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Influences of a shift in North Pacific storm tracks on western North American precipitation under global warming

Salathé, E.P.  2006. Influences of a shift in North Pacific storm tracks on western North American precipitation under global warming. Geophysical Research Letters 33, L19820, doi:10.1029/2006GL026882, 2006.

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Integrating climate impacts in water resource planning and management

White, K.D., Vaddey, S.V., Hamlet, A.F., Cohen, S.J., Neilsen, D., Taylor, W. 2006. Integrating climate impacts in water resource planning and management. In M. Davies (ed.) and J.E. Zurfelt, Proceedings of the 13th International Conference on Cold Regions Engineering, Current Practices in Cold Regions Engineering, Orono, Maine, July 23-26, 2006, Reston, Virginia: American Society of Civil Engineering.

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Integrating models to predict regional haze from wildland fire

McKenzie, D., O’Neill, S., Larkin, N., Norheim, R.A. 2006. Integrating models to predict regional haze from wildland fire. Ecological Modelling 199:278-288.

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Optimized flood control in the Columbia River Basin for a global warming scenario

Lee, S-Y., Hamlet, A.F., Fitzgerald, C.J., Burges, S.J., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2006. Optimized flood control in the Columbia River Basin for a global warming scenario. In D. Zimbelman and W.C. Loehlein (eds.), Operating Reservoirs in Changing Conditions, ASCE conference proceedings, Sacramento, CA, August 14-16, 2006, Reston, Virginia: American Society of Civil Engineers.

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Response of western mountain ecosystems to climatic variability and change: the Western Mountain Initiative.

Stephenson, N., Peterson, D.L., Fagre, D., Allen, C.D., McKenzie, D., Baron, J.S., O’Brian, K. 2006. Response of western mountain ecosystems to climatic variability and change: the Western Mountain Initiative. Park Science 24:24-29.

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Simulating regional haze from wildland fire emissions in the western USA

McKenzie, D., O’Neill, S., Larkin, N., Norheim, R.A. 2006. Simulating regional haze from wildland fire emissions in the western USA. pages 128-129. In M. Price (ed.), Global Change in Mountain Regions, Sapiens Publishing, Duncow, UK.

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Spatial and temporal variability in forest growth in the Olympic Mountains, Washington: Sensitivity toclimatic variability

Holman, M.L., Peterson, D.L. 2006. Spatial and temporal variability in forest growth in the Olympic Mountains, Washington: Sensitivity toclimatic variability. Canadian Journal of Forest Resources 36:92-104.

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Spatial variability in forest growth – climate relationships in the Olympic Mountains, Washington

Nakawatase, J.M., Peterson, D.L. 2006. Spatial variability in forest growth – climate relationships in the Olympic Mountains, Washington. Canadian Journal of Forest Resources 36:77-91.

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Summertime subtropical sea surface temperature variability

Chiodi, A.M., Harrison, D.E. 2006. Summertime subtropical sea surface temperature variability. Geophysical Research Letters 33(8), L08601, doi:10.1029/2005GL024524, 2006.

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The relationship between Pacific hake (Merluccius productus) distribution and poleward subsurface flow in the California Current System

Agostini, V.N., Francis, R.C., Hollowed, A.B., Pierce, S.D., Wilson, C., Hendrix, A.N. 2006. The relationship between Pacific hake (Merluccius productus) distribution and poleward subsurface flow in the California Current System. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 63:2648-2659.

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The role of climate forecasts in western U.S. power planning

Voisin, N., Hamlet, A.F., Graham, L.P., Pierce, D.W., Barnett, T.P., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2006. The role of climate forecasts in western U.S. power planning. Journal of Applied Meteorology 45(5):653-673.

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Top down modeling and bottom up dynamics: Linking a fisheries based ecosystem model with climate hypotheses in the Northern California Current

Field, J.C., Francis, R.C., Aydin, K 2006. Top down modeling and bottom up dynamics: Linking a fisheries based ecosystem model with climate hypotheses in the Northern California Current.  Progress in Oceanography 68(2-4): 238-270, doi:10.1016/j.pocean.2006.02.010.

