Publications

349 publications found in query

Mauger, G.S. and J.S. Won 2024. Evaluation and Bias-Correction of Dynamically Downscaled Climate Projections. Report prepared for the Puget Sound Partnership. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington.

Streamflow Projections to Inform Climate-Adapted Culvert Designs in Washington state

2023 / Built Environment, Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Decision Support, Freshwater Ecosystems

Rogers, M., Thebo, A., Mauger, G. (2023). Streamflow Projections to Inform Climate-Adapted Culvert Designs in Washington State. Report prepared forWashington Department of Fish and Wildlife. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington. https://doi.org/10.6069/YKZE-PG92

An Assessment of Vertical Land Movement to Support Coastal Hazards Planning in Washington State

2021 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Climate: PNW Climate, Sea Level Rise

Newton, T.J., R. Weldon, I.M. Miller, D. Schmidt, G. Mauger, H. Morgan, and E. Grossman. 2021. An Assessment of Vertical Land Movement to Support Coastal Hazards Planning in Washington State. Water 13(3):281. https://doi.org/10.3390/w13030281

Bias-Corrected and Dynamically-Downscaled Hourly Temperature Projections for Sea-Tac

2021 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Decision Support, Hazards

Mauger, G.S. and J.S. Won. 2021. Bias-Corrected and Dynamically-Downscaled Hourly Temperature Projections for Sea-Tac. Report prepared for Seattle City Light. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington. https://doi.org/10.6069/GMRZ-6382

Climate Change & Flooding in Snohomish County: New Dynamically Downscaled Hydrologic Model Projections

2021 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Decision Support, Hydrology & Water Resources

Mauger, G.S., J. Robinson, R.J. Mitchell, J. Won, and N. Cristea (2021). Climate Change & Flooding in Snohomish County: New Dynamically-Downscaled Hydrologic Model Projections. Report prepared for Snohomish County. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington. https://doi.org/10.6069/SQJ2-DF62

Climate Change and Stormwater in Portland, Gresham, and Clackamas County

2021 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Decision Support, Hydrology & Water Resources

Morgan, H., G.S. Mauger, and J.S. Won. 2021. Climate Change and Stormwater in Portland, Gresham, and Clackamas County. Report prepared for the City of Portland, City of Gresham, and Clackamas County. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington.

New Culvert Projections for Washington State: Improved Modeling, Probabilistic Projections, and an Updated Web Tool

2021 / Built Environment, Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Hydrology & Water Resources

Mauger, G.S., M. Liu, J.C. Adam, J. Won, G. Wilhere, D. Dulan, J. Atha, L. Helbrecht, and T. Quinn (2021). New Culvert Projections for Washington State: Improved Modeling, Probabilistic Projections, and an Updated Web Tool. Report prepared for the Northwest Climate Adaptation Science Center. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington. https://doi.org/10.6069/31T3-RE28

Projected Changes in Climate Extremes Affecting Seattle City Light

2021 / Built Environment, Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Hazards

Mauger, G.S., Morgan, H., Raymond, C.L. and J.S. Won. 2021. Projected Changes in Climate Extremes Affecting Seattle City Light. Report prepared for Seattle City Light. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington. https://doi.org/10.6069/PZ4X-ZT90

Past is prologue: A case study exploration of the role of climate indicators in adaptation in the United States

2020 / Adaptation, Climate: Dynamics & Modeling

Vogel, J., A. St. Juliana, H. Hosterman, M. Kolian, J. Peers, D. Hyland, and K. Carney. 2020. Past is Prologue: A Case Study Review of How Historical Climate Indicators Inform Adaptation in the United States. Climate Services. 20. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2020.100202

Projecting Future High Flows on King County Rivers: Phase 2 Results

2020 / Built Environment, Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Hydrology & Water Resources

Mauger, G.S. and J.S. Won. 2020. Projecting Future High Flows on King County Rivers: Phase 2 Results. Report prepared for King County. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington. https://doi.org/10.6069/67G6-H984

New Projections of Changing Heavy Precipitation for Thurston County

2019 / Built Environment, Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Decision Support, Hydrology & Water Resources

Mauger, G.S., J.S. Won, 2019. New Projections of Changing Heavy Precipitation for Thurston County. Report prepared for the Thurston County Department of Public Works. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle.

Technical Memo: Changes in Extreme Precipitation

2019 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Hydrology & Water Resources

Mauger, G.S.; C. Macllroy; C. Raymond; J. Riedel. 2019. Technical Memo: Changes in Extreme Precipitation. Report prepared for the City of Anacortes. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington.

