Publications

A multi-century perspective of variability in the Pacific Decadal Oscillation: new insights from tree rings and corals

2002 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Coastal & Marine Ecosystems, Terrestrial Ecosystems

Gedalof, Z.M., Mantua, N.J., Peterson, D.L. 2002. A multi-century perspective of variability in the Pacific Decadal Oscillation: new insights from tree rings and corals. Geophysical Research Letters 29(24):2204. https://doi.org/10.1029/2002GL015824

An efficient climate model with a 3D ocean and statistical-dynamical atmosphere

2002 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling

Kamenkovich, I.V., Sokolov, A, Stone, P.H. 2002. An efficient climate model with a 3D ocean and statistical-dynamical atmosphere. Climate Dynamics 19(7):585-598.

An integrated, sustained ocean observing system

2002 / Coastal & Marine Ecosystems

Nowlin, W.D., Smith, N., Harrison, D.E., Koblinski, C., Needler, G. 2002. An integrated, sustained ocean observing system. pp. 29-38 In C.J. Koblinsky and N.R. Smith (eds.), Observing Ocean In the 21st Century. Melbourne, Australia: GODAE and Australian Bureau of Meteorology Publishers.

Annular modes and climate prediction

2002 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling

Wallace, J.M., Thompson, D.W.J. 2002. Annular modes and climate prediction. Physics Today 55:28-33.

Applications of climate forecasts in natural resource management: Implications for industry

2002 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling

Huppert, D.D., Kaje, J.H., Hamlet, A.F., Miles, E.L., Snover, A.K. 2002. Applications of climate forecasts in natural resource management: Implications for industry. The Climate Report 3(2):12-22.

Causes of climate variability in the Pacific Northwest

2002 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Climate: PNW Climate

Mote, P.W., Mantua, N.J. 2002. Causes of climate variability in the Pacific Northwest. The Climate Report 3(2):2-6.

Central equatorial Pacific zonal currents I: The Sverdrup balance, nonlinearity and tropical instability waves: Annual mean dynamics

2002 / Coastal & Marine Ecosystems

Harrison, D.E., Romea, R., Hankin, S. 2002. Central equatorial Pacific zonal currents I: The Sverdrup balance, nonlinearity and tropical instability waves: Annual mean dynamics. Journal of Marine Research 59:895-919.

Central equatorial Pacific zonal currents II: The seasonal cycle and the boreal surface eastward surge

2002 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Coastal & Marine Ecosystems

Harrison, D.E., Romea, R., Vecchi, G. 2002. Central equatorial Pacific zonal currents II: The seasonal cycle and the boreal surface eastward surge. Journal of Marine Research 59:921-948.

Climate change and fisheries management in the Northern California Current

2002 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Coastal & Marine Ecosystems

Field, J.C., Francis, R.C. 2002. Climate change and fisheries management in the Northern California Current. In N. McGinn (ed.), Fisheries in a Changing Climate Symposium 32, pp. 245-262, Bethesda, Maryland: American Fisheries Society.

Climate change impacts on municipal supplies: When are capital investments justified?

2002 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Hydrology & Water Resources

Hahn, M.A., Palmer, R.N. 2002. Climate change impacts on municipal supplies: When are capital investments justified? In Proceedings of the ASCE 2002 Conference on Water Resources Planning and Management. Roanoke, Virginia: American Society of Civil Engineers.

Climate impacts on the natural resources of the Pacific Northwest

2002 / Climate: PNW Climate, Freshwater Ecosystems, Terrestrial Ecosystems

Snover, A.K., Mote, P.W. 2002. Climate impacts on the natural resources of the Pacific Northwest. The Climate Report 3(2):7-11.

Coastal upwelling in a warming future

2002 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Coastal & Marine Ecosystems

Mote, P.W., Mantua, N.J. 2002. Coastal upwelling in a warming future. Geophysical Research Letters 29(23), 2138. https://doi.org/10.1029/2002GL016086

Cold events: Anti-El Nino?

2002 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling

Harrison, D.E., Larkin, N.K. 2002. Cold events: Anti-El Nino? pp. 237-241 In M.H. Glantz (Ed.), Facts and Speculation about La Nina and its Societal Impacts. Tokyo, Japan: United Nations University Press.

