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Vose, J., D.L. Peterson, and T. Patel-Weynand. 2012. Effects of climatic variability and change on forest ecosystems: a comprehensive science synthesis for the U.S. forest sector.

Vose, J., Peterson, D.L., Patel-Weynand, T.  2012. USDA Forest Service General Technical Report PNW-GTR-870. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station. 265 p.

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Wintertime extreme precipitation events along the Pacific Northwest coast: Climatology and synoptic evolution

Warner, M.D., Mass, C., Salathé, E.P.  2012. Wintertime extreme precipitation events along the Pacific Northwest coast: Climatology and synoptic evolution. Monthly Weather Review 140: 2021-2043, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-11-00197.1.

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Adapting to climate change at Olympic National Forest and Olympic National Park

Halofsky, J.E., Peterson, D.L., O’Halloran, K., Hawkins Hoffman, C.  2011. Adapting to climate change at Olympic National Forest and Olympic National Park. USDA Forest Service General Technical Report PNW-GTR-844. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Portland, Oregon. 130 p.

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Automated upscaling of river networks for macroscale hydrological modeling

Wu, H., Kimball, J., Mantua, N.J., Stanford, J. 2011. Automated upscaling of river networks for macroscale hydrological modeling. Water Resour. Res. 47, W03517, doi:10.1029/2009WR008871.

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Climate change and mountain water resources: Overview and recommendations for research, management, and policy

Viviroli, D., Archer, D.R., Buytaert, W., Fowler, H.J., Greenwood, G.B., Hamlet, A.F., Huang, Y., Koboltschnig, G., Litaor, M.I., Lpez-Moreno, J.I., Lorentz, S., Schdler, B., Schreier, H., Schwaiger, K., Vuille, M., Woods, R. Climate change and mountain water resources: Overview and recommendations for research, management, and policy. 2011. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 15(2): 471-504, doi:10.5194/hess-15-471-2011.

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Climate change and wilderness fire regimes

McKenzie, D., Littell, J.S.  2011. Climate change and wilderness fire regimes. International Journal of Wilderness 17(1): 22-31.

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Climate change predicted to shift wolverine distributions, connectivity, and dispersal corridors

McKelvey, K.S., Copeland, J.P., Schwartz, M.K., Littell, J.S., Aubry, K.B., Squires, J.R., Parks, S.A., Elsner, M.M., Mauger, G.S. 2011. Climate change predicted to shift wolverine distributions, connectivity, and dispersal corridors. Ecological Applications 21:2882-2897.

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Climatic water balance and regional fire years in the Pacific Northwest, USA: Linking regional climate and fire at landscape scales

Littell, J.S., Gwozdz, R.  2011. Climatic water balance and regional fire years in the Pacific Northwest, USA: Linking regional climate and fire at landscape scales. Chapter 5, pp. 117-139. In McKenzie, D., C.M. Miller, and D.A. Falk (eds.), The Landscape Ecology of Fire, Ecological Studies 213, Springer, Dordrecht, The Netherlands, doi 10.1007/978-94-007-0301-8_5.

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Coherent region-, species-, and frequency-dependent local climate signals in Northern Hemisphere tree-ring widths

Wettstein, J.J., Littell, J.S., Gedalof, Z.M., Wallace, J.M.  2011. Coherent region-, species-, and frequency-dependent local climate signals in Northern Hemisphere tree-ring widths. Journal of Climate 24, 5998-6012, doi: 10.1175/2011JCLI3822.1.

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Daily time step refinement of optimized flood control rule curves for a global warming scenario

Lee, S-Y., Hamlet, A.F., Fitzgerald, C.J., Burges, S.J. 2011. Daily time step refinement of optimized flood control rule curves for a global warming scenario. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management137(4):309-317, doi:10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943-5452.0000125.

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ENSO anomalies over the Western United States: Present and future patterns in regional climate simulations

Zhang, Y., Qian, Y., Dulire, V., Salathé, E.P., Leung, L.R. 2011. ENSO anomalies over the Western United States: Present and future patterns in regional climate simulations. Climatic Change 110:315-346, doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0088-7.

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Extreme precipitations and temperatures over the U.S. Pacific Northwest: A comparison between observations, reanalysis data and regional models

Dulire, V., Zhang, Y., Salathé, E.P.  2011. Extreme precipitations and temperatures over the U.S. Pacific Northwest: A comparison between observations, reanalysis data and regional models. Journal of Climate 24(7): 1950-1964, doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI3224.1.

