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Attribution of declining western U.S. snowpack to human effects

Pierce, D.W., Barnett, T., Hidalgo, H., Das, T., Bonfils, C., Santer, B.D., Bala, G., Dettinger, M., Cayan, D., Mirin, A,, Wood, A.W., Nazawa, T. . 2008. Attribution of declining western U.S. snowpack to human effects. Journal of Climate 21(23): 6425-6444, doi:10.1175/2008JCLI2405.1.

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Characterizing the interannual variability of the equatorial Pacific: An OLR perspective

Harrison, D.E., Chiodi, A.M. 2008. Characterizing the interannual variability of the equatorial Pacific: An OLR perspective. NOAA Tech. Memo. OAR PMEL-140. Seattle, WA, 30pp.

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Climate change, ecosystem impacts, and management for Pacific Salmon

Schindler, D., Augerot, X., Fleishman, E., Mantua, N.J., Riddell, B., Ruckelshaus, M.H., Seeb, J., Webster, M. 2008. Climate change, ecosystem impacts, and management for Pacific Salmon. Fisheries 33(10):502-506.

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Climate drivers of regionally synchronous fires in the inland Northwest (1651-1900)

Heyerdahl, E.K., McKenzie, D., Daniels, L., Hessl, A.E., Littell, J.S., Mantua, N.J. 2008. Climate drivers of regionally synchronous fires in the inland Northwest (1651-1900). International Journal of Wildland Fire 17:40-49.

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Correcting errors in streamflow forecast ensemble mean and spread

Wood, A.W., Schaake, J.C. 2008. Correcting errors in streamflow forecast ensemble mean and spread. Journal of Hydrometeorology 9(1): 132-148.

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Detection and attribution of temperature changes in the mountainous western United States

Bonfils, C., Pierce, D.W., Santer, B.D., Hidalgo, H., Bala, G., Das, T., Barnett, T., Doutriaux, C., Wood, A.W., Mirin, A,, Nazawa, T. 2008. Detection and attribution of temperature changes in the mountainous western United States. Journal of Climate 21(23):6404-6424, doi:10.1175/2008JCLI2397.1.

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Douglas-fir growth in mountain ecosystems: Water limits tree growth from stand to region

Littell, J.S., Peterson, D.L., Tjoelker, M.  2008. Douglas-fir growth in mountain ecosystems: Water limits tree growth from stand to region. Ecological Monographs 78(3): 349-368.

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Evaluation of precipitation products for global hydrological prediction

Voisin, N., Wood, A.W., Lettenmaier, D.P.  2008. Evaluation of precipitation products for global hydrological prediction. Journal of Hydrometeorology 9(3):388-407.

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Extended west-wide seasonal hydrological system: Seasonal hydrological prediction in the NAMS Region

Munoz-Arriola, F., Lettenmaier, D.P., Zhu, C., Lobato-Sanchez, R., Wagner-Gomez, A. 2008. Extended west-wide seasonal hydrological system: Seasonal hydrological prediction in the NAMS Region. CLIVAR Exchanges 45, 13(2):24-25.

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Glestcherschwund am Kilimanjaro

Kaser, G., P.W. Mote, 2008: Glestcherschwund am Kilimanjaro. Spectrum der Wissenschaft, Januar, 62-69.

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Has spring snowpack declined in the Washington Cascades?

Mote, P.W., Hamlet, A.F., Salathé, E.P.  2008. Has spring snowpack declined in the Washington Cascades?. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 12: 193-206.

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How essential is hydrologic model calibration to seasonal streamflow forecasting?

Shi, X., Wood, A.W., Lettenmaier, D.P.  2008. How essential is hydrologic model calibration to seasonal streamflow forecasting? Journal of Hydrometeorology 9(6):1350-1363, doi:10.1175/2008JHM1001.1.

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Human-induced changes in the hydrology of the western United States

Barnett, T., Pierce, D.W., Hidalgo, H., Bonfils, C., Santer, B.D., Das, T., Bala, G., Wood, A.W., Nazawa, T., Mirin, A,, Cayan, D., Dettinger, M. . 2008. Human-induced changes in the hydrology of the western United States. Science Science Express Reports 10.1126/science.1152538.

