Publications

Interactions between climate and population density in the episodic recruitment of bocaccio, Sebastes paucispinis, a Pacific rockfish

2011 / Climate: PNW Climate, Coastal & Marine Ecosystems

Zabel, R.W., Levin, P.S., Tolimieri, N., Mantua, N.J. 2011. Interactions between climate and population density in the episodic recruitment of bocaccio, Sebastes paucispinis, a Pacific rockfish. Fisheries Oceanography 20(4): 294-304. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2419.2011.00584.x

Managing uncertainty in climate-driven ecological models to inform adaptation to climate change

2011 / Adaptation, Terrestrial Ecosystems

Littell, J.S., McKenzie, D., Kerns, B.K., Cushman, S.C., Shaw, C.G. 2011. Managing uncertainty in climate-driven ecological models to inform adaptation to climate change. Ecosphere 2(9): article 102. https://doi.org/10.1890/ES11-00114.1

Methodology for developing flood rule curves conditioned on El Niño-Southern Oscillation classification

2011 / Climate: PNW Climate, Hydrology & Water Resources

Lee, S-Y., Hamlet, A.F., Fitzgerald, C.J., Burges, S.J. 2011. Methodology for developing flood rule curves conditioned on El Niño-Southern Oscillation classification. Journal of the American Water Resources Association 47(1): 81-92. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1752-1688.2010.00490.x

Multiscale influence of climate on estuarine populations of forage fish: The role of coastal upwelling, freshwater flow and temperature

2011 / Climate: PNW Climate, Coastal & Marine Ecosystems

Reum, J.C.P., Essington, T.E., Green, C.M., Rice, C.A., Fresh, K.L. 2011. Multiscale influence of climate on estuarine populations of forage fish: The role of coastal upwelling, freshwater flow and temperature. Marine Ecology Progress Series 425: 203-215. https://doi.org/10.3354/meps08997

Past trends and future scenarios for environmental conditions favoring the accumulation of paralytic shellfish toxins in Puget Sound shellfish

2011 / Climate: PNW Climate, Coastal & Marine Ecosystems

Moore, S.K., Mantua, N.J., Salathé, E.P. 2011. Past trends and future scenarios for environmental conditions favoring the accumulation of paralytic shellfish toxins in Puget Sound shellfish. Harmful Algae 10:521-529. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.hal.2011.04.004

Potential climate change impacts on thermal habitats of Pacific salmon in the North Pacific Ocean and adjacent seas

2011 / Climate: PNW Climate, Coastal & Marine Ecosystems

Aziz, O, Mantua, N.J., Myers, K.W. 2011. Potential climate change impacts on thermal habitats of Pacific salmon in the North Pacific Ocean and adjacent seas. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, 68: 1660-1680.

Projected climate change over Southeast Asia simulated using a WRF regional climate model

2011 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling

Chotamonsak, C., Salathé, E.P., Kreasuwan, J., Chantara, S., Siriwitayakorn, K. 2011. Projected climate change over Southeast Asia simulated using a WRF regional climate model. Atmospheric Science Letters 12(2):213-219. https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.313

Regional Climate and Hydrologic Change in the Northern U.S. Rockies and Pacific Northwest: Internally Consistent Projections of Future Climate for Resource Management

2011 / Climate: PNW Climate, Hydrology & Water Resources

Littell, J.S., Elsner, M.M., Mauger, G.S., Lutz, E.R., Hamlet, A.F., Salathé, E.P. 2011. Regional Climate and Hydrologic Change in the Northern U.S. Rockies and Pacific Northwest: Internally Consistent Projections of Future Climate for Resource Management. Project report for USFS JVA 09-JV-11015600-039. Prepared by the Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle. April, 2011. https://doi.org/10.6069/h6o7fijr

Skagit River Basin Climate Science Report

2011 / Climate: PNW Climate, Hydrology & Water Resources

Lee, S-Y., Hamlet, A.F. 2011. Skagit River Basin Climate Science Report. A summary report prepared for Skagit County and the Envision Skagit Project by the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering and the Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle. September, 2011.