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Flow regime, temperature and biotic interactions determine winners and losers among trout species under climate change

Wenger, S.J., Isaak, D.J., Luce, C.H., Neville, H.M., Fausch, K.D., Dunham, J.B., Dauwalter, D.C., Young, M.K., Elsner, M.M., Rieman, B.E., Hamlet, A.F., Williams, J.E. 2011. Flow regime, temperature and biotic interactions determine winners and losers among trout species under climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 108 (34): 14175-14180, doi: 10.1073/pnas.1103097108.

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Impacts of climate variability and climate change on transportation systems and infrastructure in the Pacific Northwest

Hamlet, A.F.  2011. Impacts of climate variability and climate change on transportation systems and infrastructure in the Pacific Northwest. A White Paper prepared for the Western Federal Lands-Highway Division by the Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Interactions between climate and population density in the episodic recruitment of bocaccio, Sebastes paucispinis, a Pacific rockfish

Zabel, R.W., Levin, P.S., Tolimieri, N., Mantua, N.J.  2011. Interactions between climate and population density in the episodic recruitment of bocaccio, Sebastes paucispinis, a Pacific rockfish. Fisheries Oceanography 20(4): 294-304, doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2419.2011.00584.x.

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Managing uncertainty in climate-driven ecological models to inform adaptation to climate change

Littell, J.S., McKenzie, D., Kerns, B.K., Cushman, S.C., Shaw, C.G. 2011. Managing uncertainty in climate-driven ecological models to inform adaptation to climate change. Ecosphere 2(9): article 102, doi:10.1890/ES11-00114.1.

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Methodology for developing flood rule curves conditioned on El Niño-Southern Oscillation classification

Lee, S-Y., Hamlet, A.F., Fitzgerald, C.J., Burges, S.J.  2011. Methodology for developing flood rule curves conditioned on El Niño-Southern Oscillation classification. Journal of the American Water Resources Association 47(1): 81-92, doi: 10.1111/j.1752-1688.2010.00490.x.

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Multiscale influence of climate on estuarine populations of forage fish: The role of coastal upwelling, freshwater flow and temperature

Reum, J.C.P., Essington, T.E., Green, C.M., Rice, C.A., Fresh, K.L. 2011. Multiscale influence of climate on estuarine populations of forage fish: The role of coastal upwelling, freshwater flow and temperature. Marine Ecology Progress Series 425: 203-215, doi:10.3354/meps08997.

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Past trends and future scenarios for environmental conditions favoring the accumulation of paralytic shellfish toxins in Puget Sound shellfish

Moore, S.K., Mantua, N.J., Salathé, E.P.  2011. Past trends and future scenarios for environmental conditions favoring the accumulation of paralytic shellfish toxins in Puget Sound shellfish. Harmful Algae 10:521-529, doi:10.1016/j.hal.2011.04.004.

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Potential climate change impacts on thermal habitats of Pacific salmon in the North Pacific Ocean and adjacent seas

Aziz, O,, Mantua, N.J., Myers, K.W.  2011. Potential climate change impacts on thermal habitats of Pacific salmon in the North Pacific Ocean and adjacent seas. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, 68: 1660-1680.

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Projected climate change over Southeast Asia simulated using a WRF regional climate model

Chotamonsak, C., Salathé, E.P., Kreasuwan, J., Chantara, S., Siriwitayakorn, K. 2011. Projected climate change over Southeast Asia simulated using a WRF regional climate model. Atmospheric Science Letters 12(2):213-219, doi: 10.1002/asl.313.

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Regional Climate and Hydrologic Change in the Northern U.S. Rockies and Pacific Northwest: Internally Consistent Projections of Future Climate for Resource Management

Littell, J.S., Elsner, M.M., Mauger, G.S., Lutz, E.R., Hamlet, A.F., Salathé, E.P. 2011. Regional Climate and Hydrologic Change in the Northern U.S. Rockies and Pacific Northwest: Internally Consistent Projections of Future Climate for Resource Management. Project report for USFS JVA 09-JV-11015600-039. Prepared by the Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle. April, 2011.

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Skagit River Basin Climate Science Report

Lee, S-Y., Hamlet, A.F.  2011. Skagit River Basin Climate Science Report. A summary report prepared for Skagit County and the Envision Skagit Project by the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering and the Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle. September, 2011.