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Impacts of climate variability and future climate change on harmful algal blooms and human health

Moore, S.K., Trainer, V.L., Mantua, N.J., Parker, D., Laws, E.A., Backer, L.C., Fleming, L.E. 2008. Impacts of climate variability and future climate change on harmful algal blooms and human health. Environmental Health 7(Suppl 2): S4, doi:10.1186/1476-069X-7-S2-S4.

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Is the upper ocean warming? Comparisons of 50-year trends from different analyses

Carson, M., Harrison, D.E.  2008. Is the upper ocean warming? Comparisons of 50-year trends from different analyses. Journal of Climate 21:2259-2268, doi: 10.1175/2007JCLI2002.1.

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Local and large-scale climate forcing of Puget Sound oceanographic properties on seasonal to interdecadal timescales

Moore, S.K., Mantua, N.J., Kellogg, J.P., Newton, J.A. 2008. Local and large-scale climate forcing of Puget Sound oceanographic properties on seasonal to interdecadal timescales. Limnology and Oceanography 53(5): 1746-1758.

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Modeling understory vegetation and its response to fire

McKenzie, D., Raymond, C.L., Cushman, S.C.  2008. Modeling understory vegetation and its response to fire. Chapter 15, pp.391-414. In J. Millspaugh and F.R. Thompson III (eds.), Models for Planning Wildlife Conservation in Large Landscapes. Burlington, MA: Academic Press.

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National forests

Joyce, L.A., Blate, G.M., Littell, J.S., McNulty, S.G., Millar, C.I., Moser, S.C., Neilson, R.P. 2008. National forests. Chapter 3 in S.H. Julius, J.M. West (eds.), J.S. Baron, B.Griffith, L.A. Joyce, P. Kareiva, B.D. Keller, M.A. Palmer, C.H. Peterson, and J.M. Scott (Authors), Preliminary Review of Adaptation Options for Climate-Sensitive Ecosystems and Resources. A Report by the U.S. Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC, USA, pp. 3-1 to 3-127.

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Potential responses to climate change in organisms with complex life histories: Evolution and plasticity in Pacific salmon

Crozier, L.G., Hendry, A.P., Lawson, P.W., Quinn, T.P., Mantua, N.J., Battin, J., Shaw, R.G., Huey, R.B. 2008. Potential responses to climate change in organisms with complex life histories: Evolution and plasticity in Pacific salmon. Evolutionary Applications 1(2): 252-270, doi:10.1111/j.1752-4571.2008.00033.x.

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Predicting differential effects of climate change at the population level with life-cycle models of spring Chinook salmon

Crozier, L.G., Zabel, R.W., Hamlet, A.F.  2008. Predicting differential effects of climate change at the population level with life-cycle models of spring Chinook salmon. Global Change Biology 14(2): 236-249, doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2007.01497.x.

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Recent trends in paralytic shellfish toxins in Puget Sound, relationships to climate, and capacity for prediction of toxic events

Moore, S.K., Mantua, N.J., Hickey, B.M., Trainer, V.L. Recent trends in paralytic shellfish toxins in Puget Sound, relationships to climate, and capacity for prediction of toxic events.  2008. Harmful Algae, doi:10.1016/j.hal.2008.10.003.

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Research and Networks for Decision Support in the NOAA Sectoral Applications Research Program

National Research Council, Mote, P.W.  2008. Research and Networks for Decision Support in the NOAA Sectoral Applications Research Program. Panel on Design Issues for the NOAA Sectoral Applications Research Program, H.M. Ingram and P.C. Stern (eds.), Committee on the Human Dimensions of Global Change, Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education. The National Academies Press, Washington, DC. 84 pp.

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Scenarios of Future Climate Change for the Pacific Northwest

Mote, P.W., Salathé, E.P., Dulire, V., Jump, E.  2008. Scenarios of Future Climate Change for the Pacific Northwest. Report prepared by the Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Oceans, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Sea Level Rise in the Coastal Waters of Washington State

Mote, P.W., Petersen, A., Reeder, S., Shipman, H., Whitely Binder, L.C. 2008. Sea Level Rise in the Coastal Waters of Washington State. Report prepared by the Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Oceans, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington and the Washington Department of Ecology, Lacey, Washington.