Developing drought triggers and drought responses: An application in Georgia

2002 / Decision Support, Hydrology & Water Resources

Palmer, R.N., Kutzing, S.L., Steinemann, A.C. 2002. Developing drought triggers and drought responses: An application in Georgia. In Proceedings of the ASCE’s 2002 Conference on Water Resources Planning and Management. Roanoke, Virginia: American Society of Civil Engineers.

Economic value of long-lead streamflow forecasts for Columbia River hydropower

2002 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Climate: PNW Climate, Hydrology & Water Resources

Hamlet, A.F., Huppert, D.D., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2002. Economic value of long-lead streamflow forecasts for Columbia River hydropower. ASCE Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management 128(2): 91-101.

ENSO warm (El Niño) and cold (La Niña) event life cycles: Ocean surface anomaly patterns, their symmetries, asymmetries and implications

2002 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling

Larkin, N.K., Harrison, D.E. 2002. ENSO warm (El Niño) and cold (La Niña) event life cycles: Ocean surface anomaly patterns, their symmetries, asymmetries and implications. Journal of Climate 15(10):1118-1140.

Global climate change and marine policy: Planning for impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability

2002 / Adaptation, Coastal & Marine Ecosystems, Decision Support

Miles, E.L. 2002. In D.M. Johnston and A. Sirivivatnanon (eds.), Ocean Governance and Sustainable Development in the Pacific Region, SEAPOL Inter-Regional Conference, March 21-23, 2001. Bangkok, Thailand: Southeast Asian Progr. On Ocean Law, Policy, and Mangmt.

Growth responses of subalpine fir (Abies lasiocarpa) to climatic variability in the Pacific Northwest

2002 / Climate: PNW Climate, Terrestrial Ecosystems

Peterson, D.W., Peterson, D.L., Ettl, G.J. 2002. Growth responses of subalpine fir (Abies lasiocarpa) to climatic variability in the Pacific Northwest. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 32(9): 1503-1517.

Is the Gulf Stream responsible for Europe’s mild winters?

2002 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling

Seager, R., Battisti, D.S., Yin, J., Naik, N., Gordon, N., Clement, A.C., Cane, M. 2002. Is the Gulf Stream responsible for Europe’s mild winters? Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 128: 2563-86.

La Niña impacts on the Pacific Northwest

2002 / Climate: PNW Climate

Mantua, N.J. 2002. La Niña impacts on the Pacific Northwest. pp. 102-114. In M. Glantz (ed), La Niña and Its Impacts: Facts and Speculation. Tokyo, Japan: United Nations University Press. 271pp.

Links between Pacific basin climatic variability and natural systems of the Pacific Northwest

2002 / Climate: PNW Climate, Theses & Dissertations

Gedalof, Z.M. 2002. Links between Pacific basin climatic variability and natural systems of the Pacific Northwest. PhD dissertation, School of Forestry, University of Washington, Seattle. https://doi.org/10.6069/k6avx1xm

Making the climate connections: Bridging scales of space and time in the US GLOBEC program

2002 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling

Mantua, N.J., Haidvogal, D., Kushnir, Y., Bond, N. 2002. Making the climate connections: Bridging scales of space and time in the US GLOBEC program. Oceanography 15(2):75-86.

Modeling and monitoring ecosystem responses to climate change in three North American mountain ranges

2002 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Terrestrial Ecosystems

Fagre, D.B., Peterson, D.L. 2002. Modeling and monitoring ecosystem responses to climate change in three North American mountain ranges. pages 249-259. In C. Corner and E. Spean (eds.), Global Mountain Biodiversity: Changes and Threats. Springer-Verlag, Berlin.

Numerical simulations of a land falling cold front observed during COAST: Rapid evolution and responsible mechanisms

2002 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling

Colle, B.A., Smull, B.F., Yang, M-J. 2002. Numerical simulations of a land falling cold front observed during COAST: Rapid evolution and responsible mechanisms. Monthly Weather Review 130(8):1945-1966.

On the response of sea ice to the Arctic Oscillation

2002 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling

Rigor, I.G., Wallace, J.M., Colony, R.L. 2002. On the response of sea ice to the Arctic Oscillation. Journal of Climate 15:2648-2663.