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Temporal and spatial variability in warm season nocturnal air temperatures in two north Idaho mountain ranges

Holden, Z., Cushman, S.A., Crimmins, M.C., Littell, J.S.  2011. Temporal and spatial variability in warm season nocturnal air temperatures in two north Idaho mountain ranges. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 151: 261-269.

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The Landscape Ecology of Fire

McKenzie, D., Miller, C., Falk, D.A.  2011. The Landscape Ecology of Fire. Ecological Studies Series, vol. 213. London: Springer Publishing Services, doi: 10.1007/978-94-007-0301-8

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The unusual nature of recent snowpack declines in the North American Cordillera

Pederson, G.T., Gray, S.T., Woodhouse, C.A., Betancourt, J., Fagre, D., Littell, J.S., Watson, E., Luckman, B.H., Graumlich, L.J. 2011. The unusual nature of recent snowpack declines in the North American Cordillera. Science 333(6040):332-335, doi:10.1126/science.1201570.

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Application of partial least squares regression to the diagnosis of year-to-year variations in Pacific Northwest snowpack and Atlantic hurricanes

Smoliak, B.V., Wallace, J.M., Stoelinga, M.T., Mitchell, T.P.  2010. Application of partial least squares regression to the diagnosis of year-to-year variations in Pacific Northwest snowpack and Atlantic hurricanes. Geophysical Research Letters 37, L03801, doi:10.1029/2009GL041478.

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Assessing Pacific Northwest water resources stakeholder data needs

Lee, C., Whitely Binder, L.C.  2010. Assessing Pacific Northwest water resources stakeholder data needs. Chapter 2 in Final Report for the Columbia Basin Climate Change Scenarios Project, Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Assessing regional impacts and adaptation strategies for climate change: The Washington Climate Change Impacts Assessment

Miles, E.L., Elsner, M.M., Littell, J.S., Whitely Binder, L.C., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2010. Assessing regional impacts and adaptation strategies for climate change: The Washington Climate Change Impacts Assessment. Climatic Change 102(1-2): 9-27, doi: 10.1007/s10584-010-9853-2.

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Assessing water resources adaptive capacity to climate change impacts in the Pacific Northwest region of North America

Hamlet, A.F.  2010. Assessing water resources adaptive capacity to climate change impacts in the Pacific Northwest region of North America. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 7(4): 4437-4471, doi:10.5194/hessd-7-4437-2010.

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Assessment of climate change impact on eastern Washington agriculture

Stöckle, C., Nelson, R.L., Higgins, S., Brunner, J., Grove, G., Boydston, R., Whiting, M., Kruger, C. 2010. Assessment of climate change impact on eastern Washington agriculture. Climatic Change 102(1-2): 77-102, doi: 10.1007/s10584-010-9851-4.

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Climate change impacts on streamflow extremes and summertime stream temperature and their possible consequences for freshwater salmon habitat in Washington State.

Mantua, N.J., Tohver, I., Hamlet, A.F.  2010. Climate change impacts on streamflow extremes and summertime stream temperature and their possible consequences for freshwater salmon habitat in Washington State. Climatic Change 102(1-2): 187-223, doi: 10.1007/s10584-010-9845-2.

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Climate change impacts on water management and irrigated agriculture in the Yakima River basin, Washington, USA

Vano, J.A., Scott, M., Voisin, N., Stöckle, C., Hamlet, A.F., Mickelson, K.E.B., Elsner, M.M., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2010. Climate change impacts on water management and irrigated agriculture in the Yakima River basin, Washington, USA. Climatic Change 102(1-2): 287-317, doi: 10.1007/s10584-010-9856-z.

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Climate change impacts on water management in the Puget Sound region, Washington, USA

Vano, J.A., Voisin, N., Cuo, L., Hamlet, A.F., Elsner, M.M., Palmer, R.N., Polebitski, A., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2010. Climate change impacts on water management in the Puget Sound region, Washington, USA. Climatic Change 102(1-2): 261-286, doi: 10.1007/s10584-010-9846-1

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Daily time step refinement of optimized flood control rule curves for a global warming scenario

Lee, S-Y., Fitzgerald, C.J., Hamlet, A.F., Burges, S.J. 2010. Daily time step refinement of optimized flood control rule curves for a global warming scenario. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management 137: 309-317, doi:10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943-5452.0000125.

