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The Winds of Change? Exploring Climate Change-driven Migration and Related Impacts in the Pacific Northwest: Symposium Summary

Whitely Binder, L.C. and J. Jurjevich. 2016. The Winds of Change? Exploring Climate Change-driven Migration and Related Impacts in the Pacific Northwest: Symposium Summary. June 24, 2016, Portland, Oregon: Portland State University Population Research Center (Portland, Oregon) and the University of Washington Climate Impacts Group (Seattle, Washington).

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Adapting to Change: Climate Impacts and Innovation in Puget Sound

The Nature Conservancy and the Climate Impacts Group. 2016. Adapting to Change: Climate Impacts and Innovation in Puget Sound. Edited by J. Morse, J. Israel, L. Whitely Binder, G. Mauger, and A.K. Snover. The Nature Conservancy, Seattle, WA. 24 pp.

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Fire and Drought

Littell, J.S., D.L. Peterson, K.L. Riley, Y.Q. Liu, and C.H. Luce. 2016. Fire and Drought. pages 135-150 in Vose, J.M., J.S. Clark, C.H. Luce, and T. Patel-Weynand. Effects of Drought on Forests and Rangelands in the United States: A Comprehensive Science Synthesis. United States Forest Service General Technical Report Gen. Tech. Report WO-93b.

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Refined Estimates of Climate Change Affected Hydrology in the Chehalis basin

Mauger, G.S., S.-Y. Lee, C. Bandaragoda, Y. Serra, J.S. Won, 2016. Refined Estimates of Climate Change Affected Hydrology in the Chehalis basin. Report prepared for Anchor QEA, LLC. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle. doi:10.7915/CIG53F4MH

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Stillaguamish Tribe Natural Resources Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment

Krosby, M., Morgan, H. Case, M., Whitely Binder, L. 2016. Stillaguamish Tribe Natural Resources Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington.

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State of Knowledge: Climate Change in Puget Sound

Mauger, G.S., J.H. Casola, H.A. Morgan, R.L. Strauch, B. Jones, B. Curry, T.M. Busch Isaksen, L. Whitely Binder, M.B. Krosby, and A.K. Snover. 2015. State of Knowledge: Climate Change in Puget Sound. Report prepared for the Puget Sound Partnership and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle. doi:10.7915/CIG93777D

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A 350-year reconstruction of the response of south Cascade Glacier to interannual and interdecadal climatic variability

Marcinkowski, K.W. and D.L. Peterson. 2015. A 350-year reconstruction of the response of south Cascade Glacier to interannual and interdecadal climatic variability. Northwest Science 89(1): 14-33.

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Adapting transportation to climate change on federal lands in Washington State, U.S.A.

Strauch, R.L., C. L. Raymond, R.M. Rochefort, A.F. Hamlet, C. Lauver. 2015. Adapting transportation to climate change on federal lands in Washington State, U.S.A. Climatic Change, 130: 185-199.

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Adapting transportation to climate change on federal lands in Washington State, U.S.A.

Strauch, R.L., C.L. Raymond, R.M. Rochefort, A.F. Hamlet, and C. Lauver. 2015. Adapting transportation to climate change on federal lands in Washington State, U.S.A. Climatic Change 130(2): 185-199.

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Changes in winter Atmospheric Rivers along the North American West Coast in CMIP5 climate models

Warner, M.D., C.F. Mass, and E.P. Salathé Jr.. 2015. Changes in winter Atmospheric Rivers along the North American West Coast in CMIP5 climate models. J. Hydrometeor, 16, 118–128, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-14-0080.1

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Climate change and marine vertebrates

Sydeman, W.J., E. Poloczanska, T.E. Reed, and S.A. Thompson. 2015. Climate change and marine vertebrates. Science 13 (350, no. 6262): 772-777, doi: 10.1126/science.aac9874

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Climate Change Impacts on Tacoma Power Watersheds

Lee, S-Y., Mauger, G., and L. Whitely Binder. 2015. Climate Change Impacts on Tacoma Power Watersheds. Report prepared for Tacoma Power by the Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Climate change, Migration, and the Puget Sound Region

Saperstein, A. 2015. Climate Change, Migration, and the Puget Sound Region: What We Know and How We Could Learn More. Report prepared for the University of Washington Climate Impacts Group. The Daniel J. Evans School of Public Policy and Governance, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Climate-induced range overlap among closely related species

