Publications

Introduction

2013 / Climate: PNW Climate, Coastal & Marine Ecosystems

Antrim, L., Miller, I., Whitely Binder, L.C., Tohver, I. 2013. Introduction. Chapter 1, pp.1-10. In Miller, I.M., Shishido, C., Antrim, L, and Bowlby, C.E. (eds.), Climate Change and the Olympic Coast National Marine Sanctuary: Interpreting Potential Futures. Marine Sanctuaries Conservation Series ONMS-13-01. U.S. Department of Commerce, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Office of National Marine Sanctuaries, Silver Spring, MD. 238 pp.

Introduction: The changing Northwest

2013 / Adaptation, Climate: PNW Climate, Vulnerability/Risk Assessment

Snover, A.K., Glick, P., Capalbo, S.M. 2013. Introduction: The changing Northwest. Chapter 1, pp 1-24. In M.M. Dalton, P.W. Mote, and A.K. Snover (eds.) Climate Change in the Northwest: Implications for Our Landscapes, Waters, and Communities, Washington D.C.: Island Press.

Key considerations for moving forward with adaptation in OCNMS

2013 / Adaptation, Coastal & Marine Ecosystems

Whitely Binder, L.C., Shishido, C., Snover, A.K. 2013. Key considerations for moving forward with adaptation in OCNMS. Chapter 5, pp.153-168. In Miller, I.M., Shishido, C., Antrim, L, and Bowlby, C.E. (eds.), Climate Change and the Olympic Coast National Marine Sanctuary: Interpreting Potential Futures. Marine Sanctuaries Conservation Series ONMS-13-01. U.S. Department of Commerce, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Office of National Marine Sanctuaries, Silver Spring, MD. 238 pp.

Optimal design of a climatological network: Beyond practical considerations

2013 / Climate: PNW Climate

Mauger, G.S., Bumbaco, K.A., Hakim, G.J., Mote, P.W. 2013. Optimal design of a climatological network: Beyond practical considerations. Geoscientific Instrumentation, Methods and Data Systems 2(2):199-212. https://doi.org/10.5194/gi-2-199-2013

Physical effects of climate change in OCNMS: Altered hydrologic patterns

2013 / Climate: PNW Climate, Hydrology & Water Resources

Tohver, I. 2013. Chapter 2.8, pp.60-66. In Miller, I.M., Shishido, C., Antrim, L, and Bowlby, C.E. (eds.), Climate Change and the Olympic Coast National Marine Sanctuary: Interpreting Potential Futures. Marine Sanctuaries Conservation Series ONMS-13-01. U.S. Department of Commerce, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Office of National Marine Sanctuaries, Silver Spring, MD. 238 pp.

Potential effects of warming climate on visitor use in three Alaskan national parks

2013 / Adaptation, Decision Support

Albano, C.M., Angelo, C.L., Strauch, R.L., Thurman, L.L. 2013. Potential effects of warming climate on visitor use in three Alaskan national parks. Park Science 30(1):37-44.

Restoring salmon habitat for a changing climate

2013 / Freshwater Ecosystems, Hydrology & Water Resources

Beechie, T.J., Imaki, H., Greene, J., Wade, A., Wu, H., Press, G., Roni, P., Kimball, J., Stanford, J., Kiffney, P., Mantua, N.J. 2013. Restoring salmon habitat for a changing climate. River Research and Applications, 29: 939-960. https://doi.org/10.1002/rra.2590

Sound Transit Climate Risk Reduction Project

2013 / Built Environment, Vulnerability/Risk Assessment

Whitely Binder, L., I. Tohver, A. Shatzkin, and A.K. Snover. 2013. Sound Transit Climate Risk Reduction Project. Federal Transit Administration (FTA) Report No. 0075, U.S. Department of Transportation, Washington, DC. Available at: https://www.transit.dot.gov/sites/fta.dot.gov/files/FTA_Report_No._0075.pdf