A high-resolution climate record spanning the past 17,000 years recovered from Lake Ohau, South Island, New Zealand

2018 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Hydrology & Water Resources

Levy, R. H., Dunbar, G. B., Vandergoes, M. J., Howarth, J. D., Kingan, T., Pyne, A. R., Brotherston, G., Clarke, M., Dagg, B., Hill, M., Kenton, E., Little, S., Mandeno, D., Moy, C., Muldoon, P., Doyle, P., Raines, C., Rutland, P., Strong, D., Terezow, M., Cochrane, L., Cossu, R., Fitzsimons, S., Florindo, F., Forrest, A. L., Gorman, A. R., Kaufman, D. S., Lee, M. K., Li, X., Lurcock, P., McKay, N., Nelson, F., Purdie, J., Roop, H. A., Schladow, S. G., Sood, A., Upton, P., Walker, S. L., and Wilson, G. S.: A high-resolution climate record spanning the past 17 000 years recovered from Lake Ohau, South Island, New Zealand, Sci. Dril., 24, 41–50, 2018. https://doi.org/10.5194/sd-24-41-2018

A hydroclimatological approach to predicting regional landslide probability using Landlab

2018 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Terrestrial Ecosystems, Vulnerability/Risk Assessment

Strauch, R., Istanbulluoglu, E., Nudurupati, S. S., Bandaragoda, C., Gasparini, N. M., and Tucker, G. E. 2018. A hydroclimatological approach to predicting regional landslide probability using Landlab, Earth Surface Dynamics, 6, 49-75. https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-6-49-2018

Effects of Ensemble Configuration on Estimates of Regional Climate Uncertainties

2018 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling

Goldenson, N., Mauger, G., Leung, L. R., Bitz, C. M., & Rhines, A. (2018). Effects of Ensemble Configuration on Estimates of Regional Climate Uncertainties. Geophysical Research Letters, 45(2), 926-934. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL076297

Local Enhancement of Extreme Precipitation during Atmospheric Rivers as Simulated in a Regional Climate Model

2018 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Hydrology & Water Resources

Lorente-Plazas, R., Mitchell, T.P., Mauger, G., Salathé, E.P., 2018. Local Enhancement of Extreme Precipitation during Atmospheric Rivers as Simulated in a Regional Climate Model. American Meteorological Society, 19:1429-1446. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-17-0246.1

New Projections of Changing Heavy Precipitation in King County

2018 / Built Environment, Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Decision Support, Hydrology & Water Resources

Mauger, G.S., J.S. Won, K. Hegewisch, C. Lynch, R. Lorente Plazas, E. P. Salathé Jr., 2018. New Projections of Changing Heavy Precipitation in King County. Report prepared for the King County Department of Natural Resources. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle.

Climate change and the eco-hydrology of fire: will area burned increase in a warming western USA?

2017 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Hydrology & Water Resources, Wildfire

McKenzie, D., and J.S. Littell. 2017. Climate change and the eco-hydrology of fire: will area burned increase in a warming western USA? Ecological Applications 27:26-36. http://doi.org/10.1002/eap.1420

New Projections of Changing Heavy Precipitation for the City of Everett

2017 / Built Environment, Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Decision Support, Hydrology & Water Resources

Mauger, G.S., J.S. Won, K. Hegewisch, C. Lynch, 2017. New Projections of Changing Heavy Preicpitation for the City of Everett. Report prepared for the City of Everett. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle.

Combined Effects of Projected Sea Level Rise, Storm Surge, and Peak River Flows on Water Levels in the Skagit River Floodplain

2016 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Climate: PNW Climate, Hydrology & Water Resources, Sea Level Rise

Hamman, J., Hamlet, A.F., Lee, S.Y., Fuller, R., and Grossman, E.F. 2016. Combined Effects of Projected Sea Level Rise, Storm Surge, and Peak River Flows on Water Levels in the Skagit River Floodplain. Northwest Science 90(1):57-78. http://doi.org/10.3955/046.090.0106

Increased water deficit decreases Douglas-fir growth throughout western US forests

2016 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Terrestrial Ecosystems

Restaino, C.M., D.L. Peterson, and J.S. Littell. 2016. Increased water deficit decreases Douglas-fir growth throughout western US forests. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA, 113 (34): 9557–9562. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1602384113

Changes in winter Atmospheric Rivers along the North American West Coast in CMIP5 climate models

2015 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Climate: PNW Climate

Warner, M.D., C.F. Mass, and E.P. Salathé Jr.. 2015. Changes in winter Atmospheric Rivers along the North American West Coast in CMIP5 climate models. J. Hydrometeor, 16, 118–128, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-14-0080.1

Final Project Report: Regional Modeling for Windstorms and Lightning

2015 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Climate: PNW Climate

Salathé, E.P. Jr., Mauger, G. S., Mass, C. F., Steed R., and B. Dotson. 2015. Final Project Report: Regional Modeling for Windstorms and Lightning. Report prepared for Seattle City Light by the Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle.