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Trends in 20th century drought over the continental United States

Andreadis, K.M., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2006. Trends in 20th century drought over the continental United States. Geophysical Research Letters 33, L10403, doi:10.1029/2006GL025711.

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USACE foundation study on climate variability planning and adaptation

Vaddey, S.V., Hamlet, A.F., White, K.D.  2006. USACE foundation study on climate variability planning and adaptation. In Proceedings of American Water Resources Association Summer Specialty Conference: Adaptive Management of Water Resources, Missoula, MT, Jun 26-28, 2006, Middleburg, Virginia: American Water Resources Association.

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Use of satellite data for streamflow and reservoir storage forecasts in the Snake River Basin, ID

McGuire, M., Wood, A.W., Lettenmaier, D.P.  2006. Use of satellite data for streamflow and reservoir storage forecasts in the Snake River Basin, ID. J. Water Res. Planning and Mgt, ASCE, 132(2):97-110.

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Using climate forecasts for drought water management

Steinemann, A.C.  2006. Using climate forecasts for drought water management. Journal of Applied Meteorology 45(10): 1353-1361.

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Using neutral models to identify constraints on low-severity fire regimes

McKenzie, D., Hessl, A.E., Kellogg, L-K.B. 2006. Using neutral models to identify constraints on low-severity fire regimes. Landscape Ecology 21:139-152.

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“Agriculture Breakout Session”

Kay, J.E., Casola, J.H., Snover, A.K. 2005. “Agriculture Breakout Session.” Fact sheet prepared for King County (Washington)’s October 27, 2005 climate change conference “The Future Ain’t What It Used to Be: Preparing for Climate Disruption”. Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

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“Climate Change Policy Questions”

Kay, J.E., Casola, J.H., Snover, A.K. 2005. “Climate Change Policy Questions.” Fact sheet prepared for King County (Washington)’s October 27, 2005 climate change conference “The Future Ain’t What It Used to Be: Preparing for Climate Disruption”. Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

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“Climate Change Primers”

Kay, J.E., Casola, J.H., Snover, A.K. 2005. “Climate Change Primers.” Fact sheets prepared for King County (Washington)’s October 27, 2005 climate change conference “The Future Ain’t What It Used to Be: Preparing for Climate Disruption”. Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

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“Climate Impacts Science Primer”

Kay, J.E., Casola, J.H., Snover, A.K. 2005. “Climate Impacts Science Primer.” Fact sheet prepared for King County (Washington)’s October 27, 2005 climate change conference “The Future Ain’t What It Used to Be: Preparing for Climate Disruption”. Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

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“Coasts Breakout Session”

Kay, J.E., Casola, J.H., Snover, A.K. 2005. “Coasts Breakout Session.” Fact sheet prepared for King County (Washington)’s October 27, 2005 climate change conference “The Future Ain’t What It Used to Be: Preparing for Climate Disruption”. Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

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“Fish and Shellfish Breakout Session”

Kay, J.E., Casola, J.H., Snover, A.K. 2005. “Fish and Shellfish Breakout Session.” Fact sheet prepared for King County (Washington)’s October 27, 2005 climate change conference “The Future Ain’t What It Used to Be: Preparing for Climate Disruption”. Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

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“Forestry Breakout Session”

Kay, J.E., Casola, J.H., Snover, A.K. 2005. “Forestry Breakout Session.” Fact sheet prepared for King County (Washington)’s October 27, 2005 climate change conference “The Future Ain’t What It Used to Be: Preparing for Climate Disruption”. Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

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“Global Climate Change Primer”

Kay, J.E., Casola, J.H., Snover, A.K. 2005. “Global Climate Change Primer.” Fact sheet prepared for King County (Washington)’s October 27, 2005 climate change conference “The Future Ain’t What It Used to Be: Preparing for Climate Disruption”. Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