Steelhead vulnerability to climate change in the Pacific Northwest

2013 / Freshwater Ecosystems, Hydrology & Water Resources

Wade, A.A., Beechie, T.J., Fleishman, E., Mantua, N.J., Wu, H., Kimball, J.S., Stroms, D.M., Stanford, J.A. 2013. Steelhead vulnerability to climate change in the Pacific Northwest. Journal of Applied Ecology 50(5): 1093-1104. https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.12137

Temporal carbon dynamics of forests in Washington, U.S.: Implications for ecological theory and carbon management

2013 / Terrestrial Ecosystems

Raymond, C.L., McKenzie, D. 2013. Temporal carbon dynamics of forests in Washington, U.S.: Implications for ecological theory and carbon management. Forest Ecology and Management 310: 796-811. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2013.09.026

The North Cascadia Adaptation Partnership: A science-management collaboration for responding to climate change

2013 / Adaptation, Terrestrial Ecosystems

Raymond, C.L., Peterson, D.L., Rochefort, R.M. 2013. The North Cascadia Adaptation Partnership: A science-management collaboration for responding to climate change. Sustainability 5(1):136-159. https://doi.org/10.3390/su5010136

Tree growth and climate in the Pacific Northwest, North America: A broad-scale analysis of changing growth environments

2013 / Climate: PNW Climate, Terrestrial Ecosystems

Albright, W.L., Peterson, D.L. Tree growth and climate in the Pacific Northwest, North America: A broad-scale analysis of changing growth environments. 2013. Journal of Biogeography 40:2119-2133. https://doi.org/10.1111/jbi.12157

Tree-species range shifts in a changing climate – detecting, modeling, assisting

2013 / Terrestrial Ecosystems

Iverson, L.R., McKenzie, D. 2013. Tree-species range shifts in a changing climate – detecting, modeling, assisting. Landscape Ecology 28(5):879-889. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10980-013-9885-x

U.S. strategy for forest management adaptation to climate change: Building a framework for decision making

2013 / Adaptation, Terrestrial Ecosystems

Sample, V.A., Halofsky, J.E., Peterson, D.L. 2013. U.S. strategy for forest management adaptation to climate change: Building a framework for decision making. Annals of Forest Science. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13595-013-0288-6

Wildfire and fuel treatment effects on forest carbon dynamics in the western United States

2013 / Terrestrial Ecosystems

Restaino, J.C., Peterson, D.L. 2013. Wildfire and fuel treatment effects on forest carbon dynamics in the western United States. Forest Ecology and Management 303:46-60. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2013.03.043

Carbon dynamics of forests in Washington, USA: 21st century projections based on climate-driven changes in fire regimes

2012 / Climate: PNW Climate, Terrestrial Ecosystems

Raymond, C.L., McKenzie, D. 2012. Carbon dynamics of forests in Washington, USA: 21st century projections based on climate-driven changes in fire regimes. Ecological Applications 22(5):1589-1611. https://doi.org/10.1890/11-1851.1

Effects of Projected Twenty-First Century Sea Level Rise, Storm Surge, and River Flooding on Water Levels in Puget Sound Floodplains and Estuaries

2012 / Coastal & Marine Ecosystems, Hydrology & Water Resources, Theses & Dissertations

Hamman, J.J. 2012. Effects of Projected Twenty-First Century Sea Level Rise, Storm Surge, and River Flooding on Water Levels in Puget Sound Floodplains and Estuaries. M.S. thesis, Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Washington, Seattle.

ENSO anomalies over the western United States: Present and future patterns in regional climate simulations

2012 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Climate: PNW Climate

Zhang, Y. X., Y. Qian, V. Dulière, E. P. Salathé, and L. R. Leung, 2012. ENSO anomalies over the Western United States: Present and future patterns in regional climate simulations. Climatic Change 110:315-346

Estimating seasonal uncertainties in paleo-reconstructed hydrologic variables, with applications to climate change assessments

2012 / Hydrology & Water Resources

Lutz, E., A. Hamlet, and J. Littell. 2012. Paleoreconstruction of Cool Season Precipitation and Warm Season Streamflow in the Pacific Northwest with Applications to Climate Change Assessments. Water Resources Research. 48. 1525-. 10.1029/2011WR010687.