Temporal and spatial variability in warm season nocturnal air temperatures in two north Idaho mountain ranges

2011 / Climate: PNW Climate

Holden, Z., Cushman, S.A., Crimmins, M.C., Littell, J.S. 2011. Temporal and spatial variability in warm season nocturnal air temperatures in two north Idaho mountain ranges. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 151: 261-269.

The Landscape Ecology of Fire

2011 / Terrestrial Ecosystems

McKenzie, D., Miller, C., Falk, D.A. 2011. The Landscape Ecology of Fire. Ecological Studies Series, vol. 213. London: Springer Publishing Services. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-0301-8

The unusual nature of recent snowpack declines in the North American Cordillera

2011 / Climate: PNW Climate, Hydrology & Water Resources

Pederson, G.T., Gray, S.T., Woodhouse, C.A., Betancourt, J., Fagre, D., Littell, J.S., Watson, E., Luckman, B.H., Graumlich, L.J. 2011. The unusual nature of recent snowpack declines in the North American Cordillera. Science 333(6040):332-335. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1201570

Tree growth and climate in the Pacific Northwest: an analysis of changing growth environments

2011 / Terrestrial Ecosystems, Theses & Dissertations

Albright, W. 2011. Tree growth and climate in the Pacific Northwest : An analysis of changing growth environments. M.S. thesis, University of Washington, Seattle.

Application of partial least squares regression to the diagnosis of year-to-year variations in Pacific Northwest snowpack and Atlantic hurricanes

2010 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Climate: PNW Climate, Hydrology & Water Resources

Smoliak, B.V., Wallace, J.M., Stoelinga, M.T., Mitchell, T.P. 2010. Application of partial least squares regression to the diagnosis of year-to-year variations in Pacific Northwest snowpack and Atlantic hurricanes. Geophysical Research Letters 37, L03801. https://doi.org/10.1029/2009GL041478

Assessing Pacific Northwest water resources stakeholder data needs

2010 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Hydrology & Water Resources

Lee, C., Whitely Binder, L.C. 2010. Assessing Pacific Northwest water resources stakeholder data needs. Chapter 2 in Final Report for the Columbia Basin Climate Change Scenarios Project, Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle. https://doi.org/10.6069/v06cn18j

Assessing regional impacts and adaptation strategies for climate change: The Washington Climate Change Impacts Assessment

2010 / Climate: PNW Climate, Hydrology & Water Resources

Miles, E.L., Elsner, M.M., Littell, J.S., Whitely Binder, L.C., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2010. Assessing regional impacts and adaptation strategies for climate change: The Washington Climate Change Impacts Assessment. Climatic Change 102(1-2): 9-27. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-010-9853-2

Assessing water resources adaptive capacity to climate change impacts in the Pacific Northwest region of North America

2010 / Adaptation, Climate: PNW Climate, Hydrology & Water Resources

Hamlet, A.F. 2010. Assessing water resources adaptive capacity to climate change impacts in the Pacific Northwest region of North America. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 7(4): 4437-4471. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-15-1427-2011

Assessment of climate change impact on eastern Washington agriculture

2010 / Agriculture, Climate: PNW Climate

Stöckle, C., Nelson, R.L., Higgins, S., Brunner, J., Grove, G., Boydston, R., Whiting, M., Kruger, C. 2010. Assessment of climate change impact on eastern Washington agriculture. Climatic Change 102(1-2): 77-102. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-010-9851-4

Climate change impacts on streamflow extremes and summertime stream temperature and their possible consequences for freshwater salmon habitat in Washington State.

