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23 publications published in 2018

A high-resolution climate record spanning the past 17,000 years recovered from Lake Ohau, South Island, New Zealand

H. Levy, Richard & Dunbar, G & J. Vandergoes, Marcus & D. Howarth, Jamie & Kingan, Tony & R. Pyne, Alex & Brotherston, Grant & Clarke, Michael & Dagg, Bob & Hill, Matthew & Kenton, Evan & Little, Steve & Mandeno, Darcy & Moy, Chris & Muldoon, Philip & Doyle, Patrick & Raines, Conrad & Rutland, Peter & Strong, Delia & Wilson, Gary. (2018). A high-resolution climate record spanning the past 17 000 years recovered from Lake Ohau, South Island, New Zealand. Scientific Drilling. 24. 41-50. 10.5194/sd-24-41-2018.

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A hydroclimatological approach to predicting regional landslide probability using Landlab

Strauch, R., Istanbulluoglu, E., Nudurupati, S. S., Bandaragoda, C., Gasparini, N. M., and Tucker, G. E. 2018. A hydroclimatological approach to predicting regional landslide probability using Landlab, Earth Surface Dynamics, 6, 49-75. https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-6-49-2018

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Adapting forest management to climate change: the state of science and applications in Canada and the United States

Halofsky, J.E., S.A. Andrews-Key, J.E. Edwards, M.H. Johnston, H.W. Nelson, D.L. Peterson, K.M. Schmitt, C.W. Swanston, and T.B. Williamson. 2018. Adapting forest management to climate change: the state of science and applications in Canada and the United States. Forest Ecology and Management 41:84-97. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2018.02.037

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An Unfair Share: Exploring the Disproportionate Risks from Climate Change Facing Washington State Communities

UW Climate Impacts Group, UW Department of Environmental and Occupational Health Sciences, Front and Centered and Urban@UW. (2018). An Unfair Share: Exploring the disproportionate risks from climate change facing Washington state communities. A report prepared for Seattle Foundation. University of Washington, Seattle.

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Climate Change and Rocky Mountain Ecosystems

Halofsky, J.E. and D.L. Peterson (eds.). 2018. Climate Change and Rocky Mountain Ecosystems. Springer International Publishing, Cham, Switzerland. doi: 10.1007/978-3-319-56928-4

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Climate robust culvert design: Probabilistic estimates of fish passage impediments for Washington State

Mauger, G.S., S.Y. Lee, J.S. Won, K. Byun, and A.F. Hamlet, 2018. Climate robust culvert design: Probabilistic estimates of fish passage impediments. Final report for the Skagit Climate Science Consortium. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Developing a GIS-based geospatial decision support tool for assessing climate change impacts on flood risks in Northern Cascadia road networks.

Strauch, R. L., E. Istanbulluoglu, R. Rochefort, Z. Duran, and K. Purnell. 2018. Developing a GIS-based geospatial decision support tool for assessing climate change impacts on flood risks in Northern Cascadia road networks. Natural Resource Report NPS/NOCA/NRR—2018/1808. National Park Service, Fort Collins, Colorado.

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Effect of Climate Change on Flooding in King County Rivers: Using New Regional Climate Model Simulations to Quantify Changes in Flood Risk

Lee, S.-Y., G.S. Mauger, and J.S. Won. 2018. Effect of Climate Change on Flooding in King County Rivers: Using New Regional Climate Model Simulations to Quantify Changes in Flood Risk. Report prepared for King County. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington.

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Effects of Ensemble Configuration on Estimates of Regional Climate Uncertainties

Goldenson, N., Mauger, G., Leung, L. R., Bitz, C. M., & Rhines, A. (2018). Effects of Ensemble Configuration on Estimates of Regional Climate Uncertainties. Geophysical Research Letters, 45(2), 926-934. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL076297

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Fire enhances the complexity of forest structure in alpine treeline ecotones

Cansler, C.A., D. McKenzie, and C.B. Halpern. 2018. Fire enhances the complexity of forest structure in alpine treeline ecotones. Ecosphere (2):e02091. https://doi.org/10.1002/ecs2.2091

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Global Climate Projections, Sea Level Rise, and Extreme Precipitation: Final report to the Port Gamble S’Klallam Tribe

Mauger, G.S., K. Hegewisch, I.M. Miller, J.S. Won, C. Lynch (2018). Global Climate Projections, Sea Level Rise, and Extreme Precipitation: Final report to the Port Gamble S’Klallam Tribe. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle.  