Krosby, M., Wilsey, C., Duggan, J., Heinrichs, J., McGuire, J., Nogeire, T., Lawler, J., and J. Tewksbury. 2015. Climate-induced range overlap among closely related species. Nature Climate Change 5,883–886(2015), doi:10.1038/nclimate2699

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Comparing Large-Scale Hydrological Model Predictions with Observed Streamflow in the Pacific Northwest: Effects of Climate and Groundwater

Safeeq, M., G.S. Mauger, G.E. Grant, I. Arismendi, A.F. Hamlet, S-Y Lee. 2015. Comparing Large-Scale Hydrological Model Predictions with Observed Streamflow in the Pacific Northwest: Effects of Climate and Groundwater. J. Hydrometeor, 15, 2501–2521.

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Final Project Report: Regional Modeling for Windstorms and Lightning

Salathé, E.P. Jr., Mauger, G. S., Mass, C. F., Steed R., and B. Dotson. 2015. Final Project Report: Regional Modeling for Windstorms and Lightning. Report prepared for Seattle City Light by the Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Increased hospital admissions associated with extreme-heat exposure in King County, Washington, 1990-2010

Isaksen, T.B., M.G. Yost, E.K. Hom, Y. Ren , H. Lyons, R.A. Fenske. 2015. Increased hospital admissions associated with extreme-heat exposure in King County, Washington, 1990-2010. Rev Environ Health, 30, 51-64.

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Present-day and future climate pathways affecting Alexandrium blooms in Puget Sound, WA, USA

Moore, S.K., J.A. Johnstone, N.S. Banas, and E.P. Salathé Jr. 2015. Present-day and future climate pathways affecting Alexandrium blooms in Puget Sound, WA, USA. Harmful Algae 48: 1–11, doi:10.1016/j.hal.2015.06.008

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Projecting the hydrologic impacts of climate change on montane wetlands

Lee, S-Y, M.E. Ryan, A.F. Hamlet, W.J. Palen, J.J. Lawler, and M. Halabisky. 2015. Projecting the hydrologic impacts of climate change on montane wetlands. PLoS ONE 10(11):e0142960, doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0142960

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Riparian Climate-Corridors: Analysis Extension, Improvements, and Validation

Krosby, M., R. Norheim, and D. M. Theobald. 2015. Riparian Climate-Corridors: Analysis Extension, Improvements, and Validation. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Agreed but not preferred: Expert views on taboo options for biodiversity conservation, given climate change

Hagerman, S.M., Satterfield, T.  2014. Agreed but not preferred: Expert views on taboo options for biodiversity conservation, given climate change. Ecological Applications 24(3): 548-559.

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Climate and very large wildland fires in the contiguous western USA

Stavros, E.N., Abatzoglou, J., Larkin, N., McKenzie, D., Steel, E.A. 2014. Climate and very large wildland fires in the contiguous western USA. International Journal of Wildland Fire 23(7): 899-914, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/WF13169.

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Climate Change and United States Forests

Peterson, D.L., Vose, J.M., Patel-Weynand, T.  2014. Climate Change and United States Forests. Published by Springer, Dordrecht, The Netherlands. 261 p.

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Climate change and wind intensification in coastal upwelling ecosystems

Syndeman, W.J., García-Reyes, M., Schoelam, D.S., Rykaczewski, R.R., Thompson, S.A., Black, B.A., Bograd, S.J. 2014. Climate change and wind intensification in coastal upwelling ecosystems. Science 4 July 2014: 345 (6192), 77-80. DOI:10.1126/science.1251635

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Climate change vulnerability and adaptation in the North Cascades region, Washington

Raymond, C.L., Peterson, D.L., Rochefort, R.M. 2014. Climate Change Vulnerability and Adaptation in the North Cascades Region, Washington. General Technical Report, PNW-GTR-892. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station. 279 p.

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Climate Change, Sea Level Rise, and Flooding in the Lower Snohomish River Basin

Mauger, G. S., and S.-Y. Lee, 2014. Climate Change, Sea Level Rise, and Flooding in the Lower Snohomish River Basin. Report prepared for The Nature Conservancy by the Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Climate, fire size, and biophysical setting control fire severity and spatial pattern in the northern Cascade Range, USA

Cansler, C.A., and D. McKenzie. 2014. Climate, fire size, and biophysical setting control fire severity and spatial pattern in the northern Cascade Range, USA. Ecological Applications 24:1037–1056, http://dx.doi.org/10.1890/13-1077.1

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Estimates of Twenty-first Century flood risk in the Pacific Northwest based on regional scale climate model simulations

Salathé, E.P., Hamlet, A.F., Mass, C.F., Lee, S-Y., Stumbaugh, M., Steed, R. 2014. Estimates of Twenty-first Century flood risk in the Pacific Northwest based on regional scale climate model simulations. J. Hydrometeorology 15(5): 1881-1899, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-13-0137.1.