Estimating the water budget of major U.S. river basins via remote sensing

2012 / Hydrology & Water Resources

Gao, H., Tang, Q., Ferguson, C.R., Wood, E.F., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2012. To appear in International Journal of Remote Sensing.

Modeling climate change impacts on overwintering bald eagles

2012 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Coastal & Marine Ecosystems

Harvey, C.J., P.E. Moriarty, and E.P. Salathé Jr. 2012. Modeling climate change impacts on overwintering bald eagles. Ecology and Evolution 2:501-514.

Moisture flux convergence in regional and global climate models: Implications for droughts in the southwestern United States under climate change

2012 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Hydrology & Water Resources

Gao, Y., Leung, L.R., Salathé, E.P., Dominguez, F., Nijssen, B., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2012. Geophysical Research Letters, 39, L09711. https://doi.org/10.1029/2012GL051560

Northern Rockies Climate Change Primer

2012 / Climate: PNW Climate, Terrestrial Ecosystems

Littell, J.S. 2012. Northern Rockies Climate Change Primer. Prepared for the U.S. Forest Service, Region 1, by the Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle.

Ocean Acidification: From Knowledge to Action, Washington State’s Strategic Response

2012 / Coastal & Marine Ecosystems, Decision Support

Whitely Binder, L.C., Washington State Blue Ribbon Panel on Ocean Acidification. 2012. Ocean Acidification: From Knowledge to Action, Washington State’s Strategic Response. H. Adelsman and L. Whitely Binder (eds). Washington Department of Ecology, Olympia, Washington. Publication no. 12-01-015.

Paleoreconstruction of cool season precipitation and warm season streamflow in the Pacific Northwest with estimates of uncertainties and applications to climate change assessments

2012 / Climate: PNW Climate, Hydrology & Water Resources

Lutz, E.R., Hamlet, A.F., Littell, J.S. 2012. Water Resources Research 48, W01525. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011WR010687

Potential trophodynamic and environmental drivers of steelhead (Oncorhynchus mykiss) productivity in the North Pacific Ocean

2012 / Coastal & Marine Ecosystems

Atcheson, M.E., Myers, K.W., Davis, N.D., Mantua, N.J. 2012. Potential trophodynamic and environmental drivers of steelhead (Oncorhynchus mykiss) productivity in the North Pacific Ocean. Fisheries Oceanography 21(5):321-335. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2419.2012.00627.x

Reconstructing mass balance of South Cascade Glacier using tree-ring records

2012 / Terrestrial Ecosystems, Theses & Dissertations

Marcinkowski, K., & Ettl, Gregory John. 2012. Reconstructing mass balance of South Cascade Glacier using tree-ring records. M.S. thesis, Ecosystems Analysis, University of Washington, Seattle.

Resource allocation under stress: The Snake River in Idaho

2012 / Adaptation, Hydrology & Water Resources

Slaughter, R. 2012. Resource allocation under stress: The Snake River in Idaho. Climate Impacts Group (CIG), University of Washington, and Idaho Water Resources Research Institute (IWRRI), University of Idaho. A case study of the impact of institutional design on resource allocation and adaptation. IWRRI Report 201203.

Responses to climate change integration challenges in the PNW

2012

Peters, J. 2012. Responses to climate change integration challenges in the PNW. White Paper prepared for the North Pacific Landscape Conservation Cooperative. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle. 37 pg.

Seasonal hydrologic forecasting: Do multimodel ensemble averages always yield improvements in forecast skill?

2012 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Hydrology & Water Resources

Bohn, T.J., Sonessa, M.Y., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2012. To appear in Journal of Hydrometeorology.