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Data products test procedures

Elsner, M.M., Mauger, G.S., Tohver, I., Lee, S-Y., Hamlet, A.F. 2010. Chapter 9 in Final Report for the Columbia Basin Climate Change Scenarios Project, Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Effects of projected climate change on energy supply and demand in the Pacific Northwest and Washington State

Hamlet, A.F., Lee, S-Y., Mickelson, K.E.B., Elsner, M.M.  2010. Effects of projected climate change on energy supply and demand in the Pacific Northwest and Washington State. Climatic Change 102(1-2): 103-128, doi: 10.1007/s10584-010-9857-y.

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Fine scale hydrologic model implementation and fine-scale/macro-scale model inter-comparison study

Carrasco, P., Hamlet, A.F.  2010. Fine scale hydrologic model implementation and fine-scale/macro-scale model inter-comparison study. Chapter 6 in Final Report for the Columbia Basin Climate Change Scenarios Project, Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Forest ecosystems, disturbance, and climatic change in Washington State, USA

Littell, J.S., Oneil, E.E., McKenzie, D., Hicke, J.A., Lutz, J.A., Norheim, R.A., Elsner, M.M. 2010. Forest ecosystems, disturbance, and climatic change in Washington State, USA. Climatic Change 102(1-2): 129-158, doi: 10.1007/s10584-010-9858-x.

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Future climate in the Pacific Northwest

Mote, P.W., Salathé, E.P.  2010. Future climate in the Pacific Northwest. Climatic Change 102(1-2): 29-50, doi: 10.1007/s10584-010-9848-z.

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Historical meteorological driving data set

Deems, J., Hamlet, A.F.  2010. Historical meteorological driving data set. Chapter 3 in Final Report for the Columbia Basin Climate Change Scenarios Project, Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Impacts of 21st century climate change on hydrologic extremes in the Pacific Northwest region of North America

Tohver, I., Hamlet, A.F.  2010. Chapter 7 in Final Report for the Columbia Basin Climate Change Scenarios Project, Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Implications of 21st century climate change for the hydrology of Washington State

Elsner, M.M., Cuo, L., Voisin, N., Deems, J., Hamlet, A.F., Vano, J.A., Mickelson, K.E.B., Lee, S-Y., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2010. Implications of 21st century climate change for the hydrology of Washington State. Climatic Change 102(1-2): 225-260, doi: 10.1007/s10584-010-9855-0.

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Introduction and project overview

Hamlet, A.F.  2010. Introduction and project overview. Chapter 1 in Final Report for the Columbia Basin Climate Change Scenarios Project, Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Macro-scale hydrologic model implementation

Elsner, M.M., Hamlet, A.F.  2010. Macro-scale hydrologic model implementation. Chapter 5 in Final Report for the Columbia Basin Climate Change Scenarios Project, Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Macroscale hydrologic modeling of ecologically relevant flow metrics

Wenger, S.J., Luce, C.H., Hamlet, A.F., Isaak, D.J., Neville, H.M. 2010. Macroscale hydrologic modeling of ecologically relevant flow metrics. Water Resources Research, 46, W09513, doi:10.1029/2009WR008839

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Mandates vs. markets: Addressing over-allocation of Pacific Northwest river basins

Slaughter, R., Hamlet, A.F., Huppert, D.D., Hamilton, J., Mote, P.W. 2010. Mandates vs. markets: Addressing over-allocation of Pacific Northwest river basins. Water Policy 12 (2010) 305-317, doi: 10.2166/wp.2009.152.

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Overview of website design and implementation

Kamstra, T., Hamlet, A.F.  2010. Chapter 9 in Final Report for the Columbia Basin Climate Change Scenarios Project, Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Precipitation extremes and the impacts of climate change on stormwater infrastructure in Washington State

Rosenberg, E.A., Keys, P.W., Booth, D.B., Hartley, D., Burkey, J., Steinemann, A.C., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2010. Precipitation extremes and the impacts of climate change on stormwater infrastructure in Washington State. Precipitation extremes and the impacts of climate change on stormwater infrastructure in Washington State. Climatic Change 102(1-2): 319-349, doi: 10.1007/s10584-010-9847-0.

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Preparing for climate change in Washington State

Whitely Binder, L.C., Krencicki Barcelos, J., Booth, D.B., Darzen, M., Elsner, M.M., Fenske, R.A., Graham, T.F., Hamlet, A.F., Hodges-Howell, J., Jackson, J.E., Karr, C., Keys, P.W., Littell, J.S., Mantua, N.J., Marlow, J., McKenzie, D., Robinson-Dorn, M., Rosenberg, E.A., Stöckle, C., Vano, J.A.. 2010. Preparing for climate change in Washington State. Climatic Change 102(1-2): 351-376, doi: 10.1007/s10584-010-9850-5.