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“Hydropower Breakout Session”

Kay, J.E., Casola, J.H., Snover, A.K. 2005. “Hydropower Breakout Session.” Fact sheet prepared for King County (Washington)’s October 27, 2005 climate change conference “The Future Ain’t What It Used to Be: Preparing for Climate Disruption”. Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

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“King County Sector Breakout Fact Sheets”

Kay, J.E., Casola, J.H., Snover, A.K., Climate Impacts Group 2005. “King County Sector Breakout Fact Sheets.” Fact sheets prepared for King County (Washington)’s October 27, 2005 climate change conference “The Future Ain’t What It Used to Be: Preparing for Climate Disruption”. Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

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“Municipal/Industrial Water Breakout Session”

Kay, J.E., Casola, J.H., Snover, A.K. 2005. “Municipal/Industrial Water Breakout Session.” Fact sheet prepared for King County (Washington)’s October 27, 2005 climate change conference “The Future Ain’t What It Used to Be: Preparing for Climate Disruption”. Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

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“Regional Climate Change Primer”

Kay, J.E., Casola, J.H., Snover, A.K. 2005. “Regional Climate Change Primer.” Fact sheet prepared for King County (Washington)’s October 27, 2005 climate change conference “The Future Ain’t What It Used to Be: Preparing for Climate Disruption”. Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

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“Stormwater/Floods Breakout Session”

Kay, J.E., Casola, J.H., Snover, A.K. 2005. “Stormwater/Floods Breakout Session.” Fact sheet prepared for King County (Washington)’s October 27, 2005 climate change conference “The Future Ain’t What It Used to Be: Preparing for Climate Disruption”. Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

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A method for estimating vulnerability of Douglas-fir growth to climate change in the northwestern U.S.

Littell, J.S., Peterson, D.L. 2005. A method for estimating vulnerability of Douglas-fir growth to climate change in the northwestern U.S. Forestry Chronicle 81(3):369-374.

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A retrospective assessment of National Centers for Environmental Prediction climate model-based ensemble hydrologic forecasting in the western United States

Wood, A.W., Kumar, A., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2005. A retrospective assessment of National Centers for Environmental Prediction climate model-based ensemble hydrologic forecasting in the western United States. Journal of Geophysical Research 110, D04105, doi:10.1029/2004JD004508.

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Atmospheric, climatic and ecological controls on extreme wildfire years in the northwestern United States

Gedalof, Z.M., Peterson, D.L., Mantua, N.J. 2005. Atmospheric, climatic and ecological controls on extreme wildfire years in the northwestern United States. Ecological Applications 15(1):154-174.

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Climate Impacts on Washington’s Hydropower, Water Supply, Forests, Fish, and Agriculture

Casola, J.H., Kay, J.E., Snover, A.K., Norheim, R.A., Whitely Binder, L.C., Climate Impacts Group 2005. Climate Impacts on Washington’s Hydropower, Water Supply, Forests, Fish, and Agriculture. A report prepared for King County (Washington) by the Climate Impacts Group (Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle).

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Climate, ecology and productivity of Pacific sardine (Sardinops sagax) and hake (Merlucciusproductus)

Agostini, V.N. 2005. Climate, ecology and productivity of Pacific sardine (Sardinops sagax) and hake (Merlucciusproductus). Ph.D. dissertation, School of Aquatic and Fishery Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Declining mountain snowpack in western North America

Mote, P.W., Hamlet, A.F., Clark, M., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2005. Declining mountain snowpack in western North America. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 86(1):39-49.

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Downscaling simulations of future global climate with application to hydrologic modelling

Salathé, E.P. 2005. Downscaling simulations of future global climate with application to hydrologic modelling. International Journal of Climatology 25:419-436.

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Effects of a warmer climate on stress complexes in forest of western North America.