2010 / Freshwater Ecosystems, Hydrology & Water Resources

Mantua, N.J., Tohver, I., Hamlet, A.F. 2010. Climate change impacts on streamflow extremes and summertime stream temperature and their possible consequences for freshwater salmon habitat in Washington State. Climatic Change 102(1-2): 187-223. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-010-9845-2

Climate change impacts on water management and irrigated agriculture in the Yakima River basin, Washington, USA

2010 / Climate: PNW Climate, Hydrology & Water Resources

Vano, J.A., Scott, M., Voisin, N., Stöckle, C., Hamlet, A.F., Mickelson, K.E.B., Elsner, M.M., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2010. Climate change impacts on water management and irrigated agriculture in the Yakima River basin, Washington, USA. Climatic Change 102(1-2): 287-317. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-010-9856-z

Climate change impacts on water management in the Puget Sound region, Washington, USA

2010 / Agriculture, Climate: PNW Climate, Hydrology & Water Resources

Vano, J.A., Voisin, N., Cuo, L., Hamlet, A.F., Elsner, M.M., Palmer, R.N., Polebitski, A., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2010. Climate change impacts on water management in the Puget Sound region, Washington, USA. Climatic Change 102(1-2): 261-286. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-010-9846-1

Data products test procedures

2010 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling

Elsner, M.M., Mauger, G.S., Tohver, I., Lee, S-Y., Hamlet, A.F. 2010. Chapter 9 in Final Report for the Columbia Basin Climate Change Scenarios Project, Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle. https://doi.org/10.6069/5212gli3

Effects of projected climate change on energy supply and demand in the Pacific Northwest and Washington State

2010 / Climate: PNW Climate, Energy

Hamlet, A.F., Lee, S-Y., Mickelson, K.E.B., Elsner, M.M. 2010. Effects of projected climate change on energy supply and demand in the Pacific Northwest and Washington State. Climatic Change 102(1-2): 103-128. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-010-9857-y

Fine scale hydrologic model implementation and fine-scale/macro-scale model inter-comparison study

2010 / Climate: PNW Climate, Hydrology & Water Resources

Carrasco, P., Hamlet, A.F. 2010. Fine scale hydrologic model implementation and fine-scale/macro-scale model inter-comparison study. Chapter 6 in Final Report for the Columbia Basin Climate Change Scenarios Project, Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle. https://doi.org/10.6069/6g7bn1ec

Forest ecosystems, disturbance, and climatic change in Washington State, USA

2010 / Climate: PNW Climate, Terrestrial Ecosystems

Littell, J.S., Oneil, E.E., McKenzie, D., Hicke, J.A., Lutz, J.A., Norheim, R.A., Elsner, M.M. 2010. Forest ecosystems, disturbance, and climatic change in Washington State, USA. Climatic Change 102(1-2): 129-158. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-010-9858-x

Future climate in the Pacific Northwest

2010 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Climate: PNW Climate

Mote, P.W., Salathé, E.P. 2010. Future climate in the Pacific Northwest. Climatic Change 102(1-2): 29-50. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-010-9848-z

Historical meteorological driving data set

2010 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Climate: PNW Climate

Deems, J., Hamlet, A.F. 2010. Historical meteorological driving data set. Chapter 3 in Final Report for the Columbia Basin Climate Change Scenarios Project, Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle. https://doi.org/10.6069/aypzmy3s

Impacts of 21st century climate change on hydrologic extremes in the Pacific Northwest region of North America

2010 / Climate: PNW Climate, Hydrology & Water Resources

Tohver, I., Hamlet, A.F. 2010. Chapter 7 in Final Report for the Columbia Basin Climate Change Scenarios Project, Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle. https://doi.org/10.1111/jawr.12199

Implications of 21st century climate change for the hydrology of Washington State

2010 / Climate: PNW Climate, Hydrology & Water Resources

Elsner, M.M., Cuo, L., Voisin, N., Deems, J., Hamlet, A.F., Vano, J.A., Mickelson, K.E.B., Lee, S-Y., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2010. Implications of 21st century climate change for the hydrology of Washington State. Climatic Change 102(1-2): 225-260. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-010-9855-0