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Sensitivity of Northwest ski areas to warming

Mote, P.W., Casson, J., Hamlet, A.F., Reading, D.C. 2008. Sensitivity of Northwest ski areas to warming. pp 63-67, in B. McGurk (ed.), Proceedings of the 75th Western Snow Conference, April 16-19, 2007, Kailua-Kona, Hawaii. Soda Springs, CA: Western Snow Conference.

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Spatial models for inferring topographic controls on low-severity fire in the eastern Cascade Range of Washington, USA.

Kellogg, L-K.B., McKenzie, D., Peterson, D.L., Hessl, A.E. 2008. Spatial models for inferring topographic controls on low-severity fire in the eastern Cascade Range of Washington, USA..  Landscape Ecology 23(2):227-240, DOI 10.1007/s10980-007-9188-1.

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Stationarity is dead: Whither water management?

Milly, P.C.D., Betancourt, J., Falkenmark, M., Hirsch, R.M., Kundzewicz, Z.W., Lettenmaier, D.P., Stouffer, R.J. 2008. Stationarity is dead: Whither water management?. Science 319 (5863): 573-574, DOI: 10.1126/science.1151915.

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The Effects of Climate Change on Agriculture, Land Resources, Water Resources, and Biodiversity

Climate Change Science Program, Lettenmaier, D.P.  2008. The Effects of Climate Change on Agriculture, Land Resources, Water Resources, and Biodiversity. A report by the U.S. Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research. P. Backlund, A. Janetos, D. Schimel, J. Hatfield, K. Boote, P. Fay, L. Hahn, C. Izaurralde, B.A. Kimball, T. Mader, J. Morgan, D. Ort, W. Polley, A. Thomson, D. Wolfe, M. Ryan, S. Archer, R. Birdsey, C. Dahm, L. Heath, J. Hicke, D. Hollinger, T. Huxman, G. Okin, R. Oren, J. Randerson, W. Schlesinger, D. Lettenmaier, D. Major, L. Poff, S. Running, L. Hansen, D. Inouye, B.P. Kelly, L Meyerson, B. Peterson, R. Shaw. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC., USA, 362 pp.

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The modulated annual cycle: An alternative reference frame for climate anomalies

Wu, Z., Schneider, E.K., Kirtman, B.P., Sarachik, E.S., Huang, B., Tucker, C.J. 2008. The modulated annual cycle: An alternative reference frame for climate anomalies. Climate Dynamics 31: 823-841, 10.1007/s00382-008-0437-z.

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Use of a standardized runoff index for characterizing hydrologic drought

Shukla, S., Wood, A.W.  2008. Use of a standardized runoff index for characterizing hydrologic drought. Geophysical Research Letters, 35, L02405, doi:10.1029/2007GL032487.

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Variability and trends in mountain snowpack in western North America

Mote, P.W., Clark, M., Hamlet, A.F.  2008. Variability and trends in mountain snowpack in western North America. In F. Wagner (ed.), Proceedings of the AAAS Pacific Division Annual Meeting.

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Wild and scenic rivers

Palmer, M.A., Lettenmaier, D.P., Poff, N.L., Postel, S., Richter, B., Warner, R. 2008. Chapter 6 in S.H. Julius, J.M. West (eds.), J.S. Baron, B.Griffith, L.A. Joyce, P. Kareiva, B.D. Keller, M.A. Palmer, C.H. Peterson, and J.M. Scott (Authors), Preliminary Review of Adaptation Options for Climate-Sensitive Ecosystems and Resources. A Report by the U.S. Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC, USA, pp. 6-1 to 6-73.

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20th century trends in runoff, evapotranspiration, and soil moisture in the Western U.S

Hamlet, A.F., Mote, P.W., Clark, M.P., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2007. 20th century trends in runoff, evapotranspiration, and soil moisture in the Western U.S. Journal of Climate 20(8): 1468-1486. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI4051.1

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Anticipating sea level rise response in Puget Sound

Petersen, A.  2007. Anticipating sea level rise response in Puget Sound. M.M.A. thesis, School of Marine Affairs, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Assessing regional vulnerability by operationalizing the concept of adaptive capacity in the Pacific Northwest

Trask, B.  2007. Assessing regional vulnerability by operationalizing the concept of adaptive capacity in the Pacific Northwest. M.M.A. thesis, School of Marine Affairs, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Beached birds and physical forcing in the California Current System

Parrish, J.K., Bond, N., Nevins, H., Mantua, N.J., Loeffel, R., Peterson, W.T., Harvey, J.T. 2007. Beached birds and physical forcing in the California Current System. Marine Ecology Progress Series 352: 275-288. Doi: 10.3354/meps07077

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Climate change and disturbance regimes in western North America

McKenzie, D., Allen, C.D. 2007. Climate change and disturbance regimes in western North America. EOS Transactions 88(21): 227.