McKenzie, D., Peterson, D.L., Littell, J.S. 2005. Effects of a warmer climate on stress complexes in forest of western North America. EOS Trans. AGU 86(52); Fall Meet. Suppl., Abstract GC32A.

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Effects of climate variability and change on mountain water resources in the Western U.S

Leung, L.R. 2005. Effects of climate variability and change on mountain water resources in the Western U.S. pp. 355-366. In U.M. Huber, H.K.M. Bugmann, and M.A. Reasoner (eds.), Global Change and Mountain Regions: A State of Knowledge Overview, Springer, Dordrecht.

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Effects of temperature and precipitation variability on snowpack trends in the western United States

Hamlet, A.F., Mote, P.W., Clark, M., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2005. Effects of temperature and precipitation variability on snowpack trends in the western United States. Journal of Climate 18(21): 4545-4561.

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Fine-scale variability in growth-climate relationships of Douglas-fir, North Cascade Range, Washington

Case, M.J., Peterson, D.L. 2005. Fine-scale variability in growth-climate relationships of Douglas-fir, North Cascade Range, Washington. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 35: 2743-2755.

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Global seasonal temperature and precipitation anomalies during El Niño autumn and winter

Larkin, N.K., Harrison, D.E.  2005. Global seasonal temperature and precipitation anomalies during El Niño autumn and winter. Geophysical Research Letters 32(16), L16705, doi:10.1029/2005GL022860, 2005.

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Hydrologic response to climate variability, climate change, and climate extreme in the U.S.: Climate model evaluation and projections

Leung, L.R., Qian, Y. 2005. Hydrologic response to climate variability, climate change, and climate extreme in the U.S.: Climate model evaluation and projections. pp. 37-44. In Wagener, T. et al. (eds), Regional Hydrological Impacts of Climatic Change – Impact Assessment and Decision Making, IAHS Publication 295.

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Implications of 2005 Climate Change Scenarios for Pacific Northwest Hydrologic Studies

Lettenmaier, D.P., Wiley, M.W., Hamlet, A.F., Palmer, R.N. 2005. Implications of 2005 Climate Change Scenarios for Pacific Northwest Hydrologic Studies. A report prepared for King County (Washington) by the Climate Impacts Group (Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle).

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Nonlinear dynamics in ecosystem response to climatic change: Case studies and policy implications

Burkett, V.R., Wilcox, D.A., Stottlemyer, R., Barrow, W., Fagre, D., Baron, J.S., Price, J., Nielsen, J.L., Allen, C.D., Peterson, D.L., Ruggerone, G., Doyle, T. 2005. Nonlinear dynamics in ecosystem response to climatic change: Case studies and policy implications. Ecological Complexity 2:357-394.

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On the definition of El Niño and associated seasonal average U.S. weather anomalies

Larkin, N.K., Harrison, D.E.  2005. On the definition of El Niño and associated seasonal average U.S. weather anomalies. Geophysical Research Letters 32(13), L13705, doi:10.1029/2005GL022738, 2005.

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Preserving low-frequency climate signals in growth records of geoduck clams (Panopea abrupta)

Strom, A., Francis, R.C., Mantua, N.J., Miles, E.L., Peterson, D.L. 2005. Preserving low-frequency climate signals in growth records of geoduck clams (Panopea abrupta). Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 228(1-2): 167-178.

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Production of temporally consistent gridded precipitation and temperature fields for the continental U.S.

Hamlet, A.F., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2005. Production of temporally consistent gridded precipitation and temperature fields for the continental U.S. Journal of Hydrometeorology 6(3):330-336.

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Regeneration and understory response to harvest in subalpine forests of the North Cascade Range, Washington

Elman, E, Peterson, D.L. 2005. Regeneration and understory response to harvest in subalpine forests of the North Cascade Range, Washington. Journal of Ecosystems and Management 6(1): 33-50.