Introduction and project overview

2010 / Climate: PNW Climate

Hamlet, A.F. 2010. Introduction and project overview. Chapter 1 in Final Report for the Columbia Basin Climate Change Scenarios Project, Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle. https://doi.org/10.6069/yk2az463

Macro-scale hydrologic model implementation

2010 / Climate: PNW Climate, Hydrology & Water Resources

Elsner, M.M., Hamlet, A.F. 2010. Macro-scale hydrologic model implementation. Chapter 5 in Final Report for the Columbia Basin Climate Change Scenarios Project, Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle. https://doi.org/10.6069/0iedys59

Macroscale hydrologic modeling of ecologically relevant flow metrics

2010 / Hydrology & Water Resources

Wenger, S.J., Luce, C.H., Hamlet, A.F., Isaak, D.J., Neville, H.M. 2010. Macroscale hydrologic modeling of ecologically relevant flow metrics. Water Resources Research, 46, W09513. https://doi.org/10.1029/2009WR008839

Mandates vs. markets: Addressing over-allocation of Pacific Northwest river basins

2010 / Hydrology & Water Resources

Slaughter, R., Hamlet, A.F., Huppert, D.D., Hamilton, J., Mote, P.W. 2010. Mandates vs. markets: Addressing over-allocation of Pacific Northwest river basins. Water Policy 12 (2010) 305-317. https://doi.org/10.2166/wp.2009.152

Overview of website design and implementation

2010 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling

Kamstra, T., Hamlet, A.F. 2010. Chapter 9 in Final Report for the Columbia Basin Climate Change Scenarios Project, Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle. https://doi.org/10.6069/zum5fmij

Precipitation extremes and the impacts of climate change on stormwater infrastructure in Washington State

2010 / Built Environment, Climate: PNW Climate, Hydrology & Water Resources

Rosenberg, E.A., Keys, P.W., Booth, D.B., Hartley, D., Burkey, J., Steinemann, A.C., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2010. Precipitation extremes and the impacts of climate change on stormwater infrastructure in Washington State. Precipitation extremes and the impacts of climate change on stormwater infrastructure in Washington State. Climatic Change 102(1-2): 319-349. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-010-9847-0

Preparing for climate change in Washington State

2010 / Adaptation, Climate: PNW Climate, Decision Support

Whitely Binder, L.C., Krencicki Barcelos, J., Booth, D.B., Darzen, M., Elsner, M.M., Fenske, R.A., Graham, T.F., Hamlet, A.F., Hodges-Howell, J., Jackson, J.E., Karr, C., Keys, P.W., Littell, J.S., Mantua, N.J., Marlow, J., McKenzie, D., Robinson-Dorn, M., Rosenberg, E.A., Stöckle, C., Vano, J.A.. 2010. Preparing for climate change in Washington State. Climatic Change 102(1-2): 351-376, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-010-9850-5

Public health impacts of climate change in Washington State: projected mortality risks due to heat events and air pollution

2010 / Climate: PNW Climate, Human Health

Jackson, J.E., Yost, M.G., Karr, C., Fitzpatrick, C., Lamb, B., Chung, S.H., Chen, J., Avise, J., Rosenblatt, R.A., Fenske, R.A. 2010. Public health impacts of climate change in Washington State: projected mortality risks due to heat events and air pollution. Climatic Change 102(1-2): 159-186. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-010-9852-3

Quantifying hypoxia impacts on an estuarine demersal community using a hierarchical ensemble approach

2010 / Coastal & Marine Ecosystems

Essington, T.E., Paulsen, C.E. 2010. Quantifying hypoxia impacts on an estuarine demersal community using a hierarchical ensemble approach. Ecosystems 13(7): 1035-1048. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10021-010-9372-z

Re-allocating water in the Pacific Northwest

2010 / Hydrology & Water Resources

Slaughter, R. 2010. Re-allocating water in the Pacific Northwest. In The Water Report 77:16-25.