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Climate Change Impacts on Columbia River Basin Fish and Wildlife

Independent Science Advisory Board, Mantua, N.J. 2007. Climate Change Impacts on Columbia River Basin Fish and Wildlife. Independent Scientific Advisory Board (ISAB) Climate Change Report ISAB 2007-2, Portland, OR.

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Climate variability, climate change, and western wildfire with implications for the urban-wildland interface

Keeton, W.S., Mote, P.W., Franklin, J.F. 2007. Climate variability, climate change, and western wildfire with implications for the urban-wildland interface. pp. 225-253. In A. Troy and R. Kennedy (eds)., Living on the Edge: Economic, Institutional and Management Perspectives on Wildfire Hazard in the Urban Interface. Advances in the Economics of Environmental Resources , Vol. 6. Oxford, United Kingdom: Elsevier Sciences JAI Press.

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Cross-scale analysis of fire regimes

Falk, D.A., Miller, C.M., McKenzie, D., Black, A.E. 2007. Cross-scale analysis of fire regimes. Ecosystems 10(5): 809-823, doi 10.1007/s10021-007-9070-7.

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Effects of 20th century warming and climate variability on flood risk in the western U.S.

Hamlet, A.F., Lettenmaier, D.P.  2007. Effects of 20th century warming and climate variability on flood risk in the western U.S. Water Resources Research 43, W06427, doi:10.1029/2006WR005099.

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El Niño

Mitchell, T.P., Sarachik, E.S. 2007. El Niño. pp 98-103 in Vol.6, 2007 McGraw-Hill Encyclopedia of Science and Technology, 10th Edition. New York, New York: McGraw-Hill Publishing.

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Final Report of the Climate Change Technical Committee

Palmer, R.N.  2007. Final Report of the Climate Change Technical Committee. A report prepared by the Climate Change Technical Subcommittee of the Regional Water Supply Planning Process, Seattle, WA.

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Growth-climate relations of Lodgepole Pine in the North Cascades National Park, Washington

Case, M.J., Peterson, D.L. Growth-climate relations of Lodgepole Pine in the North Cascades National Park, Washington 2007. Northwest Science 81(1):62-75.

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Is the world ocean warming? Upper-ocean temperature trends: 1950-2000

Harrison, D.E., Carson, M.  2007. Is the world ocean warming? Upper-ocean temperature trends: 1950-2000. Journal of Physical Oceanography 37(2): 174-187.

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Mapping fuels at multiple scales: Landscape application of the Fuel Characteristic Classification System

McKenzie, D., Raymond, C.L., Kellogg, J.P., Norheim, R.A., Andreu, A.G., Bayard, A.C., Kopper, K.E., Elman, E. 2007. Mapping fuels at multiple scales: Landscape application of the Fuel Characteristic Classification System. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 37: 2421-2437, doi:10.1139/X07-056.

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Observations: Changes in snow, ice and frozen ground

Lemke, P., Ren, J., Alley, R.B., Allison, I., Carrasco, J., Flato, G., Fujii, Y., Kaser, G., Mote, P.W., Thomas, R.H., Zhang, T. 2007. Observations: Changes in snow, ice and frozen ground. Chapter 4 in S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.), Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.

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Observations: Surface and atmospheric climate change

Trenberth, K.E., Jones, P.D., Ambenje, P., Bojariu, R., Easterling, D., Klein Tank, A., Parker, D., Rahimzadeh, F., Renwick, J.A., Rusticucci, M., Soden, B., Zhai, P., Mote, P.W. 2007. Observations: Surface and atmospheric climate change. Chapter 3 in S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.), Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. (Contributing author: Mote)

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Preparing for Climate Change: A Guidebook for Local, Regional, and State Governments

Snover, A.K., Whitely Binder, L.C., Lopez, J., Willmott, E., Kay, J.E., Howell, D., Simmonds, J. 2007. Preparing for Climate Change: A Guidebook for Local, Regional, and State Governments. University of Washington Climate Impacts Group and King County, Washington, in association with and published by ICLEI – Local Governments for Sustainability, Oakland, CA.