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Impacts of 21st century climate change on hydrologic extremes in the Pacific Northwest region of North America

Tohver, I., Hamlet, A.F., Lee, S-Y.  2014. Impacts of 21st century climate change on hydrologic extremes in the Pacific Northwest region of North America. Journal of the American Water Works Association. 1-16. DOI: 10.1111/jawr.12199

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Impacts of climate change on milk production in the United States

Mauger, G.S., Bauman, Y, Nennich, T., and Salathé, E.P.  2014. Impacts of climate change on milk production in the United States. Professional Geographer, doi:10.1080/00330124.2014.921017

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Northwest

Mote, P.W., Snover, A.K., Capalbo, S.M., Eigenbrode, S., Glick, P., Littell, J.S., Raymondi, R., Reeder, S. 2014. Chapter 21 in Climate Change Impacts in the United States: The Third U.S. National Climate Assessment, J. Melillo, Terese (T.C.) Richmond, and G.W. Yohe, Eds., U.S. Global Change Research Program, 16-1-nn.

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Regional projections of the likelihood of very large wildland fires under a changing climate in the contiguous Western United States

Stavros, E.N., Abatzoglou, J., McKenzie, D., Larkin, N.  2014. Regional projections of the likelihood of very large wildland fires under a changing climate in the contiguous Western United States. Climatic Change 126(3-4): 455-468, doi: 10.1007/s10584-014-1229-6.

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Riparian Climate-corridors: Identifying Priority Areas for Conservation in a Changing Climate

Krosby, M., Norheim, R., Theobald, D. M., and B. H. McRae. 2014. Riparian Climate-corridors: Identifying Priority Areas for Conservation in a Changing Climate. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle.

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The climate-wildfire-air quality system: interactions and feedbacks across spatial and temporal scales

Stavros, E.N., McKenzie, D., Larkin, N.  2014. The climate-wildfire-air quality system: interactions and feedbacks across spatial and temporal scales. WIREs Climate Change 5: 719-733. doi: 10.1002/wcc.303.

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Uncertainty and Extreme Events in Future Climate and Hydrologic Projections for the Pacific Northwest: Providing a Basis for Vulnerability and Core/Corridor Assessments

Littell, J.S., Mauger, G.S., Salathé, E.P., Hamlet, A.F., Lee, S-Y., Stumbaugh, M., Elsner, M.M., Norheim, R.A., Lutz, E.R., Mantua, N.J. 2014. Uncertainty and Extreme Events in Future Climate and Hydrologic Projections for the Pacific Northwest: Providing a Basis for Vulnerability and Core/Corridor Assessments. Final report for Department of the Interior Pacific Northwest Climate Science Center. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle, WA.

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What is the importance of climate model bias when projecting the impacts of climate change on land surface processes?

Liu, M., Rajagopalan, K., Chung, S.H., Jiang, X., Harris, R., Nergui, T., Guenther, A., Miller, C., Reyes, J., Tague, C., Choate, J., Salathé, E.P., Stöckle, C., Adam, J.C. 2014. What is the importance of climate model bias when projecting the impacts of climate change on land surface processes?. Biogeosciences 11: 2601-2622, doi:10.5194/bg-11-2601-2014.

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Sound Transit Climate Risk Reduction Project

Whitely Binder, L., I. Tohver, A. Shatzkin, and A.K. Snover. 2013. Sound Transit Climate Risk Reduction Project. Federal Transit Administration (FTA) Report No. 0075, U.S. Department of Transportation, Washington, DC. Available at: http://ntl.bts.gov/lib/55000/55500/55558/FTA_Report_No._0075.pdf

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An Evaluation of the Utility of Fine-scale, Downscaled Climate Projections for Connectivity Conservation Planning in Washington State

Washington Wildlife Connectivity Working Group. 2013. An Evaluation of the Utility of Fine-scale, Downscaled Climate Projections for Connectivity Conservation Planning in Washington State. Washington Departments of Fish and Wildlife, and Transportation, Olympia, WA.