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Guidelines for Mapping Sea Level Rise Inundation for Washington State

Norheim, R.A., G.S. Mauger, I.M. Miller, 2018. Guidelines for Mapping Sea Level Rise. Report prepared for the EPA National Estuary Program (NEP). Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Integrating chronological uncertainties for laminated lake sediments using independent chronology and layer counting in a Bayesian age modelling framework

Vandergoes, M.J., Howarth, J, Dunbar, G, Turnbull, J., Roop, H.A., Levy, R., Li, X., Prior, C., Norris, M., Keller, E.D., Fitzsimons, S.J., Bronk Ramsey, C., 2018. Integrating chronological uncertainties for laminated lake sediments using independent chronology and layer counting in a Bayesian age modelling framework. Quaternary Science Reviews, 188, 104 -120.  doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2018.03.015

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Local Enhancement of Extreme Precipitation during Atmospheric Rivers as Simulated in a Regional Climate Model

Lorente-Plazas, R., Mitchell, T.P., Mauger, G., Salathé, E.P.,(2018). Local Enhancement of Extreme Precipitation during Atmospheric Rivers as Simulated in a Regional Climate Model. American Meteorological Society, 19:1429-1446. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-17-0246.1

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Longitudinal Thermal Heterogeneity in Rivers and Refugia for Coldwater Species: Effects of Scale and Climate Change

Fullerton, A.H., Torgersen, C.E., Lawler, J.J., Steel, E.A., Ebersole, J.L., and Lee, S.Y. (2018) “Longitudinal Thermal Heterogeneity in Rivers and Refugia for Coldwater Species: Effects of Scale and Climate Change”. Aquatic Sciences, 80.3.

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Looking to the Past and to Future to Inform Meadow Restoration on the Yakama Reservation

Halabisky, M., Lee, S.Y., Hall, S.A. (2018). Looking to the Past and to Future to Inform Meadow Restoration on the Yakama Reservation. Report prepared to the Wildlife, Range and Vegetation Resources Management Program of the Confederated Tribes and Bands of the Yakama Nation. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington and Conservation Science Partners.

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New Projections of Changing Heavy Precipitation in King County

Mauger, G.S., J.S. Won, K. Hegewisch, C. Lynch, R. Lorente Plazas, E. P. Salathé Jr., 2018. New Projections of Changing Heavy Precipitation in King County. Report prepared for the King County Department of Natural Resources. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Projected Sea Level Rise in Washington State – A 2018 Assessment

Miller, I.M., Morgan, H., Mauger, G., Newton, T., Weldon, R., Schmidt, D., Welch, M., Grossman, E. 2018. Projected Sea Level Rise for Washington State – A 2018 Assess­ment. A collaboration of Washington Sea Grant, University of Washington Climate Impacts Group, Oregon State University, University of Washington, and US Geologi­cal Survey. Prepared for the Washington Coastal Resilience Project.

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Sea Level Rise Considerations for Nearshore Restoration Projects in Puget Sound

Raymond, C., Conway-Cranos, L., Morgan, H., Faghin, N., Spilsbury Pucci, D., Krienitz, J., Miller,I., Grossman, E. and Mauger, G., 2018. Sea level rise considerations for nearshore restoration projects in Puget Sound. A report prepared for the Washington Coastal Resilience Project.

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Summary Report: Are Washington State Agencies Preparing for Climate Change?

This 2018 summary was prepared by Dr. Joe Casola of the UW Climate Impacts Group and draws upon the research conducted by Dani Ziff and Dr. Nives Dolšak, UW School of Marine and Environmental Affairs.

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The nature of the beast: examining climate adaptation options in forests with stand-replacing fire regimes

Halofsky, J.S., D.C. Donato, J.F. Franklin, J.E. Halofsky, D.L. Peterson, and B.J. Harvey. 2018. The nature of the beast: examining climate adaptation options in forests with stand-replacing fire regimes. Ecosphere 9(3):e02140.10.1002/ecs2.2140.

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Thermal landscapes in a changing climate: biological implications of water temperature patterns in an extreme year

E. Ashley Steel, A.E., Marsha, A., Fullerton, A.H., Olden, J.D., Larkin, N.K., Lee, S., and Ferguson, A. 2018. Thermal landscapes in a changing climate: biological implications of water temperature patterns in an extreme year. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, https://doi.org/10.1139/cjfas-2018-0244.

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Vulnerability and adaptation to climate change in the Northern Rocky Mountains.

Halofsky, J.E., D.L. Peterson, S.K. Dante, J.J. Ho, L. Hoang, and L.A. Joyce (eds.). 2018. Vulnerability and adaptation to climate change in the Northern Rocky Mountains. USDA Forest Service General Technical Report RMRS-GTR-374. Rocky Mountain Research Station, Fort Collins, CO.

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