Regional climate model projections for the State of Washington

2010 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Climate: PNW Climate

Salathé, E.P., Leung, L.R., Qian, Y., Zhang, Y. 2010. Regional climate model projections for the State of Washington. Climatic Change 102(1-2): 51-75. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-010-9849-y

Regional interdecadal variability in bias-corrected ocean temperature data

2010 / Climate: PNW Climate, Coastal & Marine Ecosystems

Carson, M., Harrison, D.E. 2010. Journal of Climate23:2847-2855. https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3121.1

Response of Colorado River runoff to dust radiative forcing in snow

2010 / Hydrology & Water Resources

Painter, T.H., Deems, J., Belnap, J., Hamlet, A.F., Landry, C.C., Udall, B. 2010. Response of Colorado River runoff to dust radiative forcing in snow. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 107(40): 17125-17130. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0913139107

Seattle City Light Climate Change Analysis

2010 / Built Environment, Climate: Dynamics & Modeling

Snover, A. K., A. F. Hamlet, S.‐Y. Lee, N. J. Mantua, E. P. Salathé, Jr, R. Steed, I. Tohver. 2010. “Seattle City Light Climate Change Analysis: Climate change impacts on regional climate, climate extremes, streamflow, water temperature, and hydrologic extremes.” Prepared for The City of Seattle, Seattle City Light by The Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington. June.

Statistical downscaling techniques for global climate model simulations of temperature and precipitation with application to water resources planning studies

2010 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Climate: PNW Climate, Hydrology & Water Resources

Hamlet, A.F., Salathé, E.P., Carrasco, P. 2010. Statistical downscaling techniques for global climate model simulations of temperature and precipitation with application to water resources planning studies. Chapter 4 in Final Report for the Columbia Basin Climate Change Scenarios Project, Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle. https://doi.org/10.6069/bjoayxkb

Streamflow locations, sources of natural streamflow data, and key hydrologic products

2010 / Climate: PNW Climate, Hydrology & Water Resources

Hamlet, A.F., Mauger, G.S., Lee, S-Y. 2010. Chapter 8 in Final Report for the Columbia Basin Climate Change Scenarios Project, Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle. https://doi.org/10.6069/7omfpzgd

The effects of climatic change and wildland fires on air quality in national parks and wilderness areas

2010 / Climate: PNW Climate, Human Health, Terrestrial Ecosystems

McKenzie, D. 2010. The effects of climatic change and wildland fires on air quality in national parks and wilderness areas. Fire Management Today 70:26-28.

The El Niño-Southern Oscillation Phenomenon

2010 / Climate: Dynamics & Modeling, Climate: PNW Climate

Sarachik, E.S., Cane, M.A. 2010. The El Niño-Southern Oscillation Phenomenon. Cambridge, United Kingdom: Cambridge University Press.

The relative influences of El Niño Southern Oscillation and Pacific Decadal Oscillation on paralytic shellfish toxin accumulation in Pacific Northwest shellfish

2010 / Climate: PNW Climate, Coastal & Marine Ecosystems, Human Health

Moore, S.K., Mantua, N.J., Hickey, B.M., Trainer, V.L. 2010. The relative influences of El Niño Southern Oscillation and Pacific Decadal Oscillation on paralytic shellfish toxin accumulation in Pacific Northwest shellfish. Limnology and Oceanography 55: 2262-2274. https://doi.org/10.4319/lo.2010.55.6.2262

The tools needed to provide information for adaptation to future climate conditions

2010 / Adaptation

Sarachik, E.S. 2010. The tools needed to provide information for adaptation to future climate conditions. Prepared for the 2nd International Conference: Climate, Sustainability and Development in Semi-arid Regions, August 16 – 20, 2010, Fortaleza – Cear’a, Brazil.

Using a stochastic model and cross-scale analysis to evaluate controls on historical low-severity fire regimes

2010 / Terrestrial Ecosystems

Kennedy, M.C., McKenzie, D. 2010. Using a stochastic model and cross-scale analysis to evaluate controls on historical low-severity fire regimes. Landscape Ecology 25(10):1561-1573. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10980-010-9527-5

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