflow forecast ensemble mean and spread. Journal of Hydrometeorology 9(1): 132-148.

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Detection and attribution of temperature changes in the mountainous western United States

Bonfils, C., Pierce, D.W., Santer, B.D., Hidalgo, H., Bala, G., Das, T., Barnett, T., Doutriaux, C., Wood, A.W., Mirin, A,, Nazawa, T. 2008. Detection and attribution of temperature changes in the mountainous western United States. Journal of Climate 21(23):6404-6424, doi:10.1175/2008JCLI2397.1.

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Douglas-fir growth in mountain ecosystems: Water limits tree growth from stand to region

Littell, J.S., Peterson, D.L., Tjoelker, M.  2008. Douglas-fir growth in mountain ecosystems: Water limits tree growth from stand to region. Ecological Monographs 78(3): 349-368.

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Evaluation of precipitation products for global hydrological prediction

Voisin, N., Wood, A.W., Lettenmaier, D.P.  2008. Evaluation of precipitation products for global hydrological prediction. Journal of Hydrometeorology 9(3):388-407.

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Extended west-wide seasonal hydrological system: Seasonal hydrological prediction in the NAMS Region

Munoz-Arriola, F., Lettenmaier, D.P., Zhu, C., Lobato-Sanchez, R., Wagner-Gomez, A. 2008. Extended west-wide seasonal hydrological system: Seasonal hydrological prediction in the NAMS Region. CLIVAR Exchanges 45, 13(2):24-25.

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Glestcherschwund am Kilimanjaro

Kaser, G., P.W. Mote, 2008: Glestcherschwund am Kilimanjaro. Spectrum der Wissenschaft, Januar, 62-69.

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Has spring snowpack declined in the Washington Cascades?

Mote, P.W., Hamlet, A.F., Salathé, E.P.  2008. Has spring snowpack declined in the Washington Cascades?. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 12: 193-206.

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How essential is hydrologic model calibration to seasonal streamflow forecasting?

Shi, X., Wood, A.W., Lettenmaier, D.P.  2008. How essential is hydrologic model calibration to seasonal streamflow forecasting? Journal of Hydrometeorology 9(6):1350-1363, doi:10.1175/2008JHM1001.1.

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Human-induced changes in the hydrology of the western United States

Barnett, T., Pierce, D.W., Hidalgo, H., Bonfils, C., Santer, B.D., Das, T., Bala, G., Wood, A.W., Nazawa, T., Mirin, A,, Cayan, D., Dettinger, M. . 2008. Human-induced changes in the hydrology of the western United States. Science Science Express Reports 10.1126/science.1152538.

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Impacts of climate variability and future climate change on harmful algal blooms and human health

Moore, S.K., Trainer, V.L., Mantua, N.J., Parker, D., Laws, E.A., Backer, L.C., Fleming, L.E. 2008. Impacts of climate variability and future climate change on harmful algal blooms and human health. Environmental Health 7(Suppl 2): S4, doi:10.1186/1476-069X-7-S2-S4.

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Is the upper ocean warming? Comparisons of 50-year trends from different analyses

Carson, M., Harrison, D.E.  2008. Is the upper ocean warming? Comparisons of 50-year trends from different analyses. Journal of Climate 21:2259-2268, doi: 10.1175/2007JCLI2002.1.

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Local and large-scale climate forcing of Puget Sound oceanographic properties on seasonal to interdecadal timescales

Moore, S.K., Mantua, N.J., Kellogg, J.P., Newton, J.A. 2008. Local and large-scale climate forcing of Puget Sound oceanographic properties on seasonal to interdecadal timescales. Limnology and Oceanography 53(5): 1746-1758.

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Modeling understory vegetation and its response to fire

McKenzie, D., Raymond, C.L., Cushman, S.C.  2008. Modeling understory vegetation and its response to fire. Chapter 15, pp.391-414. In J. Millspaugh and F.R. Thompson III (eds.), Models for Planning Wildlife Conservation in Large Landscapes. Burlington, MA: Academic Press.

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National forests

Joyce, L.A., Blate, G.M., Littell, J.S., McNulty, S.G., Millar, C.I., Moser, S.C., Neilson, R.P. 2008. National forests. Chapter 3 in S.H. Julius, J.M. West (eds.), J.S. Baron, B.Griffith, L.A. Joyce, P. Kareiva, B.D. Keller, M.A. Palmer, C.H. Peterson, and J.M. Scott (Authors), Preliminary Review of Adaptation Options for Climate-Sensitive Ecosystems and Resources. A Report by the U.S. Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC, USA, pp. 3-1 to 3-127.

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Potential responses to climate change in organisms with complex life histories: Evolution and plasticity in Pacific salmon

Crozier, L.G., Hendry, A.P., Lawson, P.W., Quinn, T.P., Mantua, N.J., Battin, J., Shaw, R.G., Huey, R.B. 2008. Potential responses to climate change in organisms with complex life histories: Evolution and plasticity in Pacific salmon. Evolutionary Applications 1(2): 252-270, doi:10.1111/j.1752-4571.2008.00033.x.