Simulating the effects of climate change on population connectivity of American marten (Martes americana) in the northern Rocky Mountains, USA

2012 / Climate: PNW Climate, Terrestrial Ecosystems

Wasserman, T.N., Cushman, S.A., Shirk, A.S., Landguth, E.L., Littell, J.S. 2012. Simulating the effects of climate change on population connectivity of American marten (Martes americana) in the northern Rocky Mountains, USA. Landscape Ecology 27(2):211-225. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10980-011-9653-8

The salmon MALBEC project: A North Pacific-scale study to support salmon conservation planning

2012 / Coastal & Marine Ecosystems

Mantua, N.J., Taylor, N.G., Ruggerone, G.T., Myers, K.W., Preikshot, D., Augerot, X., Davis, N.D., Dorner, B., Hilborn, R., Peterman, R.M., Rand, P., Schindler, D., Stanford, J., Walker, R.V., Walters, C.J. The salmon MALBEC project: A North Pacific-scale study to support salmon conservation planning. 2012. To appear in Proceedings of the NPAFC BASIS Symposium.

The State of Adaptation in the United States: An Overview

2012 / Adaptation

Hansen, L., Gregg, R.M., Arroyo, V., Jackson, L., Snover, A.K. 2012. The State of Adaptation in the United States: An Overview. A report for the John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation. EcoAdapt.

U.S. National Forests adapt to climate change through science-management partnerships

2012 / Adaptation, Terrestrial Ecosystems

Littell, J.S., Peterson, D.L., Millar, C.I., O’Halloran, K. 2012. Climatic Change. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0066-0

Using Physically Based Hydrology Models to Improve Fine Scale Estimates of Q100 in Complex Mountain Terrain

2012 / Hydrology & Water Resources

Tohver, I., Lee, S-Y., Hamlet, A.F. 2012. Final project report prepared for Olympic National Park and Olympic National Forest by the Climate Impacts Group and the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering University of Washington, Seattle.

Vose, J., D.L. Peterson, and T. Patel-Weynand. 2012. Effects of climatic variability and change on forest ecosystems: a comprehensive science synthesis for the U.S. forest sector.

2012 / Climate: PNW Climate, Terrestrial Ecosystems

Vose, J., Peterson, D.L., Patel-Weynand, T. 2012. USDA Forest Service General Technical Report PNW-GTR-870. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station. 265 p.

Wintertime extreme precipitation events along the Pacific Northwest coast: Climatology and synoptic evolution

2012 / Climate: PNW Climate, Hydrology & Water Resources

Warner, M.D., Mass, C., Salathé, E.P. 2012. Wintertime extreme precipitation events along the Pacific Northwest coast: Climatology and synoptic evolution. Monthly Weather Review 140: 2021-2043. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-11-00197.1

Adapting to climate change at Olympic National Forest and Olympic National Park

2011 / Adaptation, Climate: PNW Climate, Terrestrial Ecosystems

Halofsky, J.E., Peterson, D.L., O’Halloran, K., Hawkins Hoffman, C. 2011. Adapting to climate change at Olympic National Forest and Olympic National Park. USDA Forest Service General Technical Report PNW-GTR-844. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Portland, Oregon. 130 p. https://doi.org/10.2737/PNW-GTR-844

Automated upscaling of river networks for macroscale hydrological modeling

2011

Wu, H., Kimball, J., Mantua, N.J., Stanford, J. 2011. Automated upscaling of river networks for macroscale hydrological modeling. Water Resour. Res. 47, W03517. https://doi.org/10.1029/2009WR008871

Climate change and mountain water resources: Overview and recommendations for research, management, and policy

2011

Viviroli, D., Archer, D.R., Buytaert, W., Fowler, H.J., Greenwood, G.B., Hamlet, A.F., Huang, Y., Koboltschnig, G., Litaor, M.I., Lpez-Moreno, J.I., Lorentz, S., Schdler, B., Schreier, H., Schwaiger, K., Vuille, M., Woods, R. Climate change and mountain water resources: Overview and recommendations for research, management, and policy. 2011. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 15(2): 471-504. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-15-471-2011

Climate change and wilderness fire regimes

2011 / Climate: PNW Climate, Terrestrial Ecosystems

McKenzie, D., Littell, J.S. 2011. Climate change and wilderness fire regimes. International Journal of Wilderness 17(1): 22-31.