Estimates of Twenty-first Century flood risk in the Pacific Northwest based on regional scale climate model simulations

2014 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Hydrology & Water Resources

Salathé, E.P., Hamlet, A.F., Mass, C.F., Lee, S-Y., Stumbaugh, M., Steed, R. 2014. Estimates of Twenty-first Century flood risk in the Pacific Northwest based on regional scale climate model simulations. J. Hydrometeorology 15(5): 1881-1899, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-13-0137.1

What is the importance of climate model bias when projecting the impacts of climate change on land surface processes?

2014 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Hydrology & Water Resources

Liu, M., Rajagopalan, K., Chung, S.H., Jiang, X., Harris, R., Nergui, T., Guenther, A., Miller, C., Reyes, J., Tague, C., Choate, J., Salathé, E.P., Stöckle, C., Adam, J.C. 2014. What is the importance of climate model bias when projecting the impacts of climate change on land surface processes?. Biogeosciences 11: 2601-2622. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-11-2601-2014

An Evaluation of the Utility of Fine-scale, Downscaled Climate Projections for Connectivity Conservation Planning in Washington State

2013 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Terrestrial Ecosystems

Washington Wildlife Connectivity Working Group. 2013. An Evaluation of the Utility of Fine-scale, Downscaled Climate Projections for Connectivity Conservation Planning in Washington State. Washington Departments of Fish and Wildlife, and Transportation, Olympia, WA. https://doi.org/10.6069/h43hcba2

Changes in 20th century extreme temperature and precipitation over the western United States from regional climate model simulations and observations

2013 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Climate: PNW Climate

Dulière, V., Zhang, Y., Salathé, E.P. 2013. Changes in 20th century extreme temperature and precipitation over the western United States from regional climate model simulations and observations. Journal of Climate 26(21):8556-8575. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00818.1

Choosing and using climate change scenarios for ecological impacts assessments and conservation decisions

2013 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Decision Support

Snover, A.K., Mantua, N.J., Littell, J.S., Alexander, M.A., McClure, M., Nye, J. 2013. Choosing and using climate change scenarios for ecological impacts assessments and conservation decisions. Conservation Biology 27(6): 1147-1157. https://doi.org/10.1111/cobi.12163

ENSO anomalies over the western United States: Present and future patterns in regional climate simulations

2012 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Climate: PNW Climate

Zhang, Y. X., Y. Qian, V. Dulière, E. P. Salathé, and L. R. Leung, 2012. ENSO anomalies over the Western United States: Present and future patterns in regional climate simulations. Climatic Change 110:315-346

Modeling climate change impacts on overwintering bald eagles

2012 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Coastal & Marine Ecosystems

Harvey, C.J., P.E. Moriarty, and E.P. Salathé Jr. 2012. Modeling climate change impacts on overwintering bald eagles. Ecology and Evolution 2:501-514.

Moisture flux convergence in regional and global climate models: Implications for droughts in the southwestern United States under climate change

2012 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Hydrology & Water Resources

Gao, Y., Leung, L.R., Salathé, E.P., Dominguez, F., Nijssen, B., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2012. Geophysical Research Letters, 39, L09711. https://doi.org/10.1029/2012GL051560

Seasonal hydrologic forecasting: Do multimodel ensemble averages always yield improvements in forecast skill?

2012 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Hydrology & Water Resources

Bohn, T.J., Sonessa, M.Y., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2012. To appear in Journal of Hydrometeorology.

Daily time step refinement of optimized flood control rule curves for a global warming scenario

2011 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Hydrology & Water Resources

Lee, S-Y., Hamlet, A.F., Fitzgerald, C.J., Burges, S.J. 2011. Daily time step refinement of optimized flood control rule curves for a global warming scenario. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management137(4):309-317. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943-5452.0000125

ENSO anomalies over the Western United States: Present and future patterns in regional climate simulations

2011 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Climate: PNW Climate

Zhang, Y., Qian, Y., Dulire, V., Salathé, E.P., Leung, L.R. 2011. ENSO anomalies over the Western United States: Present and future patterns in regional climate simulations. Climatic Change 110:315-346. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0088-7

Extreme precipitations and temperatures over the U.S. Pacific Northwest: A comparison between observations, reanalysis data and regional models

2011 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Climate: PNW Climate

Dulire, V., Zhang, Y., Salathé, E.P. 2011. Extreme precipitations and temperatures over the U.S. Pacific Northwest: A comparison between observations, reanalysis data and regional models. Journal of Climate 24(7): 1950-1964. https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3224.1

Projected climate change over Southeast Asia simulated using a WRF regional climate model