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An overview of the Columbia Basin Climate Change Scenarios Project: Approach, methods, and summary of key results

Hamlet, A.F., Elsner, M.M., Mauger, G.S., Lee, S-Y., Tohver, I., Norheim, R.A. 2013. An overview of the Columbia Basin Climate Change Scenarios Project: Approach, methods, and summary of key results. Atmosphere-Ocean 51(4):392-415, doi: 10.1080/07055900.2013.819555.

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Changes in 20th century extreme temperature and precipitation over the western United States from regional climate model simulations and observations

Dulire, V., Zhang, Y., Salathé, E.P.  2013. Changes in 20th century extreme temperature and precipitation over the western United States from regional climate model simulations and observations. Journal of Climate 26(21):8556-8575, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00818.1.

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Choosing and using climate change scenarios for ecological impacts assessments and conservation decisions

Snover, A.K., Mantua, N.J., Littell, J.S., Alexander, M.A., McClure, M., Nye, J. 2013. Choosing and using climate change scenarios for ecological impacts assessments and conservation decisions. Conservation Biology 27(6): 1147-1157, doi: 10.1111/cobi.12163.

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Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation in Washington State: Technical Summaries for Decision Makers

Snover, A.K., Mauger, G.S., Whitely Binder, L.C., Krosby, M., Tohver, I. 2013. Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation in Washington State: Technical Summaries for Decision Makers. State of Knowledge Report prepared for the Washington State Department of Ecology. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation in Washington State: Technical Summaries for Decision Makers – Executive Summary

Snover, A.K., Mauger, G.S., Whitely Binder, L.C., Krosby, M., Tohver, I. 2013. Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation in Washington State: Technical Summaries for Decision Makers – Executive Summary. State of Knowledge Report prepared for the Washington State Department of Ecology. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Climate Change in the Northwest: Implications for our Landscapes, Waters, and Communities

Dalton, M., Mote, P.W., Snover, A.K.  2013. Climate Change in the Northwest: Implications for our Landscapes, Waters, and Communities. Washington, D.C.: Island Press. 271 pp.

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Coasts: Complex changes affecting the Northwest’s diverse shorelines

Reeder, W.S., Ruggiero, P., Shafer, S.L., Snover, A.K., Houston, L.L., Glick, P., Newton, J.A., Capalbo, S.M. 2013. Coasts: Complex changes affecting the Northwest’s diverse shorelines. Chapter 4, pp 67-109. In M.M. Dalton, P.W. Mote, and A.K. Snover (eds.) Climate Change in the Northwest: Implications for Our Landscapes, Waters, and Communities, Washington D.C.: Island Press.

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Forest ecosystems: Vegetation, disturbance, and economics

Littell, J.S., Hicke, J.A., Shafer, S.L., Capalbo, S.M., Houston, L.L., Glick, P. 2013. Forest ecosystems: Vegetation, disturbance, and economics. Chapter 5, pp 110-148. In M.M. Dalton, P.W. Mote, and A.K. Snover (eds.) Climate Change in the Northwest: Implications for Our Landscapes, Waters, and Communities, Washington D.C.: Island Press.

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Incorporating climate science in applications of the U.S. Endangered Species Act for aquatic species

McClure, M., Alexander, M.A., Borggaard, D., Boughton, D., Crozier, L.G., Griffis, R., Jorgensen, J.C., Lindley, S.T., Nye, J., Rowland, M.J., Seney, E.E., Snover, A.K., Toole, C., van Houtan, K. 2013. Incorporating climate science in applications of the U.S. Endangered Species Act for aquatic species. Conservation Biology 27(6): 1222-1233, doi: 10.1111/cobi.12166.

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Introduction

Antrim, L., Miller, I., Whitely Binder, L.C., Tohver, I.  2013. Introduction. Chapter 1, pp.1-10. In Miller, I.M., Shishido, C., Antrim, L, and Bowlby, C.E. (eds.), Climate Change and the Olympic Coast National Marine Sanctuary: Interpreting Potential Futures. Marine Sanctuaries Conservation Series ONMS-13-01. U.S. Department of Commerce, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Office of National Marine Sanctuaries, Silver Spring, MD. 238 pp.

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Introduction: The changing Northwest

Snover, A.K., Glick, P., Capalbo, S.M.  2013. Introduction: The changing Northwest. Chapter 1, pp 1-24. In M.M. Dalton, P.W. Mote, and A.K. Snover (eds.) Climate Change in the Northwest: Implications for Our Landscapes, Waters, and Communities, Washington D.C.: Island Press.