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Relationships between the irrigation-pumping electrical loads and the local climate in Climate Division 9, Idaho

Alfaro, E., Pierce, D., Steinemann, A.C., Gershunov, A. 2005. Relationships between the irrigation-pumping electrical loads and the local climate in Climate Division 9, Idaho. Applied Meteorology 44(12):1972-1978.

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Scenarios of Future Climate for the Pacific Northwest

Mote, P.W., Salathé, E.P., Peacock, C. 2005. Scenarios of Future Climate for the Pacific Northwest. A report prepared for King County (Washington)’s October 27, 2005 climate change conference “The Future Ain’t What It Used to Be: Preparing for Climate Disruption”. Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

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The role of daily surface forcing in setting the temperature and mixed layer structure of the Southern Ocean

Kamenkovich, I.V. 2005. The role of daily surface forcing in setting the temperature and mixed layer structure of the Southern Ocean. Journal of Geophysical Research 101, C07006, doi:10.1029/2004JC002610.

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Uncertain Future: Climate Change and Its Effects on Puget Sound

Snover, A.K., Mote, P.W., Whitely Binder, L.C., Hamlet, A.F., Mantua, N.J. 2005. Uncertain Future: Climate Change and Its Effects on Puget Sound. Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Oceans, University of Washington.

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Uncertain Future: Climate Change and Its Effects on Puget Sound – Foundation Document

Mote, P.W., Snover, A.K., Whitely Binder, L.C., Hamlet, A.F., Mantua, N.J. 2005. Uncertain Future: Climate Change and Its Effects on Puget Sound – Foundation Document. Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Oceans, University of Washington.

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Upscaling for a better understanding of climate links to ecosystems

Mantua, N.J. 2005. Upscaling for a better understanding of climate links to ecosystems. PICES Press 13(1): 12-14.

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Variability and trends in mountain snowpacks in western North America

Mote, P.W., Hamlet, A.F., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2005. Variability and trends in mountain snowpacks in western North America. In K. Elder, B. McGurk, and J. Lea (eds.), Proceedings of the Western Snow Conference, April 19-22, 2004, Richmond, British Columbia, pp. 15-22, Soda Springs, CA: Western Snow Conference.

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Watershed initiatives in the Skagit River and Tillamook Bay Watersheds: An exploratory analysis of planning, implementation, and integration

Morlock, S.M. 2005. Watershed initiatives in the Skagit River and Tillamook Bay Watersheds: An exploratory analysis of planning, implementation, and integration. M.S. thesis, School of Marine Affairs, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Wildfire in the West: A look into a greenhouse world

McKenzie, D., Peterson, D.L. 2005. Wildfire in the West: A look into a greenhouse world. pp. 8-12. In Watershed Management Council Networker, University of Idaho, Boise, ID.

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“Forest Biodiversity”

Climate Impacts Group. 2004. “Forest Biodiversity.” Fact sheet prepared by the Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

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“Forest Change”

Climate Impacts Group. 2004. “Forest Change.” Fact sheet prepared by the Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

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“Forest Fire and Climate”

Climate Impacts Group. 2004. “Forest Fire and Climate.” Fact sheet prepared by the Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

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“Forest Growth and Climate Change”

Climate Impacts Group. 2004. “Forest Growth and Climate Change.” Fact sheet prepared by the Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

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“Forests and Climate Fact Sheet Series”

Climate Impacts Group. 2004. “Forests and Climate Fact Sheet Series.” Fact sheets prepared by the Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

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“Impacts of Climate Change on PNW Timber Production”

Climate Impacts Group. 2004. “Impacts of Climate Change on PNW Timber Production.” Fact sheet prepared by the Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

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A comparison of the incorporation of climate forecasts and other climate information by coastal managers in the Pacific Northwest between 1996 and 2003

Andersen, M.S., Miles, E.L., Fluharty, D.L. 2004. A comparison of the incorporation of climate forecasts and other climate information by coastal managers in the Pacific Northwest between 1996 and 2003. In Conference Proceedings for The Coastal Society 19th International Conference, Alexandria, Virginia: The Coastal Society.