Pacific interannual and interdecadal equatorial variability in a 1,000 year simulation of the CSIRO coupled General Circulation Model

2002 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling

Vimont, D., Battisti, D.S., Hirst, A.C. 2002. Pacific interannual and interdecadal equatorial variability in a 1,000 year simulation of the CSIRO coupled General Circulation Model. Journal of Climate 15: 160-178.

Potential impacts of climate variability and change on water quality in south Puget Sound: A management perspective

2002 / Coastal & Marine Ecosystems, Theses & Dissertations

Engoltz, T. 2002. “Ocean triads” in the Mediterranean Sea: Physical mechanisms potentially structuring reproductive habitat suitability (with example application to European anchovy). MMA thesis, School of Marine Affairs, University of Washington, Seattle. Access this publication through University of Washington Libraries:

Preparing for an uncertain future: Adaptive management strategies and alternative approaches to mitigate the impacts of climate change in California’s Central Valley

2002 / Adaptation, Decision Support

VanRheenen, N.T., Palmer, R.N. 2002. Preparing for an uncertain future: Adaptive management strategies and alternative approaches to mitigate the impacts of climate change in California’s Central Valley. In Proceedings of the ASCE’s 2002 Conference on Water Resources Planning & Management, Roanoke, Virgina: American Society of Civil Engineers.

Senior stakeholders meeting on climate and water policy: Executive and general meeting summaries

2002 / Hydrology & Water Resources

Whitely Binder, L.C. 2002. Senior stakeholders meeting on climate and water policy: Executive and general meeting summaries. A report on the March 20, 2002 meeting with senior Pacific Northwest water resource managers. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle. https://doi.org/10.7915/CIG8RB6XF

Some thoughts on sustainability and marine conservation

2002 / Coastal & Marine Ecosystems

Francis, R.C. 2002. Some thoughts on sustainability and marine conservation. Fisheries 27(1): 18-22.

Southwest monsoon breaks and sub-seasonal sea surface temperature variability in the Bay of Bengal

2002 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling

Vecchi, G., Harrison, D.E. 2002. Southwest monsoon breaks and sub-seasonal sea surface temperature variability in the Bay of Bengal. Journal of Climate 15:1485-1493.

SST anomalies of ENSO and the Madden-Julian Oscillation in the equatorial Pacific

2002 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling

Zhang, C., Gottschalck, J. 2002. SST anomalies of ENSO and the Madden-Julian Oscillation in the equatorial Pacific. Journal of Climate 15:2429-2445.

Stratospheric connection to Northern Hemisphere wintertime weather: Implications for prediction

2002 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling

Thompson, D.W.J., Baldwin, M.P., Wallace, J.M. 2002. Stratospheric connection to Northern Hemisphere wintertime weather: Implications for prediction. Journal of Climate 15:1421-1428.

The Climate Impacts Group: Piloting climate services for the Pacific Northwest

2002 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Climate: PNW Climate

Snover, A.K., Climate Impacts Group 2002. The Climate Impacts Group: Piloting climate services for the Pacific Northwest. Prepared for the NOAA Climate Prediction Assessment Workshop: Research and Applications on Use and Impacts, Alexandria, Virginia. https://doi.org/10.7915/CIG01Z41T

The Impacts of Climate Change on Portland’s Water Supply: An Investigation of Potential Hydrologic and Management Impacts on the Bull Run System

2002 / Climate: PNW Climate, Hydrology & Water Resources

Palmer, R.N., Hahn, M.A. 2002. The Impacts of Climate Change on Portland’s Water Supply: An Investigation of Potential Hydrologic and Management Impacts on the Bull Run System. Report prepared for the Portland Water Bureau, University of Washington, Seattle. 139 pp. https://doi.org/10.7915/CIG1BK16W

The Pacific Decadal Oscillation

2002 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling

Mantua, N.J. 2002. The Pacific Decadal Oscillation. pp.592-594. In M.C. McCracken and J.S. Perry (eds), The Encyclopedia of Global Environmental Change, Volume 1, The Earth System: Physical and Chemical Dimension of Global Environmental Change. Chichester, England: John Wiley & Sons.

The Pacific Decadal Oscillation

2002 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Coastal & Marine Ecosystems

Mantua, N.J., Hare, S.R. 2002. The Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Journal of Oceanography 58(1):35-44.