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Public health impacts of climate change in Washington State: projected mortality risks due to heat events and air pollution

Jackson, J.E., Yost, M.G., Karr, C., Fitzpatrick, C., Lamb, B., Chung, S.H., Chen, J., Avise, J., Rosenblatt, R.A., Fenske, R.A. 2010. Public health impacts of climate change in Washington State: projected mortality risks due to heat events and air pollution. Climatic Change 102(1-2): 159-186, doi: 10.1007/s10584-010-9852-3.

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Quantifying hypoxia impacts on an estuarine demersal community using a hierarchical ensemble approach

Essington, T.E., Paulsen, C.E.  2010. Quantifying hypoxia impacts on an estuarine demersal community using a hierarchical ensemble approach. Ecosystems 13(7): 1035-1048, doi: 10.1007/s10021-010-9372-z.

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Re-allocating water in the Pacific Northwest

Slaughter, R. 2010. Re-allocating water in the Pacific Northwest. In The Water Report 77:16-25.

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Regional climate model projections for the State of Washington

Salathé, E.P., Leung, L.R., Qian, Y., Zhang, Y.  2010. Regional climate model projections for the State of Washington. Climatic Change 102(1-2): 51-75, doi: 10.1007/s10584-010-9849-y.

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Regional interdecadal variability in bias-corrected ocean temperature data

Carson, M., Harrison, D.E.  2010. Journal of Climate23:2847-2855, doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI3121.1.

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Response of Colorado River runoff to dust radiative forcing in snow

Painter, T.H., Deems, J., Belnap, J., Hamlet, A.F., Landry, C.C., Udall, B. 2010. Response of Colorado River runoff to dust radiative forcing in snow. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 107(40): 17125-17130, doi: 10.1073/pnas.0913139107.

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Seattle City Light Climate Change Analysis: Climate Change Impacts on Regional Climate, Climate Extremes, Streamflow, Water Temperature, and Hydrologic Extremes

Snover, A.K., Hamlet, A.F., Lee, S-Y., Mantua, N.J., Salathé, E.P., Steed, R., Tohver, I. 2010. Seattle City Light Climate Change Analysis: Climate Change Impacts on Regional Climate, Climate Extremes, Streamflow, Water Temperature, and Hydrologic Extremes. Prepared for The City of Seattle, Seattle City Light by The Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington. June.

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Statistical downscaling techniques for global climate model simulations of temperature and precipitation with application to water resources planning studies

Hamlet, A.F., Salathé, E.P., Carrasco, P.  2010. Statistical downscaling techniques for global climate model simulations of temperature and precipitation with application to water resources planning studies. Chapter 4 in Final Report for the Columbia Basin Climate Change Scenarios Project, Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Streamflow locations, sources of natural streamflow data, and key hydrologic products

Hamlet, A.F., Mauger, G.S., Lee, S-Y.  2010. Chapter 8 in Final Report for the Columbia Basin Climate Change Scenarios Project, Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

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The effects of climatic change and wildland fires on air quality in national parks and wilderness areas

McKenzie, D.  2010. The effects of climatic change and wildland fires on air quality in national parks and wilderness areas. Fire Management Today 70:26-28.

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The El Niño-Southern Oscillation Phenomenon

Sarachik, E.S., Cane, M.A. 2010. The El Niño-Southern Oscillation Phenomenon. Cambridge, United Kingdom: Cambridge University Press.

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The relative influences of El Niño Southern Oscillation and Pacific Decadal Oscillation on paralytic shellfish toxin accumulation in Pacific Northwest shellfish

Moore, S.K., Mantua, N.J., Hickey, B.M., Trainer, V.L. 2010. The relative influences of El Niño Southern Oscillation and Pacific Decadal Oscillation on paralytic shellfish toxin accumulation in Pacific Northwest shellfish. Limnology and Oceanography 55: 2262-2274, doi:10.4319/lo.2010.55.6.2262.

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The tools needed to provide information for adaptation to future climate conditions

Sarachik, E.S.  2010. The tools needed to provide information for adaptation to future climate conditions. Prepared for the 2nd International Conference: Climate, Sustainability and Development in Semi-arid Regions, August 16 – 20, 2010, Fortaleza – Cear’a, Brazil.