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A method for prediction of California summer air surface temperatures

Alfaro, E., Gershunov, A., Cayan, D., Steinemann, A.C., Pierce, D., Barnett, T. 2004. A method for prediction of California summer air surface temperatures. EOS, Transactions American Geophysical Union 85: 553, 557-558.

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A simplified linear framework for interpreting patterns of Northern Hemisphere wintertime climate variability

Quadrelli, R., Wallace, J.M. 2004. A simplified linear framework for interpreting patterns of Northern Hemisphere wintertime climate variability. Journal of Climate 17(19):3728-3744.

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Analysis techniques to incorporate climate change information into Seattle’s long range water supply planning

Wiley, M.W. 2004. Analysis techniques to incorporate climate change information into Seattle’s long range water supply planning. M.S.C.E. thesis, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Application of ecosystem-based fishery management approaches in the Northern California Current

Field, J.C. 2004. Application of ecosystem-based fishery management approaches in the Northern California Current. Ph.D. dissertation, School of Aquatic and Fishery Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Beyond the Kyoto/Marrakesh Protocol: Options and strategies

Miles, E.L. 2004. Beyond the Kyoto/Marrakesh Protocol: Options and strategies. In Peterson, D.L. and J.L. Innes (eds), Climatic Change, Carbon, and Forestry in Northwestern North America, General Technical Report GTR-PNW-614, pp. 23-33, USDA Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Portland, Oregon.

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Boundaries of open marine ecosystems: An application to the Pribilof archipelago, southeast Bering Sea

Ciannelli, L., Robson, B.W., Francis, R.C., Aydin, K, Brodeur, R.D. 2004. Boundaries of open marine ecosystems: An application to the Pribilof archipelago, southeast Bering Sea. Ecological Applications 14(3):942-953.

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Climatic Change, Carbon, and Forestry in Northwestern North America

Peterson, D.L., Innes, J.L. 2004. Climatic Change, Carbon, and Forestry in Northwestern North America. USDA Forest Service General Technical Report GTR-PNW-614. Pacific Northwest Research Station, Portland, OR.

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Climatic change, wildfire, and conservation

McKenzie, D., Gedalof, Z.M., Peterson, D.L., Mote, P.W. 2004. Climatic change, wildfire, and conservation. Conservation Biology 18(4):890-902.

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Columbia River flow and drought since 1750

Gedalof, Z.M., Peterson, D.L., Mantua, N.J. 2004. Columbia River flow and drought since 1750. Journal of the American Water Resources Association 40(6):1579-1592.

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Designing efficient observing networks for ENSO prediction

Morss, R., Battisti, D.S. 2004. Designing efficient observing networks for ENSO prediction. Journal of Climate 17: 3074-3089.

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Detecting regime shifts in the ocean: Data considerations

deYoung, B., Harris, R., Alheit, J., Beaugrand, G., Mantua, N.J., Shannon, L. 2004. Detecting regime shifts in the ocean: Data considerations. Progress in Oceanography 60(2-4):143-164.

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Determining the skill of meteorological and hydrological forecasts in the Pacific Northwest

Ryu, J.H., Palmer, R.N., Jeong, S., Lee, J. 2004. Determining the skill of meteorological and hydrological forecasts in the Pacific Northwest. In Proceedings of ASCE’s 2004 World Water and Environmental Resources Congress, Salt Lake City, Utah, June, 2004.

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Determining the skill of meteorological and hydrological forecasts in the Pacific Northwest

Palmer, R.N., Miller, M. 2004. Determining the skill of meteorological and hydrological forecasts in the Pacific Northwest. In Proceedings of ASCE’s 2004 World Water and Environmental Resources Congress, Salt Lake City, Utah, June, 2004.