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Predicting differential effects of climate change at the population level with life-cycle models of spring Chinook salmon

Crozier, L.G., Zabel, R.W., Hamlet, A.F.  2008. Predicting differential effects of climate change at the population level with life-cycle models of spring Chinook salmon. Global Change Biology 14(2): 236-249, doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2007.01497.x.

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Recent trends in paralytic shellfish toxins in Puget Sound, relationships to climate, and capacity for prediction of toxic events

Moore, S.K., Mantua, N.J., Hickey, B.M., Trainer, V.L. Recent trends in paralytic shellfish toxins in Puget Sound, relationships to climate, and capacity for prediction of toxic events.  2008. Harmful Algae, doi:10.1016/j.hal.2008.10.003.

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Research and Networks for Decision Support in the NOAA Sectoral Applications Research Program

National Research Council, Mote, P.W.  2008. Research and Networks for Decision Support in the NOAA Sectoral Applications Research Program. Panel on Design Issues for the NOAA Sectoral Applications Research Program, H.M. Ingram and P.C. Stern (eds.), Committee on the Human Dimensions of Global Change, Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education. The National Academies Press, Washington, DC. 84 pp.

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Scenarios of Future Climate Change for the Pacific Northwest

Mote, P.W., Salathé, E.P., Dulire, V., Jump, E.  2008. Scenarios of Future Climate Change for the Pacific Northwest. Report prepared by the Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Oceans, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Sea Level Rise in the Coastal Waters of Washington State

Mote, P.W., Petersen, A., Reeder, S., Shipman, H., Whitely Binder, L.C. 2008. Sea Level Rise in the Coastal Waters of Washington State. Report prepared by the Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Oceans, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington and the Washington Department of Ecology, Lacey, Washington.

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Sensitivity of Northwest ski areas to warming

Mote, P.W., Casson, J., Hamlet, A.F., Reading, D.C. 2008. Sensitivity of Northwest ski areas to warming. pp 63-67, in B. McGurk (ed.), Proceedings of the 75th Western Snow Conference, April 16-19, 2007, Kailua-Kona, Hawaii. Soda Springs, CA: Western Snow Conference.

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Spatial models for inferring topographic controls on low-severity fire in the eastern Cascade Range of Washington, USA.

Kellogg, L-K.B., McKenzie, D., Peterson, D.L., Hessl, A.E. 2008. Spatial models for inferring topographic controls on low-severity fire in the eastern Cascade Range of Washington, USA..  Landscape Ecology 23(2):227-240, DOI 10.1007/s10980-007-9188-1.

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Stationarity is dead: Whither water management?

Milly, P.C.D., Betancourt, J., Falkenmark, M., Hirsch, R.M., Kundzewicz, Z.W., Lettenmaier, D.P., Stouffer, R.J. 2008. Stationarity is dead: Whither water management?. Science 319 (5863): 573-574, DOI: 10.1126/science.1151915.

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The Effects of Climate Change on Agriculture, Land Resources, Water Resources, and Biodiversity

Climate Change Science Program, Lettenmaier, D.P.  2008. The Effects of Climate Change on Agriculture, Land Resources, Water Resources, and Biodiversity. A report by the U.S. Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research. P. Backlund, A. Janetos, D. Schimel, J. Hatfield, K. Boote, P. Fay, L. Hahn, C. Izaurralde, B.A. Kimball, T. Mader, J. Morgan, D. Ort, W. Polley, A. Thomson, D. Wolfe, M. Ryan, S. Archer, R. Birdsey, C. Dahm, L. Heath, J. Hicke, D. Hollinger, T. Huxman, G. Okin, R. Oren, J. Randerson, W. Schlesinger, D. Lettenmaier, D. Major, L. Poff, S. Running, L. Hansen, D. Inouye, B.P. Kelly, L Meyerson, B. Peterson, R. Shaw. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC., USA, 362 pp.

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The modulated annual cycle: An alternative reference frame for climate anomalies

Wu, Z., Schneider, E.K., Kirtman, B.P., Sarachik, E.S., Huang, B., Tucker, C.J. 2008. The modulated annual cycle: An alternative reference frame for climate anomalies. Climate Dynamics 31: 823-841, 10.1007/s00382-008-0437-z.

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Use of a standardized runoff index for characterizing hydrologic drought

Shukla, S., Wood, A.W.  2008. Use of a standardized runoff index for characterizing hydrologic drought. Geophysical Research Letters, 35, L02405, doi:10.1029/2007GL032487.

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Variability and trends in mountain snowpack in western North America

Mote, P.W., Clark, M., Hamlet, A.F.  2008. Variability and trends in mountain snowpack in western North America. In F. Wagner (ed.), Proceedings of the AAAS Pacific Division Annual Meeting.

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Wild and scenic rivers

Palmer, M.A., Lettenmaier, D.P., Poff, N.L., Postel, S., Richter, B., Warner, R. 2008. Chapter 6 in S.H. Julius, J.M. West (eds.), J.S. Baron, B.Griffith, L.A. Joyce, P. Kareiva, B.D. Keller, M.A. Palmer, C.H. Peterson, and J.M. Scott (Authors), Preliminary Review of Adaptation Options for Climate-Sensitive Ecosystems and Resources. A Report by the U.S. Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC, USA, pp. 6-1 to 6-73.

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