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Using a stochastic model and cross-scale analysis to evaluate controls on historical low-severity fire regimes

Kennedy, M.C., McKenzie, D. 2010. Using a stochastic model and cross-scale analysis to evaluate controls on historical low-severity fire regimes. Landscape Ecology 25(10):1561-1573, doi: 10.1007/s10980-010-9527-5.

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A preliminary synthesis of modeled climate change impacts on U.S. regional ozone concentrations

Weaver, C.P., Liang, X.-Z., Zhu, J., Adams, P.J., Amar, P., Avise, J., Caughey, M., Chen, J., Cohen, R.C., Cooter, E., Dawson, J.P., Gilliam, R., Gilliland, A., Goldstein, A.H., Grambsch, A., Grano, D., Guenther, A., Gustafson, W.I., Harley, R.A., He, S., Hemming, B., Hogrefe, C., Huang, H.-C., Hunt, S.W., Jacob, D.J., Kinney, P.L., Kunkel, K., Lamarque, J-F., Lamb, B., Larkin, N.K., Leung, L.R., Liao, K.-J., Lin, J.-T., Lynn, B.H., Manomaiphiboon, K., Mass, C., McKenzie, D., Mickley, L. J., O’Neill, S.M., Nolte, C. 2009. A preliminary synthesis of modeled climate change impacts on U.S. regional ozone concentrations. A preliminary synthesis of modeled climate change impacts on U.S. regional ozone concentrations. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 90:1843-1863.

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A transactions cost approach to the theoretical foundations of water markets

Slaughter, R.  2009. A transactions cost approach to the theoretical foundations of water markets. Journal of the American Water Resources Association 45(2): 331-342.

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Adapting to climate change in United States national forests

Blate, G.M., Joyce, L.A., Littell, J.S., McNulty, S.G., Millar, C.I., Moser, S.C., Neilson, R.P., O’Halloran, K., Peterson, D.L. 2009. Adapting to climate change in United States national forests. Unasylva 60(231/232): 57-62.

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Assessing the impacts of global warming on snowpack in the Washington Cascades

Casola, J.H., Cuo, L., Livneh, B., Lettenmaier, D.P., Stoelinga, M.T., Mote, P.W., Wallace, J.M. 2009. Assessing the impacts of global warming on snowpack in the Washington Cascades. Journal of Climate 22:2758-2772, doi: 10.1175/2008JCLI2612.1.

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Assessing vulnerability to natural hazards: An impact-based method and application to drought in Washington State

Fontaine, M., Steinemann, A.C.  2009. Assessing vulnerability to natural hazards: An impact-based method and application to drought in Washington State. Natural Hazards Review 10(1):11-18.

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Assessment of climate change impact on eastern Washington agriculture

Stöckle, C., Nelson, R.L., Higgins, S., Brunner, J., Grove, G., Boydston, R., Whiting, M., Kruger, C. 2009. Chapter 5 in The Washington Climate Change Impacts Assessment: Evaluating Washington's Future in a Changing Climate, Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington.

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Attribution of projected changes in U.S. ozone and PM2.5 concentrations to specific global changes

Avise, J., Chen, J., Lamb, B., Wiedinmyer, C., Guenther, A., Salathé, E.P., Mass, C.F. 2009. Attribution of projected changes in U.S. ozone and PM<sub>2.5</sub> concentrations to specific global changes. Atmospheric Chemistry & Physics 9: 1111-1124.

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Climate and wildfire area burned in Western U.S. ecoprovinces, 1916-2003

Littell, J.S., McKenzie, D., Peterson, D.L., Westerling, A.L. 2009. Climate and wildfire area burned in Western U.S. ecoprovinces, 1916-2003. Ecological Applications 19(4):1003-1021.

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Climate change impacts on water management and irrigated agriculture in the Yakima River Basin, Washington, USA

Vano, J.A., Scott, M., Voisin, N., Stöckle, C., Hamlet, A.F., Mickelson, K.E.B., Elsner, M.M., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2009. Climate change impacts on water management and irrigated agriculture in the Yakima River Basin, Washington, USA. Chapter 3.3 in The Washington Climate Change Impacts Assessment: Evaluating Washington’s Future in a Changing Climate, Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington.