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Projected impacts of climate change on salmon habitat restoration

Battin, J., Wiley, M.W., Ruckelshaus, M.H., Palmer, R.N., Korb, E., Bartz, K.K., Imaki, H. 2007. Projected impacts of climate change on salmon habitat restoration. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 104(16): 6720-6725.

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Research Agenda for Integrated Landscape Modeling

Cushman, S.C., McKenzie, D., Peterson, D.L., Littell, J.S., McKelvey, K.S. 2007. Research Agenda for Integrated Landscape Modeling. General Technical Report RMRS-GTR-194. Fort Collins, CO: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station.

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Review of scenario selection and downscaling methods for the assessment of climate change impacts on hydrology in the United States Pacific Northwest

Salathé, E.P., Mote, P.W., Wiley, M.W. 2007. Review of scenario selection and downscaling methods for the assessment of climate change impacts on hydrology in the United States Pacific Northwest. International Journal of Climatology 27(12): 1611-1621, DOI: 10.1002/joc.1540.

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Sound Science: Synthesizing Ecological and Socioeconomic Information about the Puget Sound Ecosystem

Ruckelshaus, M.H., McClure, M., Mantua, N.J.  2007. Sound Science: Synthesizing Ecological and Socioeconomic Information about the Puget Sound Ecosystem. Report prepared in cooperation with the Sound Science collaborate team. U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Oceanic and Atmostpheric Administration (NMFS), Northwest Fisheries Science Center, Seattle, Washington.

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Summary for Policymakers

IPCC, Mote, P.W.  2007. Summary for Policymakers. In S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M.Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.), Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. (Contributing author: Mote)

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Technical Memorandum #1: Literature Review of Research Incorporating Climate Change into Water Resources Planning

Alexander, D., Palmer, R.N., Polebitski, A. 2007. Technical Memorandum #1: Literature Review of Research Incorporating Climate Change into Water Resources Planning. A report prepared by the Climate Change Technical Subcommittee of the Regional Water Supply Planning Process, Seattle, WA.

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Technical Memorandum #2: Methodology for Downscaling Meteorological Data for Evaluating Climate Change

Polebitski, A., Wiley, M.W., Palmer, R.N.  2007. Technical Memorandum #2: Methodology for Downscaling Meteorological Data for Evaluating Climate Change. A report prepared by the Climate Change Technical Subcommittee of the Regional Water Supply Planning Process, Seattle, WA.

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Technical Memorandum #3: Online Database Functionality and Design for Climate Impacted Data

O’Neill, C., Palmer, R.N.  2007. Technical Memorandum #3: Online Database Functionality and Design for Climate Impacted Data. A report prepared by the Climate Change Technical Subcommittee of the Regional Water Supply Planning Process, Seattle, WA.

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Technical Memorandum #4: Approach for Developing Climate Impacted Meteorological Data and its Quality Assurance/Quality Control

Polebitski, A., Traynham, L., Palmer, R.N.  2007. Technical Memorandum #4: Approach for Developing Climate Impacted Meteorological Data and its Quality Assurance/Quality Control. A report prepared by the Climate Change Technical Subcommittee of the Regional Water Supply Planning Process, Seattle, WA.

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Technical Memorandum #5: Approach for Developing Climate Impacted Streamflow Data and its Quality Assurance/Quality Control

Polebitski, A., Traynham, L., Palmer, R.N.  2007. Technical Memorandum #5: Approach for Developing Climate Impacted Streamflow Data and its Quality Assurance/Quality Control. A report prepared by the Climate Change Technical Subcommittee of the Regional Water Supply Planning Process, Seattle, WA.

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Technical Memorandum #6: Framework for Incorporating Climate Change into Water Resources Planning

Palmer, R.N.  2007. Technical Memorandum #6: Framework for Incorporating Climate Change into Water Resources Planning. A report prepared by the Climate Change Technical Subcommittee of the Regional Water Supply Planning Process, Seattle, WA.