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Key considerations for moving forward with adaptation in OCNMS

Whitely Binder, L.C., Shishido, C., Snover, A.K.  2013. Key considerations for moving forward with adaptation in OCNMS. Chapter 5, pp.153-168. In Miller, I.M., Shishido, C., Antrim, L, and Bowlby, C.E. (eds.), Climate Change and the Olympic Coast National Marine Sanctuary: Interpreting Potential Futures. Marine Sanctuaries Conservation Series ONMS-13-01. U.S. Department of Commerce, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Office of National Marine Sanctuaries, Silver Spring, MD. 238 pp.

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Optimal design of a climatological network: Beyond practical considerations

Mauger, G.S., Bumbaco, K.A., Hakim, G.J., Mote, P.W.  2013. Optimal design of a climatological network: Beyond practical considerations. Geoscientific Instrumentation, Methods and Data Systems 2(2):199-212. doi:10.5194/gi-2-199-2013.

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Physical effects of climate change in OCNMS: Altered hydrologic patterns

Tohver, I.  2013. Chapter 2.8, pp.60-66. In Miller, I.M., Shishido, C., Antrim, L, and Bowlby, C.E. (eds.), Climate Change and the Olympic Coast National Marine Sanctuary: Interpreting Potential Futures. Marine Sanctuaries Conservation Series ONMS-13-01. U.S. Department of Commerce, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Office of National Marine Sanctuaries, Silver Spring, MD. 238 pp.

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Potential effects of warming climate on visitor use in three Alaskan national parks

Albano, C.M., Angelo, C.L., Strauch, R.L., Thurman, L.L.  2013. Potential effects of warming climate on visitor use in three Alaskan national parks. Park Science 30(1):37-44.

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Restoring salmon habitat for a changing climate

Beechie, T.J., Imaki, H., Greene, J., Wade, A., Wu, H., Press, G., Roni, P., Kimball, J., Stanford, J., Kiffney, P., Mantua, N.J. 2013. Restoring salmon habitat for a changing climate. River Research and Applications, 29: 939-960. doi: 10.1002/rra.2590

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Steelhead vulnerability to climate change in the Pacific Northwest

Wade, A.A., Beechie, T.J., Fleishman, E., Mantua, N.J., Wu, H., Kimball, J.S., Stroms, D.M., Stanford, J.A. 2013. Steelhead vulnerability to climate change in the Pacific Northwest. Journal of Applied Ecology 50(5): 1093-1104, doi: 10.1111/1365-2664.12137.

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Temporal carbon dynamics of forests in Washington, U.S.: Implications for ecological theory and carbon management

Raymond, C.L., McKenzie, D.  2013. Temporal carbon dynamics of forests in Washington, U.S.: Implications for ecological theory and carbon management. Forest Ecology and Management 310: 796-811, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2013.09.026.

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The North Cascadia Adaptation Partnership: A science-management collaboration for responding to climate change

Raymond, C.L., Peterson, D.L., Rochefort, R.M. 2013. The North Cascadia Adaptation Partnership: A science-management collaboration for responding to climate change. Sustainability 5(1):136-159, doi:10.3390/su5010136.

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Tree growth and climate in the Pacific Northwest, North America: A broad-scale analysis of changing growth environments

Albright, W.L., Peterson, D.L. Tree growth and climate in the Pacific Northwest, North America: A broad-scale analysis of changing growth environments. 2013. Journal of Biogeography 40:2119-2133, doi: 10.1111/jbi.12157.

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Tree-species range shifts in a changing climate – detecting, modeling, assisting

Iverson, L.R., McKenzie, D. 2013. Tree-species range shifts in a changing climate – detecting, modeling, assisting. Landscape Ecology 28(5):879-889, doi: 10.1007/s10980-013-9885-x.

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U.S. strategy for forest management adaptation to climate change: Building a framework for decision making

Sample, V.A., Halofsky, J.E., Peterson, D.L.  2013. U.S. strategy for forest management adaptation to climate change: Building a framework for decision making. Annals of Forest Science, doi:10.1007/s13595-013-0288-6.

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Wildfire and fuel treatment effects on forest carbon dynamics in the western United States

Restaino, J.C., Peterson, D.L.  2013. Wildfire and fuel treatment effects on forest carbon dynamics in the western United States. Forest Ecology and Management 303:46-60, doi:10.1016/j.foreco.2013.03.043.