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Drought and Pacific Decadal Oscillation linked to fire occurrence in the inland Pacific Northwest

Hessl, A.E., McKenzie, D., Schellhaas, R. 2004. Drought and Pacific Decadal Oscillation linked to fire occurrence in the inland Pacific Northwest. Ecological Applications 14(2): 425-442.

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Ecophysiological parameters for Pacific Northwest trees

Hessl, A.E., Milesi, C, Peterson, D.L., White, M., Keane, R.E. 2004. Ecophysiological parameters for Pacific Northwest trees. USDA Forest Service General Technical Report PNW-GTR-618, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Portland, Oregon.

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Empirical approaches to modeling wildland fire in the Pacific Northwest: Methods and applications to landscape simulations

McKenzie, D., Prichard, S.J., Hessl, A.E., Peterson, D.L. 2004. Empirical approaches to modeling wildland fire in the Pacific Northwest: Methods and applications to landscape simulations. Chapter 7 in A.J. Perera and L. Buse (eds.), Emulating Natural Forest Landscape Disturbances New York, NY: Columbia University Press.

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Environmental factors influencing freshwater survival and smolt production in two Pacific Northwest coho salmon (Oncorhynchus kisutch) populations

Lawson, P.W., Logerwell, E.A., Mantua, N.J., Francis, R.C., Agostini, V.N. 2004. Environmental factors influencing freshwater survival and smolt production in two Pacific Northwest coho salmon (Oncorhynchus kisutch) populations. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 61:360-373.

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Evaluating observing system requirements for ENSO prediction: Experiments with an intermediate coupled model

Morss, R., Battisti, D.S. 2004. Evaluating observing system requirements for ENSO prediction: Experiments with an intermediate coupled model. Journal of Climate 17: 3057-3073.

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Fire and Climatic Variability in the Inland Pacific Northwest: Integrating Science and Management

McKenzie, D., Hessl, A.E., Peterson, D.L., Agee, J.K., Lehmkuhl, J.F., Kellogg, L-K.B., Kernan, J. 2004. Fire and Climatic Variability in the Inland Pacific Northwest: Integrating Science and Management. Final report to the Joint Fire Science Program on Project #01-1-6-01, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station. 44 pp.

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How and why is Northwest climate changing?

Mote, P.W. 2004. How and why is Northwest climate changing? pp. 11-22 in Peterson, D.L. and J.L. Innes (eds.), Climate Change, Carbon, and Forestry in Northwestern North America. General technical report for the USDA Forest Service Pacific Northwest Research Station, Portland, Oregon.

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Hydrologic implications of dynamical and statistical approaches to downscaling climate model outputs

Wood, A.W., Leung, L.R., Sridhar, V., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2004. Hydrologic implications of dynamical and statistical approaches to downscaling climate model outputs. Climatic Change 62:189-216.

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Impact of climate change on U.S. air quality using multi-scale modeling with the MM5/SMOKE/CMAQ system

Chen, J., Avise, J., Vaughan, J., Lamb, B., Mass, C.F., Salathé, E.P., Guenther, A., Wiedinmyer, C., O’Neill, S., Ferguson, S., Larkin, N., McKenzie, D. . 2004. Impact of climate change on U.S. air quality using multi-scale modeling with the MM5/SMOKE/CMAQ system. In proceedings for Symposium on Planning, Nowcasting, and Forecasting in the Urban Zone, Boston, Massachusetts: American Meteorological Society.

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Incorporating long-lead climate forecasts into risk-based management and decision analysis: A case for the Snake River Basin

VanRheenen, N.T., Palmer, R.N., Lettenmaier, D.P., Hamlet, A.F. 2004. Incorporating long-lead climate forecasts into risk-based management and decision analysis: A case for the Snake River Basin. Incorporating long-lead climate forecasts into risk-based management and decision analysis: A case for the Snake River Basin. In Proceedings of ASCE’s 2004 World Water and Environmental Resources Congress, Salt Lake City, Utah, June, 2004.