Uncertainty in scenarios of human-caused climate change

2002 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling

Mantua, N.J., Mote, P.W. 2002. Uncertainty in scenarios of human-caused climate change. In N. McGinn (ed.), Fisheries in a Changing Climate Symposium 32, pp. 263-272, Bethesda, Maryland: American Fisheries Society.

Watershed planning, climate variability, and climate change: Bringing a global scale issue to the local level

2002 / Climate: PNW Climate, Hydrology & Water Resources, Theses & Dissertations

Whitely Binder, L.C. 2002. Watershed planning, climate variability, and climate change: Bringing a global scale issue to the local level. MPA degree project, Evans School of Public Affairs, University of Washington, Seattle. https://doi.org/10.7915/CIG7FQ9RC

A linear stochastic dynamical model of ENSO. Part II: Analysis

2001 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling

Thomson, C.J., Battisti, D.S. 2001. A linear stochastic dynamical model of ENSO. Part II: Analysis. Journal of Climate 14:445-466.

A national climate service: 21st century necessity

2001 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling

Sarachik, E.S. 2001. A national climate service: 21st century necessity. Guest editorial in ENSO Signal 17:5-6.

An historical narrative on the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, interdecadal climate variability and ecosystem impacts

2001 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Coastal & Marine Ecosystems, Hydrology & Water Resources

Hare, S.R., Mantua, N.J. 2001. An historical narrative on the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, interdecadal climate variability and ecosystem impacts. Report of a talk presented at the 20th NE Pacific Pink and Chum Workshop, Seattle, WA, 22 March 2001. https://doi.org/10.6069/6bz7mjcl

Anthropogenic climate change and snow in the Pacific Northwest

2001 / Climate: PNW Climate, Hydrology & Water Resources

Mote, P.W., Hamlet, A.F. 2001. Anthropogenic climate change and snow in the Pacific Northwest. In K. Elder (ed.), Proceedings of the Western Snow Conference, April 16-19, 2001, Sun Valley, Idaho, pp. 51-52, Portland, OR: Western Snow Conference.

Approaching the design of a national climate service: A public sector focus

2001 / Theses & Dissertations

Balwani, S. 2001. MMA thesis, School of Marine Affairs, University of Washington, Seattle. Access this publication through University of Washington Libraries:

Climate and Water Policy Workshop: Detailed Summary

2001 / Climate: PNW Climate, Hydrology & Water Resources

Climate Impacts Group. 2001. Climate and Water Policy Workshop: Detailed Summary. Climate and Water Policy Workshop, July 16-17, 2001, Stevenson, Washington. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle. 51pp. https://doi.org/10.7915/CIG6H12W8

Climate and Water Policy Workshop: Executive Summary

2001 / Climate: PNW Climate, Hydrology & Water Resources

Climate Impacts Group. 2001. Climate and Water Policy Workshop: Executive Summary. Climate and Water Policy Workshop, July 16-17, 2001, Stevenson, Washington. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle. 21pp. https://doi.org/10.7915/CIG56D5Q6

Climate change impacts on water supply system management in central California

2001 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Hydrology & Water Resources

VanRheenen, N.T., Palmer, R.N., Wood, A.W., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2001. Climate change impacts on water supply system management in central California. In Proceedings of the 2001 American Water Resources Association Annual Water Resources Conference, Middleburg, Virginia: American Water Resources Association.

Climate Change Science: An Analysis of Key Questions

2001 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling

National Research Council, Sarachik, E.S., Wallace, J.M. 2001. National Academy Press, Washington, D.C. 29pp. (Committee members: Sarachik and Wallace)

Climate sea surface temperature analysis

2001 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Coastal & Marine Ecosystems

Reynolds, R.E., Harrison, D.E., Stokes, D. 2001. Climate sea surface temperature analysis. pp. 87-101. In C.J. Koblinski and N.R. Smith (eds.), Observing the Ocean In the 21st Century. Melbourne, Australia: GODAE and Australian Bureau of Meteorology Publishers.

Comments on “Comparison of 1997-98 U.S. temperature and precipitation anomalies to historical ENSO Warm Phases”

2001 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling

Harrison, D.E., Larkin, N.K. 2001. Comments on “Comparison of 1997-98 U.S. temperature and precipitation anomalies to historical ENSO Warm Phases”. Journal of Climate 14:1894-1895.

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