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Carbon dynamics of forests in Washington, USA: 21st century projections based on climate-driven changes in fire regimes

Raymond, C.L., McKenzie, D.  2012. Carbon dynamics of forests in Washington, USA: 21st century projections based on climate-driven changes in fire regimes. Ecological Applications 22(5):1589-1611, doi:10.1890/11-1851.1.

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Effects of Projected Twenty-First Century Sea Level Rise, Storm Surge, and River Flooding on Water Levels in Puget Sound Floodplains and Estuaries

Hamman, J.J.  2012. Master's Thesis, University of Washington.

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ENSO anomalies over the western United States: Present and future patterns in regional climate simulations

Zhang, Y., Dulire, V., Salathé, E.P., Qian, Y., Leung, L.R. 2012. To appear in Journal of Climate.

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Estimating seasonal uncertainties in paleo-reconstructed hydrologic variables, with applications to climate change assessments

Lutz, E.R., Hamlet, A.F., Littell, J.S.  2012. (in press).

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Estimating the water budget of major U.S. river basins via remote sensing

Gao, H., Tang, Q., Ferguson, C.R., Wood, E.F., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2012. To appear in International Journal of Remote Sensing.

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Moisture flux convergence in regional and global climate models: Implications for droughts in the southwestern United States under climate change

Gao, Y., Leung, L.R., Salathé, E.P., Dominguez, F., Nijssen, B., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2012. Geophysical Research Letters, 39, L09711, doi:10.1029/2012GL051560.

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Northern Rockies Climate Change Primer

Littell, J.S.  2012. Northern Rockies Climate Change Primer. Prepared for the U.S. Forest Service, Region 1, by the Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Ocean Acidification: From Knowledge to Action, Washington State’s Strategic Response

Whitely Binder, L.C., Washington State Blue Ribbon Panel on Ocean Acidification. 2012. Ocean Acidification: From Knowledge to Action, Washington State’s Strategic Response. H. Adelsman and L. Whitely Binder (eds). Washington Department of Ecology, Olympia, Washington. Publication no. 12-01-015.

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Paleoreconstruction of cool season precipitation and warm season streamflow in the Pacific Northwest with estimates of uncertainties and applications to climate change assessments

Lutz, E.R., Hamlet, A.F., Littell, J.S.  2012. Water Resources Research 48, W01525, doi:10.1029/2011WR010687.

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Potential trophodynamic and environmental drivers of steelhead (Oncorhynchus mykiss) productivity in the North Pacific Ocean

Atcheson, M.E., Myers, K.W., Davis, N.D., Mantua, N.J.  2012. Potential trophodynamic and environmental drivers of steelhead (Oncorhynchus mykiss) productivity in the North Pacific Ocean. Fisheries Oceanography 21(5):321-335, doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2419.2012.00627.x.

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Resource allocation under stress: The Snake River in Idaho

Slaughter, R.  2012. Resource allocation under stress:  The Snake River in Idaho. Climate Impacts Group (CIG), University of Washington, and Idaho Water Resources Research Institute (IWRRI), University of Idaho. A case study of the impact of institutional design on resource allocation and adaptation. IWRRI Report 201203.

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Responses to climate change integration challenges in the PNW

Peters, J.  2012. Responses to climate change integration challenges in the PNW. White Paper prepared for the North Pacific Landscape Conservation Cooperative. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle. 37 pg.

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Seasonal hydrologic forecasting: Do multimodel ensemble averages always yield improvements in forecast skill?

Bohn, T.J., Sonessa, M.Y., Lettenmaier, D.P.  2012. To appear in Journal of Hydrometeorology.

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Simulating the effects of climate change on population connectivity of American marten (Martes americana) in the northern Rocky Mountains, USA

Wasserman, T.N., Cushman, S.A., Shirk, A.S., Landguth, E.L., Littell, J.S. 2012. Simulating the effects of climate change on population connectivity of American marten (Martes americana)  in the northern Rocky Mountains, USA. Landscape Ecology 27(2):211-225, doi:10.1007/s10980-011-9653-8.

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The salmon MALBEC project: A North Pacific-scale study to support salmon conservation planning

Mantua, N.J., Taylor, N.G., Ruggerone, G.T., Myers, K.W., Preikshot, D., Augerot, X., Davis, N.D., Dorner, B., Hilborn, R., Peterman, R.M., Rand, P., Schindler, D., Stanford, J., Walker, R.V., Walters, C.J. The salmon MALBEC project: A North Pacific-scale study to support salmon conservation planning. 2012. To appear in Proceedings of the NPAFC BASIS Symposium.