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Institutional history of the Snake River, 1850-2004

Slaughter, R. 2004. Institutional history of the Snake River, 1850-2004. Background paper prepared for the Climate Impacts Group.

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Integrated and cumulative threats to water

Cohen, S.J., de Loe, R., Hamlet, A.F., Herrington, R., Mortsch, L., Shrubsole, D. 2004. Integrated and cumulative threats to water. Chapter 15 in Threats to Fresh Water Availability in Canada, Environment Canada, NWRI Scientific Assessment Report Series No.3, Burlington, Ontario: National Water Research Institute.

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Interannual Indian rainfall variability and Indian Ocean sea surface temperature anomalies

Vecchi, G., Harrison, D.E. 2004. Interannual Indian rainfall variability and Indian Ocean sea surface temperature anomalies. pages 247-260 in C. Wang, S.-P. Xie, and J.A. Carton (eds.) Earth Climate: The Ocean-Atmosphere Interaction, American Geophysical Union, Geophysical Monograph 147, Washington D.C..

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Mechanisms controlling the sensitivity of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation to the parameterization of eddy transports in an ocean GCM

Kamenkovich, I.V., Sarachik, E.S. 2004. Mechanisms controlling the sensitivity of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation to the parameterization of eddy transports in an ocean GCM. Journal of Physical Oceanography 34:1628-1647.

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Methods for detecting regime shifts in large marine ecosystems: A review with approaches applied to North Pacific data

Mantua, N.J. 2004. Methods for detecting regime shifts in large marine ecosystems: A review with approaches applied to North Pacific data. Progress in Oceanography 60(2-4):165-182.

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Mid-century ensemble regional climate change scenarios for the Western United States

Leung, L.R., Qian, Y., Bian, X., Washington, W.M., Han, J., Roads, J.O. 2004. Mid-century ensemble regional climate change scenarios for the Western United States. Climatic Change 62:75-113.

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Mitigating the effects of climate change on the water resources of the Columbia River basin

Payne, J.T., Wood, A.W., Hamlet, A.F., Palmer, R.N., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2004. Mitigating the effects of climate change on the water resources of the Columbia River basin. Climatic Change 62(1-3):233-256.

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Natural climate insurance for Pacific Northwest salmon and salmon fisheries: Finding our way through the entangled bank

Mantua, N.J., Francis, R.C. 2004. Natural climate insurance for Pacific Northwest salmon and salmon fisheries: Finding our way through the entangled bank. pp. 127-140, in E.E. Knudsen and D. MacDonald (eds), Fish in our Future? Perspectives on Fisheries Sustainability. A special publication of the American Fisheries Society.

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North Pacific climate recorded in growth rings of geoduck clams: A new tool for paleoenvironmental reconstruction

Strom, A., Francis, R.C., Mantua, N.J., Miles, E.L., Peterson, D.L. 2004. North Pacific climate recorded in growth rings of geoduck clams: A new tool for paleoenvironmental reconstruction. Geophysical Research Letters 31, doi: 10.1029/2004GL019440, 2004.

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On reducing errors in temperature and salinity in an ocean model forced by restoring boundary conditions

Kamenkovich, I.V., Sarachik, E.S. 2004. On reducing errors in temperature and salinity in an ocean model forced by restoring boundary conditions. Journal of Physical Oceanography 34:1856-1869.

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Overview of Climate Change Impacts in the U.S. Pacific Northwest

Climate Impacts Group. 2004. Overview of Climate Change Impacts in the U.S. Pacific Northwest. Background paper prepared for the West Coast Governors’ Climate Change Initiative.

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Potential implications of PCM climate change scenarios for Sacramento – San Joaquin River Basin hydrology and water resources

VanRheenen, N.T., Wood, A.W., Palmer, R.N., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2004. Potential implications of PCM climate change scenarios for Sacramento – San Joaquin River Basin hydrology and water resources. Climatic Change 62(1-3): 257-281.

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