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Technical Memorandum #7: Impacts of Climate Change on Cloud Cover in the Puget Sound Region

Alemu, E., Palmer, R.N.  2007. Technical Memorandum #7: Impacts of Climate Change on Cloud Cover in the Puget Sound Region. A report prepared by the Climate Change Technical Subcommittee of the Regional Water Supply Planning Process, Seattle, WA.

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Technical Memorandum #8: Impacts of Climate Change on Groundwater Resources- A Literature Review

Alexander, D., Palmer, R.N.  2007. Technical Memorandum #8: Impacts of Climate Change on Groundwater Resources- A Literature Review. A report prepared by the Climate Change Technical Subcommittee of the Regional Water Supply Planning Process, Seattle, WA.

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The physical science behind climate change

Colman, R., Collins, W., Haywood, J., Manning, M., Mote, P.W. 2007. The physical science behind climate change. Scientific American 297(2): 64-71.

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The shrinking glaciers of Kilimanjaro: Can global warming be blamed?

Mote, P.W., Kaser, G.  2007. The shrinking glaciers of Kilimanjaro: Can global warming be blamed? American Scientist 95(4):318-325.

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The value of short-run climate forecasts in managing the coastal coho salmon (Oncorhynchus kisutch) fishery in Washington State

Kaje, J.H., Huppert, D.D.  2007. The value of short-run climate forecasts in managing the coastal coho salmon (Oncorhynchus kisutch) fishery in Washington State. Natural Resource Modeling 20(2):321-349.

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Water, adaptation, and property rights on the Snake and Klamath Rivers

Slaughter, R., Wiener, J.D. 2007. Water, adaptation, and property rights on the Snake and Klamath Rivers. Journal of the American Water Resources Association 43(2):308-21. DOI: 10.1111 / j.1752-1688.2007.00024.x.

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A decadal chronology of 20th-century changes in Earth’s natural systems

Mantua, N.J.  2006. A decadal chronology of 20th-century changes in Earth’s natural systems. In Costanza, R., L.J. Graumlich, and W. Steffen (eds.), Sustainability or Collapse? An Integrated History and Future of People on Earth. Cambridge, Massachusetts: MIT Press.

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A testbed for new seasonal hydrologic forecasting approaches in the western U.S.

Wood, A.W., Lettenmaier, D.P.  2006. A testbed for new seasonal hydrologic forecasting approaches in the western U.S. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 87(12), 1699-1712, doi:10.1175/BAMS-87-12-1699.

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An approach to designing a National Climate Service

Miles, E.L., Snover, A.K., Whitely Binder, L.C., Sarachik, E.S., Mote, P.W., Mantua, N.J. 2006. An approach to designing a National Climate Service. Proceedings of the National Academies of Sciences 103(52):19616-19623.

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Bottom-up forcing and the decline of Steller sea lions (Eumetopias jubatus) in Alaska: Assessing the ocean climate hypothesis

Trites, A.W., Miller, A.J., Maschner, H.D.G., Alexander, M.A., Bograd, S.J., Calder, J.A., Capotondi, A., Coyle, K.O., Di Lorenzo, E., Finney, B.P., Gregr, E.J., Grosch, C.E., Hare, S.R., Hunt, A., Jahncke, J., Kachel, N.B., Kim, H.J., Ladd, C., Mantua, N.J., Marzban, W., Maslowski, W., Mendelssohn, R., Neilson, D.J., Okkonen, S.R., Overland, J.E., Reedy-Maschner, K.L., Royer, T.C., Schwing, F.B., Wang, J.X.L., Winship, A.J. 2006. Bottom-up forcing and the decline of Steller sea lions <i>(Eumetopias jubatus)</i> in Alaska: Assessing the ocean climate hypothesis. Fisheries Oceanography 16(1): 46-67.

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Climate change and watershed planning in Washington State

Whitely Binder, L.C. 2006. Climate change and watershed planning in Washington State. Journal of the American Water Resources Association 42(4):915-926.

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Climate Change Building Blocks

Palmer, R.N., Wiley, M.W., Polebitski, A., Enfield, B., King, K., O’Neill, C., Traynham, L. 2006. Climate Change Building Blocks. A report prepared by the Climate Change Technical Subcommittee of the Regional Water Supply Planning Process, Seattle, WA.