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The State of Adaptation in the United States: An Overview

Hansen, L., Gregg, R.M., Arroyo, V., Jackson, L., Snover, A.K. 2012. The State of Adaptation in the United States: An Overview. A report for the John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation. EcoAdapt.

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U.S. National Forests adapt to climate change through science-management partnerships

Littell, J.S., Peterson, D.L., Millar, C.I., O'Halloran, K.  2012. Climatic Change doi: 10.1007/s10584-011-0066-0.

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Using Physically Based Hydrology Models to Improve Fine Scale Estimates of Q100 in Complex Mountain Terrain

Tohver, I., Lee, S-Y., Hamlet, A.F.  2012. Final project report prepared for Olympic National Park and Olympic National Forest by the Climate Impacts Group and the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering University of Washington, Seattle.

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Vose, J., D.L. Peterson, and T. Patel-Weynand. 2012. Effects of climatic variability and change on forest ecosystems: a comprehensive science synthesis for the U.S. forest sector.

Vose, J., Peterson, D.L., Patel-Weynand, T.  2012. USDA Forest Service General Technical Report PNW-GTR-870. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station. 265 p.

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Wintertime extreme precipitation events along the Pacific Northwest coast: Climatology and synoptic evolution

Warner, M.D., Mass, C., Salathé, E.P.  2012. Wintertime extreme precipitation events along the Pacific Northwest coast: Climatology and synoptic evolution. Monthly Weather Review 140: 2021-2043, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-11-00197.1.

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Adapting to climate change at Olympic National Forest and Olympic National Park

Halofsky, J.E., Peterson, D.L., O’Halloran, K., Hawkins Hoffman, C.  2011. Adapting to climate change at Olympic National Forest and Olympic National Park. USDA Forest Service General Technical Report PNW-GTR-844. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Portland, Oregon. 130 p.

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Automated upscaling of river networks for macroscale hydrological modeling

Wu, H., Kimball, J., Mantua, N.J., Stanford, J. 2011. Automated upscaling of river networks for macroscale hydrological modeling. Water Resour. Res. 47, W03517, doi:10.1029/2009WR008871.

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Climate change and mountain water resources: Overview and recommendations for research, management, and policy

Viviroli, D., Archer, D.R., Buytaert, W., Fowler, H.J., Greenwood, G.B., Hamlet, A.F., Huang, Y., Koboltschnig, G., Litaor, M.I., Lpez-Moreno, J.I., Lorentz, S., Schdler, B., Schreier, H., Schwaiger, K., Vuille, M., Woods, R. Climate change and mountain water resources: Overview and recommendations for research, management, and policy. 2011. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 15(2): 471-504, doi:10.5194/hess-15-471-2011.

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Climate change and wilderness fire regimes

McKenzie, D., Littell, J.S.  2011. Climate change and wilderness fire regimes. International Journal of Wilderness 17(1): 22-31.

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Climate change predicted to shift wolverine distributions, connectivity, and dispersal corridors

McKelvey, K.S., Copeland, J.P., Schwartz, M.K., Littell, J.S., Aubry, K.B., Squires, J.R., Parks, S.A., Elsner, M.M., Mauger, G.S. 2011. Climate change predicted to shift wolverine distributions, connectivity, and dispersal corridors. Ecological Applications 21:2882-2897.

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Climatic water balance and regional fire years in the Pacific Northwest, USA: Linking regional climate and fire at landscape scales

Littell, J.S., Gwozdz, R.  2011. Climatic water balance and regional fire years in the Pacific Northwest, USA: Linking regional climate and fire at landscape scales. Chapter 5, pp. 117-139. In McKenzie, D., C.M. Miller, and D.A. Falk (eds.), The Landscape Ecology of Fire, Ecological Studies 213, Springer, Dordrecht, The Netherlands, doi 10.1007/978-94-007-0301-8_5.

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Coherent region-, species-, and frequency-dependent local climate signals in Northern Hemisphere tree-ring widths

Wettstein, J.J., Littell, J.S., Gedalof, Z.M., Wallace, J.M.  2011. Coherent region-, species-, and frequency-dependent local climate signals in Northern Hemisphere tree-ring widths. Journal of Climate 24, 5998-6012, doi: 10.1175/2011JCLI3822.1.