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Climate change impacts on water management in the Puget Sound region, Washington, USA

Vano, J.A., Voisin, N., Cuo, L., Hamlet, A.F., Elsner, M.M., Palmer, R.N., Polebitski, A., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2009. Climate change impacts on water management in the Puget Sound region, Washington, USA. Chapter 3.2 in The Washington Climate Change Impacts Assessment: Evaluating Washington’s Future in a Changing Climate, Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington.

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Climate model based consensus on the hydrologic impacts of climate change to the Rio Lempa basin of Central America

Maurer, E.P., Adam, J.C., Wood, A.W.  2009. Climate model based consensus on the hydrologic impacts of climate change to the Rio Lempa basin of Central America. Hydrol. Earth System Sciences 13(2):183-194.

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Costs and benefits of stormwater management: Case study of the Puget Sound region

Visitacion, B., Booth, D.B., Steinemann, A.C. 2009. Costs and benefits of stormwater management: Case study of the Puget Sound region. ASCE Journal of Urban Planning and Development 135(4):150-158, doi:10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9488(2009)135:4(150)).

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Defining spring transition: Regional indices for the California Current

Holt, C., Mantua, N.J.  2009. Defining spring transition: Regional indices for the California Current. Marine Ecology Progress Series 393: 285-299, doi:10.3354/meps08147.

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Detection and attribution of streamflow timing change in the Western United States

Hidalgo, H., Das, T., Dettinger, M., Cayan, D.R., Pierce, D., Barnett, T., Bala, G., Mirin, A,, Wood, A.W., Bonfils, C., Santer, B.D., Nozawa, T. Detection and attribution of streamflow timing change in the Western United States. 2009. Journal of Climate doi: 10.1175/2009JCLI2470.1 (early online release version).

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Effects of a century of land cover and climate change on the hydrology of Puget Sound basin

Cuo, L., Lettenmaier, D.P., Alberti, M., Richey, J.E. 2009. Effects of a century of land cover and climate change on the hydrology of Puget Sound basin. Hydrological Processes 23: 907-933.

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Effects of fire-precipitation timing and regime on post-fire sediment delivery in Pacific Northwest forests

Lanini, J.L., Clark, E.A., Lettenmaier, D.P.  2009. Effects of fire-precipitation timing and regime on post-fire sediment delivery in Pacific Northwest forests. Geophysical Research Letters 36, L01402, doi: 10.1029/2008GL034588.

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Effects of projected climate change on energy supply and demand in the Pacific Northwest and Washington State

Hamlet, A.F., Lee, S-Y., Mickelson, K.E.B., Elsner, M.M.  2009. Effects of projected climate change on energy supply and demand in the Pacific Northwest and Washington State. Chapter 4 in The Washington Climate Change Impacts Assessment: Evaluating Washington’s Future in a Changing Climate, Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington.

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Effects of surface forcing on the seasonal cycle of the eastern equatorial Pacific

Harrison, D.E., Chiodi, A.M., Vecchi, G. 2009. Effects of surface forcing on the seasonal cycle of the eastern equatorial Pacific. Journal of Marine Research 67(6):701-729

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Evaluation of WRF and HadRM mesoscale climate simulations over the United States Pacific Northwest

Zhang, Y., Dulire, V., Mote, P.W., Salathé, E.P.  2009. Evaluation of WRF and HadRM mesoscale climate simulations over the United States Pacific Northwest. Journal of Climate 22(20):5511-5526, doi: 10.1175/2009JCLI2875.1.

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Forest ecosystems, disturbance, and climatic change in Washington State, USA

Littell, J.S., Oneil, E.E., McKenzie, D., Hicke, J.A., Lutz, J.A., Norheim, R.A., Elsner, M.M. 2009. Chapter 7 in The Washington Climate Change Impacts Assessment: Evaluating Washington's Future in a Changing Climate, Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington.

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Future climate in the Pacific Northwest

Mote, P.W., Salathé, E.P.  2009. Chapter 1 in The Washington Climate Change Impacts Assessment: Evaluating Washington's Future in a Changing Climate, Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington.

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Future land use and land cover influences on regional biogenic emissions and air quality in the United States

Chen, J., Avise, J., Guenther, A., Wiedinmyer, C., Salathé, E.P., Jackson, R.B., Lamb, B. 2009. Future land use and land cover influences on regional biogenic emissions and air quality in the United States. Atmospheric Environment 43(36):5771-5780, doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2009.08.015.

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Global and continental drought in the second half of the twentieth century: Severity–area–duration analysis and temporal variability of large-scale events.