2011 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling

Chotamonsak, C., Salathé, E.P., Kreasuwan, J., Chantara, S., Siriwitayakorn, K. 2011. Projected climate change over Southeast Asia simulated using a WRF regional climate model. Atmospheric Science Letters 12(2):213-219. https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.313

Application of partial least squares regression to the diagnosis of year-to-year variations in Pacific Northwest snowpack and Atlantic hurricanes

2010 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Climate: PNW Climate, Hydrology & Water Resources

Smoliak, B.V., Wallace, J.M., Stoelinga, M.T., Mitchell, T.P. 2010. Application of partial least squares regression to the diagnosis of year-to-year variations in Pacific Northwest snowpack and Atlantic hurricanes. Geophysical Research Letters 37, L03801. https://doi.org/10.1029/2009GL041478

Assessing Pacific Northwest water resources stakeholder data needs

2010 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Hydrology & Water Resources

Lee, C., Whitely Binder, L.C. 2010. Assessing Pacific Northwest water resources stakeholder data needs. Chapter 2 in Final Report for the Columbia Basin Climate Change Scenarios Project, Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle. https://doi.org/10.6069/v06cn18j

Data products test procedures

2010 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling

Elsner, M.M., Mauger, G.S., Tohver, I., Lee, S-Y., Hamlet, A.F. 2010. Chapter 9 in Final Report for the Columbia Basin Climate Change Scenarios Project, Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle. https://doi.org/10.6069/5212gli3

Future climate in the Pacific Northwest

2010 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Climate: PNW Climate

Mote, P.W., Salathé, E.P. 2010. Future climate in the Pacific Northwest. Climatic Change 102(1-2): 29-50. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-010-9848-z

Historical meteorological driving data set

2010 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Climate: PNW Climate

Deems, J., Hamlet, A.F. 2010. Historical meteorological driving data set. Chapter 3 in Final Report for the Columbia Basin Climate Change Scenarios Project, Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle. https://doi.org/10.6069/aypzmy3s

Overview of website design and implementation

2010 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling

Kamstra, T., Hamlet, A.F. 2010. Chapter 9 in Final Report for the Columbia Basin Climate Change Scenarios Project, Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle. https://doi.org/10.6069/zum5fmij

Regional climate model projections for the State of Washington

2010 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Climate: PNW Climate

Salathé, E.P., Leung, L.R., Qian, Y., Zhang, Y. 2010. Regional climate model projections for the State of Washington. Climatic Change 102(1-2): 51-75. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-010-9849-y

Seattle City Light Climate Change Analysis

2010 / Built Environment, Climate: Dynamics & Modeling

Snover, A. K., A. F. Hamlet, S.‐Y. Lee, N. J. Mantua, E. P. Salathé, Jr, R. Steed, I. Tohver. 2010. “Seattle City Light Climate Change Analysis: Climate change impacts on regional climate, climate extremes, streamflow, water temperature, and hydrologic extremes.” Prepared for The City of Seattle, Seattle City Light by The Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington. June.

Statistical downscaling techniques for global climate model simulations of temperature and precipitation with application to water resources planning studies

2010 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Climate: PNW Climate, Hydrology & Water Resources

Hamlet, A.F., Salathé, E.P., Carrasco, P. 2010. Statistical downscaling techniques for global climate model simulations of temperature and precipitation with application to water resources planning studies. Chapter 4 in Final Report for the Columbia Basin Climate Change Scenarios Project, Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle. https://doi.org/10.6069/bjoayxkb

The El Niño-Southern Oscillation Phenomenon

2010 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Climate: PNW Climate

Sarachik, E.S., Cane, M.A. 2010. The El Niño-Southern Oscillation Phenomenon. Cambridge, United Kingdom: Cambridge University Press.

A preliminary synthesis of modeled climate change impacts on U.S. regional ozone concentrations

2009 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Human Health

Weaver, C.P., Liang, X.-Z., Zhu, J., Adams, P.J., Amar, P., Avise, J., Caughey, M., Chen, J., Cohen, R.C., Cooter, E., Dawson, J.P., Gilliam, R., Gilliland, A., Goldstein, A.H., Grambsch, A., Grano, D., Guenther, A., Gustafson, W.I., Harley, R.A., He, S., Hemming, B., Hogrefe, C., Huang, H.-C., Hunt, S.W., Jacob, D.J., Kinney, P.L., Kunkel, K., Lamarque, J-F., Lamb, B., Larkin, N.K., Leung, L.R., Liao, K.-J., Lin, J.-T., Lynn, B.H., Manomaiphiboon, K., Mass, C., McKenzie, D., Mickley, L. J., O’Neill, S.M., Nolte, C. 2009. A preliminary synthesis of modeled climate change impacts on U.S. regional ozone concentrations. A preliminary synthesis of modeled climate change impacts on U.S. regional ozone concentrations. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 90:1843-1863.

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