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Climate impacts to forest ecosystem processes: Douglas-fir growth in northwestern U.S. mountain landscapes and area burned by wildfire in western U.S. ecoprovinces

Littell, J.S. 2006. Climate impacts to forest ecosystem processes: Douglas-fir growth in northwestern U.S. mountain landscapes and area burned by wildfire in western U.S. ecoprovinces. Ph.D. dissertation, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Climate-driven variability and trends in mountain snowpack in western North America

Mote, P.W. 2006. Climate-driven variability and trends in mountain snowpack in western North America. Journal of Climate 19(23): 6209-6220.

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Considering ecosystem-based fisheries management in the California Current

Field, J.C., Francis, R.C. 2006. Considering ecosystem-based fisheries management in the California Current. Marine Policy 30:552-562.

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Decadal-scale interactions of humans and the environment

Hibbard, K.A., Crutzen, P.J., Lambin, E.F., Liverman, D.M., Mantua, N.J., McNeill, J.R., Messerli, B., Steffen, W. 2006. Decadal-scale interactions of humans and the environment. In Costanza, R., L.J. Graumlich, and W. Steffen (eds.), Sustainability or Collapse? An Integrated History and Future of People on Earth. Cambridge, Massachusetts: MIT Press.

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Delayed coastal upwelling along the U.S. West Coast during 2005: An historical perspective

Schwing, F.B., Bond, N.A., Bograd, S.J., Mitchell, T.P., Alexander, M.A., Mantua, N.J. 2006. Delayed coastal upwelling along the U.S. West Coast during 2005: An historical perspective. Geophysical Research Letters 33, L22S01, doi:10.1029/2006GL026911.

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Developing multiple indicators and triggers for drought plans

Steinemann, A.C., Cavalcanti, L.F.N.  2006. Developing multiple indicators and triggers for drought plans. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management 132(3):164-174.

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Energy-relevant Impacts of Climate Change in the Pacific Northwest

Mote, P.W., Salathé, E.P., Peacock, C. 2006. Energy-relevant Impacts of Climate Change in the Pacific Northwest. Report prepared for Portland General Electric by the Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle. 19 pp.

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ENSO’s effect on Alaska during opposite phases of the Arctic Oscillation

Bond, N., Harrison, D.E. 2006. ENSO’s effect on Alaska during opposite phases of the Arctic Oscillation. International Journal of Climatology 26(13): 1821-1841.

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Estimating emissions from fires in North America for air quality modeling

Wiedinmyer, C., Quayle, B., Geron, C., Belote, A., McKenzie, D., Zhang, X., O’Neill, S., Wynne, K.K. 2006. Estimating emissions from fires in North America for air quality modeling. Atmospheric Environment 40(19):3419-3432.

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How will climatic change affect air quality in parks and wilderness?

McKenzie, D., O’Neill, S., Larkin, N., Norheim, R.A. 2006. How will climatic change affect air quality in parks and wilderness? In D. Harmon (ed.), Proceedings of the George Wright Society Annual Meeting Philadelphia, Pennsylvania: The George Wright Society.

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Hydrologic implications of 20th century warming and climate variability in the western U.S

Hamlet, A.F.  2006. Hydrologic implications of 20th century warming and climate variability in the western U.S. Ph.D. dissertation, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Influences of a shift in North Pacific storm tracks on western North American precipitation under global warming

Salathé, E.P.  2006. Influences of a shift in North Pacific storm tracks on western North American precipitation under global warming. Geophysical Research Letters 33, L19820, doi:10.1029/2006GL026882, 2006.

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Integrating climate impacts in water resource planning and management

White, K.D., Vaddey, S.V., Hamlet, A.F., Cohen, S.J., Neilsen, D., Taylor, W. 2006. Integrating climate impacts in water resource planning and management. In M. Davies (ed.) and J.E. Zurfelt, Proceedings of the 13th International Conference on Cold Regions Engineering, Current Practices in Cold Regions Engineering, Orono, Maine, July 23-26, 2006, Reston, Virginia: American Society of Civil Engineering.

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Integrating models to predict regional haze from wildland fire

McKenzie, D., O’Neill, S., Larkin, N., Norheim, R.A. 2006. Integrating models to predict regional haze from wildland fire. Ecological Modelling 199:278-288.