Sheffield, J., K.M. Andreadis, E.F. Wood, and D.P. Lettenmaier, D.P. 2009. Global and continental drought in the second half of the twentieth century: Severity–area–duration analysis and temporal variability of large-scale events. Journal of Climate 22(8): 1962-1981, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2722.1

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Global warming and stress complexes in forests of western North America

McKenzie, D., Peterson, D.L., Littell, J.S.  2009. pp. 319-337. Global warming and stress complexes in forests of western North America. In S. V. Krupa (series editor), Developments in Environmental Science, Vol. 8, Wild Land Fires and Air Pollution, A. Bytnerowicz, M. Arbaugh, A. Riebau, and C. Anderson (eds.). Amsterdam, The Netherlands: Elsevier Science, Ltd.

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Holocene fire history in the North Cascade Range, Washington

Prichard, S.J., Gedalof, Z.M., Oswald, W. Wyatt, Peterson, D.L. 2009. Holocene fire history in the North Cascade Range, Washington. Quaternary Research 72(1): 57-67, doi:10.1016/j.yqres.2009.03.008.

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Impacts of climate change on key aspects of freshwater salmon habitat in Washington State

Mantua, N.J., Tohver, I., Hamlet, A.F.  2009. Chapter 6 in The Washington Climate Change Impacts Assessment: Evaluating Washington's Future in a Changing Climate, Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington.

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Impacts of climate change on the coasts of Washington State

Huppert, D.D., Moore, A., Dyson, K.  2009. Chapter 8 in The Washington Climate Change Impacts Assessment: Evaluating Washington's Future in a Changing Climate, Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington.

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Implications of 21st century climate change for the hydrology of Washington State

Elsner, M.M., Cuo, L., Voisin, N., Deems, J., Hamlet, A.F., Vano, J.A., Mickelson, K.E.B., Lee, S-Y., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2009. Implications of 21st century climate change for the hydrology of Washington State. Chapter 3.1 in The Washington Climate Change Impacts Assessment: Evaluating Washington’s Future in a Changing Climate, Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington.

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Implications of global climate change for snowmelt hydrology in the 21st century

Adam, J.C., Hamlet, A.F., Lettenmaier, D.P.  2009. Implications of global climate change for snowmelt hydrology in the 21st century. Hydrological Processes 23(7), 962-972.

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Land waters and sea level

Lettenmaier, D.P., Milly, P.C.D.  2009. Land waters and sea level. Nature Geoscience 2: 452-454, doi:10.1038/ngeo567.

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Modeling snow accumulation and ablation processes in forested environments

Andreadis, K.M., Storck, P., Lettenmaier, D.P.  2009. Modeling snow accumulation and ablation processes in forested environments. Water Resources Research, 45, W05429, doi:10.1029/2008WR007042.

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Multimodel ensemble reconstruction of drought over the continental United States

Wang, A., Bohn, T.J., Mahanama, S.P., Koster, R.D., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2009. Multimodel ensemble reconstruction of drought over the continental United States. Journal of Climate 22(10): 2694-2712.

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On the increasing vulnerability of the world ocean to multiple stresses

Miles, E.L.  2009. On the increasing vulnerability of the world ocean to multiple stresses. Annual Review of Environment and Resources 34: 17-41, doi:10.1146/annurev.environ.33.041707.110117.

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Optimized flood control in the Columbia River Basin for a global warming scenario

Lee, S-Y., Hamlet, A.F., Fitzgerald, C.J., Burges, S.J., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2009. Optimized flood control in the Columbia River Basin for a global warming scenario. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management 135(6): 440-450, doi:10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9496(2009)135:6(440).

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Options for national parks and reserves for adapting to climate change

Baron, J.S., Gunderson, L., Allen, C.D., Fleishman, E., McKenzie, D., Meyerson, L.A., Oropeza, J., Stephenson, N. 2009. Options for national parks and reserves for adapting to climate change. Environmental Management 44(6):1033-1042, doi: 10.1007/s00267-009-9296-6.

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Patterns of change in climate and Pacific salmon production

Mantua, N.J.  2009. Patterns of change in climate and Pacific salmon production. Pages 1143 – 1157 in C.C. Krueger and C.E. Zimmerman (eds.), Pacific Salmon: Ecology and Management of Western Alaska’s Populations, American Fisheries Society, Symposium 70, Bethesda, Maryland.

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