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Daily time step refinement of optimized flood control rule curves for a global warming scenario

Lee, S-Y., Hamlet, A.F., Fitzgerald, C.J., Burges, S.J. 2011. Daily time step refinement of optimized flood control rule curves for a global warming scenario. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management137(4):309-317, doi:10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943-5452.0000125.

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ENSO anomalies over the Western United States: Present and future patterns in regional climate simulations

Zhang, Y., Qian, Y., Dulire, V., Salathé, E.P., Leung, L.R. 2011. ENSO anomalies over the Western United States: Present and future patterns in regional climate simulations. Climatic Change 110:315-346, doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0088-7.

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Extreme precipitations and temperatures over the U.S. Pacific Northwest: A comparison between observations, reanalysis data and regional models

Dulire, V., Zhang, Y., Salathé, E.P.  2011. Extreme precipitations and temperatures over the U.S. Pacific Northwest: A comparison between observations, reanalysis data and regional models. Journal of Climate 24(7): 1950-1964, doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI3224.1.

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Flow regime, temperature and biotic interactions determine winners and losers among trout species under climate change

Wenger, S.J., Isaak, D.J., Luce, C.H., Neville, H.M., Fausch, K.D., Dunham, J.B., Dauwalter, D.C., Young, M.K., Elsner, M.M., Rieman, B.E., Hamlet, A.F., Williams, J.E. 2011. Flow regime, temperature and biotic interactions determine winners and losers among trout species under climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 108 (34): 14175-14180, doi: 10.1073/pnas.1103097108.

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Impacts of climate variability and climate change on transportation systems and infrastructure in the Pacific Northwest

Hamlet, A.F.  2011. Impacts of climate variability and climate change on transportation systems and infrastructure in the Pacific Northwest. A White Paper prepared for the Western Federal Lands-Highway Division by the Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Interactions between climate and population density in the episodic recruitment of bocaccio, Sebastes paucispinis, a Pacific rockfish

Zabel, R.W., Levin, P.S., Tolimieri, N., Mantua, N.J.  2011. Interactions between climate and population density in the episodic recruitment of bocaccio, Sebastes paucispinis, a Pacific rockfish. Fisheries Oceanography 20(4): 294-304, doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2419.2011.00584.x.

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Managing uncertainty in climate-driven ecological models to inform adaptation to climate change

Littell, J.S., McKenzie, D., Kerns, B.K., Cushman, S.C., Shaw, C.G. 2011. Managing uncertainty in climate-driven ecological models to inform adaptation to climate change. Ecosphere 2(9): article 102, doi:10.1890/ES11-00114.1.

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Methodology for developing flood rule curves conditioned on El Niño-Southern Oscillation classification

Lee, S-Y., Hamlet, A.F., Fitzgerald, C.J., Burges, S.J.  2011. Methodology for developing flood rule curves conditioned on El Niño-Southern Oscillation classification. Journal of the American Water Resources Association 47(1): 81-92, doi: 10.1111/j.1752-1688.2010.00490.x.

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Multiscale influence of climate on estuarine populations of forage fish: The role of coastal upwelling, freshwater flow and temperature

Reum, J.C.P., Essington, T.E., Green, C.M., Rice, C.A., Fresh, K.L. 2011. Multiscale influence of climate on estuarine populations of forage fish: The role of coastal upwelling, freshwater flow and temperature. Marine Ecology Progress Series 425: 203-215, doi:10.3354/meps08997.

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Past trends and future scenarios for environmental conditions favoring the accumulation of paralytic shellfish toxins in Puget Sound shellfish

Moore, S.K., Mantua, N.J., Salathé, E.P.  2011. Past trends and future scenarios for environmental conditions favoring the accumulation of paralytic shellfish toxins in Puget Sound shellfish. Harmful Algae 10:521-529, doi:10.1016/j.hal.2011.04.004.

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Potential climate change impacts on thermal habitats of Pacific salmon in the North Pacific Ocean and adjacent seas

Aziz, O,, Mantua, N.J., Myers, K.W.  2011. Potential climate change impacts on thermal habitats of Pacific salmon in the North Pacific Ocean and adjacent seas. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, 68: 1660-1680.

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Projected climate change over Southeast Asia simulated using a WRF regional climate model

Chotamonsak, C., Salathé, E.P., Kreasuwan, J., Chantara, S., Siriwitayakorn, K. 2011. Projected climate change over Southeast Asia simulated using a WRF regional climate model. Atmospheric Science Letters 12(2):213-219, doi: 10.1002/asl.313.

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