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Optimized flood control in the Columbia River Basin for a global warming scenario

Lee, S-Y., Hamlet, A.F., Fitzgerald, C.J., Burges, S.J., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2006. Optimized flood control in the Columbia River Basin for a global warming scenario. In D. Zimbelman and W.C. Loehlein (eds.), Operating Reservoirs in Changing Conditions, ASCE conference proceedings, Sacramento, CA, August 14-16, 2006, Reston, Virginia: American Society of Civil Engineers.

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Response of western mountain ecosystems to climatic variability and change: the Western Mountain Initiative.

Stephenson, N., Peterson, D.L., Fagre, D., Allen, C.D., McKenzie, D., Baron, J.S., O’Brian, K. 2006. Response of western mountain ecosystems to climatic variability and change: the Western Mountain Initiative. Park Science 24:24-29.

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Simulating regional haze from wildland fire emissions in the western USA

McKenzie, D., O’Neill, S., Larkin, N., Norheim, R.A. 2006. Simulating regional haze from wildland fire emissions in the western USA. pages 128-129. In M. Price (ed.), Global Change in Mountain Regions, Sapiens Publishing, Duncow, UK.

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Spatial and temporal variability in forest growth in the Olympic Mountains, Washington: Sensitivity toclimatic variability

Holman, M.L., Peterson, D.L. 2006. Spatial and temporal variability in forest growth in the Olympic Mountains, Washington: Sensitivity toclimatic variability. Canadian Journal of Forest Resources 36:92-104.

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Spatial variability in forest growth – climate relationships in the Olympic Mountains, Washington

Nakawatase, J.M., Peterson, D.L. 2006. Spatial variability in forest growth – climate relationships in the Olympic Mountains, Washington. Canadian Journal of Forest Resources 36:77-91.

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Summertime subtropical sea surface temperature variability

Chiodi, A.M., Harrison, D.E. 2006. Summertime subtropical sea surface temperature variability. Geophysical Research Letters 33(8), L08601, doi:10.1029/2005GL024524, 2006.

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The relationship between Pacific hake (Merluccius productus) distribution and poleward subsurface flow in the California Current System

Agostini, V.N., Francis, R.C., Hollowed, A.B., Pierce, S.D., Wilson, C., Hendrix, A.N. 2006. The relationship between Pacific hake (Merluccius productus) distribution and poleward subsurface flow in the California Current System. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 63:2648-2659.

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The role of climate forecasts in western U.S. power planning

Voisin, N., Hamlet, A.F., Graham, L.P., Pierce, D.W., Barnett, T.P., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2006. The role of climate forecasts in western U.S. power planning. Journal of Applied Meteorology 45(5):653-673.

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Top down modeling and bottom up dynamics: Linking a fisheries based ecosystem model with climate hypotheses in the Northern California Current

Field, J.C., Francis, R.C., Aydin, K 2006. Top down modeling and bottom up dynamics: Linking a fisheries based ecosystem model with climate hypotheses in the Northern California Current.  Progress in Oceanography 68(2-4): 238-270, doi:10.1016/j.pocean.2006.02.010.

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Trends in 20th century drought over the continental United States

Andreadis, K.M., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2006. Trends in 20th century drought over the continental United States. Geophysical Research Letters 33, L10403, doi:10.1029/2006GL025711.

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USACE foundation study on climate variability planning and adaptation

Vaddey, S.V., Hamlet, A.F., White, K.D.  2006. USACE foundation study on climate variability planning and adaptation. In Proceedings of American Water Resources Association Summer Specialty Conference: Adaptive Management of Water Resources, Missoula, MT, Jun 26-28, 2006, Middleburg, Virginia: American Water Resources Association.

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Use of satellite data for streamflow and reservoir storage forecasts in the Snake River Basin, ID

McGuire, M., Wood, A.W., Lettenmaier, D.P.  2006. Use of satellite data for streamflow and reservoir storage forecasts in the Snake River Basin, ID. J. Water Res. Planning and Mgt, ASCE, 132(2):97-110.

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Using climate forecasts for drought water management

Steinemann, A.C.  2006. Using climate forecasts for drought water management. Journal of Applied Meteorology 45(10): 1353-1361.

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Using neutral models to identify constraints on low-severity fire regimes

McKenzie, D., Hessl, A.E., Kellogg, L-K.B. 2006. Using neutral models to identify constraints on low-severity fire regimes. Landscape Ecology 21:139-152.

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