Climate change predicted to shift wolverine distributions, connectivity, and dispersal corridors

2011 / Climate: PNW Climate, Terrestrial Ecosystems

McKelvey, K.S., Copeland, J.P., Schwartz, M.K., Littell, J.S., Aubry, K.B., Squires, J.R., Parks, S.A., Elsner, M.M., Mauger, G.S. 2011. Climate change predicted to shift wolverine distributions, connectivity, and dispersal corridors. Ecological Applications 21:2882-2897.

Climate change, hydrology, and road management at Olympic National Forest and Olympic National Park

2011

Halofsky, J., W.S. Shelmerdine, R. Stoddard, R. Metzger, A.F. Hamlet, C.H. Hoffman. 2011. Climate change, hydrology, and road management at Olympic National Forest and Olympic National Park. USDA Forest Service – General Technical Report PNW-GTR-844. (21) https://doi.org/10.2737/PNW-GTR-844

Climatic water balance and regional fire years in the Pacific Northwest, USA: Linking regional climate and fire at landscape scales

2011 / Hydrology & Water Resources, Terrestrial Ecosystems

Littell, J.S., Gwozdz, R. 2011. Climatic water balance and regional fire years in the Pacific Northwest, USA: Linking regional climate and fire at landscape scales. Chapter 5, pp. 117-139. In McKenzie, D., C.M. Miller, and D.A. Falk (eds.), The Landscape Ecology of Fire, Ecological Studies 213, Springer, Dordrecht, The Netherlands. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-0301-8_5

Coherent region-, species-, and frequency-dependent local climate signals in Northern Hemisphere tree-ring widths

2011 / Climate: PNW Climate, Terrestrial Ecosystems

Wettstein, J.J., Littell, J.S., Gedalof, Z.M., Wallace, J.M. 2011. Coherent region-, species-, and frequency-dependent local climate signals in Northern Hemisphere tree-ring widths. Journal of Climate 24, 5998-6012. https://doi.org/10.1175/2011JCLI3822.1

Daily time step refinement of optimized flood control rule curves for a global warming scenario

2011 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Hydrology & Water Resources

Lee, S-Y., Hamlet, A.F., Fitzgerald, C.J., Burges, S.J. 2011. Daily time step refinement of optimized flood control rule curves for a global warming scenario. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management137(4):309-317. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943-5452.0000125

ENSO anomalies over the Western United States: Present and future patterns in regional climate simulations

2011 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Climate: PNW Climate

Zhang, Y., Qian, Y., Dulire, V., Salathé, E.P., Leung, L.R. 2011. ENSO anomalies over the Western United States: Present and future patterns in regional climate simulations. Climatic Change 110:315-346. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0088-7

Extreme precipitations and temperatures over the U.S. Pacific Northwest: A comparison between observations, reanalysis data and regional models

2011 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Climate: PNW Climate

Dulire, V., Zhang, Y., Salathé, E.P. 2011. Extreme precipitations and temperatures over the U.S. Pacific Northwest: A comparison between observations, reanalysis data and regional models. Journal of Climate 24(7): 1950-1964. https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3224.1

Flow regime, temperature and biotic interactions determine winners and losers among trout species under climate change

2011 / Freshwater Ecosystems, Hydrology & Water Resources

Wenger, S.J., Isaak, D.J., Luce, C.H., Neville, H.M., Fausch, K.D., Dunham, J.B., Dauwalter, D.C., Young, M.K., Elsner, M.M., Rieman, B.E., Hamlet, A.F., Williams, J.E. 2011. Flow regime, temperature and biotic interactions determine winners and losers among trout species under climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 108 (34): 14175-14180. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1103097108

Impacts of climate variability and climate change on transportation systems and infrastructure in the Pacific Northwest

2011 / Built Environment, Climate: PNW Climate

Hamlet, A.F. 2011. Impacts of climate variability and climate change on transportation systems and infrastructure in the Pacific Northwest. A White Paper prepared for the Western Federal Lands-Highway Division by the Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle. https://doi.org/10.6069/3xyrnyy7

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