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124 publications listed under Coastal and Marine Ecosystems

Adapting to Change: Climate Impacts and Innovation in Puget Sound

The Nature Conservancy and the Climate Impacts Group. 2016. Adapting to Change: Climate Impacts and Innovation in Puget Sound. Edited by J. Morse, J. Israel, L. Whitely Binder, G. Mauger, and A.K. Snover. The Nature Conservancy, Seattle, WA. 24 pp.

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Stillaguamish Tribe Natural Resources Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment

Krosby, M., Morgan, H. Case, M., Whitely Binder, L. 2016. Stillaguamish Tribe Natural Resources Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington.

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Climate change and marine vertebrates

Sydeman, W.J., E. Poloczanska, T.E. Reed, and S.A. Thompson. 2015. Climate change and marine vertebrates. Science 13 (350, no. 6262): 772-777, doi: 10.1126/science.aac9874

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Present-day and future climate pathways affecting Alexandrium blooms in Puget Sound, WA, USA

Moore, S.K., J.A. Johnstone, N.S. Banas, and E.P. Salathé Jr. 2015. Present-day and future climate pathways affecting Alexandrium blooms in Puget Sound, WA, USA. Harmful Algae 48: 1–11, doi:10.1016/j.hal.2015.06.008

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Climate change and wind intensification in coastal upwelling ecosystems

Syndeman, W.J., García-Reyes, M., Schoelam, D.S., Rykaczewski, R.R., Thompson, S.A., Black, B.A., Bograd, S.J. 2014. Climate change and wind intensification in coastal upwelling ecosystems. Science 4 July 2014: 345 (6192), 77-80. DOI:10.1126/science.1251635

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Coasts: Complex changes affecting the Northwest’s diverse shorelines

Reeder, W.S., Ruggiero, P., Shafer, S.L., Snover, A.K., Houston, L.L., Glick, P., Newton, J.A., Capalbo, S.M. 2013. Coasts: Complex changes affecting the Northwest’s diverse shorelines. Chapter 4, pp 67-109. In M.M. Dalton, P.W. Mote, and A.K. Snover (eds.) Climate Change in the Northwest: Implications for Our Landscapes, Waters, and Communities, Washington D.C.: Island Press.

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Incorporating climate science in applications of the U.S. Endangered Species Act for aquatic species

McClure, M., Alexander, M.A., Borggaard, D., Boughton, D., Crozier, L.G., Griffis, R., Jorgensen, J.C., Lindley, S.T., Nye, J., Rowland, M.J., Seney, E.E., Snover, A.K., Toole, C., van Houtan, K. 2013. Incorporating climate science in applications of the U.S. Endangered Species Act for aquatic species. Conservation Biology 27(6): 1222-1233, doi: 10.1111/cobi.12166.

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Introduction

Antrim, L., Miller, I., Whitely Binder, L.C., Tohver, I.  2013. Introduction. Chapter 1, pp.1-10. In Miller, I.M., Shishido, C., Antrim, L, and Bowlby, C.E. (eds.), Climate Change and the Olympic Coast National Marine Sanctuary: Interpreting Potential Futures. Marine Sanctuaries Conservation Series ONMS-13-01. U.S. Department of Commerce, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Office of National Marine Sanctuaries, Silver Spring, MD. 238 pp.

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Key considerations for moving forward with adaptation in OCNMS

Whitely Binder, L.C., Shishido, C., Snover, A.K.  2013. Key considerations for moving forward with adaptation in OCNMS. Chapter 5, pp.153-168. In Miller, I.M., Shishido, C., Antrim, L, and Bowlby, C.E. (eds.), Climate Change and the Olympic Coast National Marine Sanctuary: Interpreting Potential Futures. Marine Sanctuaries Conservation Series ONMS-13-01. U.S. Department of Commerce, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Office of National Marine Sanctuaries, Silver Spring, MD. 238 pp.

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Effects of Projected Twenty-First Century Sea Level Rise, Storm Surge, and River Flooding on Water Levels in Puget Sound Floodplains and Estuaries

Hamman, J.J.  2012. Master's Thesis, University of Washington.

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Ocean Acidification: From Knowledge to Action, Washington State’s Strategic Response

Whitely Binder, L.C., Washington State Blue Ribbon Panel on Ocean Acidification. 2012. Ocean Acidification: From Knowledge to Action, Washington State’s Strategic Response. H. Adelsman and L. Whitely Binder (eds). Washington Department of Ecology, Olympia, Washington. Publication no. 12-01-015.

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Potential trophodynamic and environmental drivers of steelhead (Oncorhynchus mykiss) productivity in the North Pacific Ocean

Atcheson, M.E., Myers, K.W., Davis, N.D., Mantua, N.J.  2012. Potential trophodynamic and environmental drivers of steelhead (Oncorhynchus mykiss) productivity in the North Pacific Ocean. Fisheries Oceanography 21(5):321-335, doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2419.2012.00627.x.

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The salmon MALBEC project: A North Pacific-scale study to support salmon conservation planning

Mantua, N.J., Taylor, N.G., Ruggerone, G.T., Myers, K.W., Preikshot, D., Augerot, X., Davis, N.D., Dorner, B., Hilborn, R., Peterman, R.M., Rand, P., Schindler, D., Stanford, J., Walker, R.V., Walters, C.J. The salmon MALBEC project: A North Pacific-scale study to support salmon conservation planning. 2012. To appear in Proceedings of the NPAFC BASIS Symposium.

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Interactions between climate and population density in the episodic recruitment of bocaccio, Sebastes paucispinis, a Pacific rockfish

Zabel, R.W., Levin, P.S., Tolimieri, N., Mantua, N.J.  2011. Interactions between climate and population density in the episodic recruitment of bocaccio, Sebastes paucispinis, a Pacific rockfish. Fisheries Oceanography 20(4): 294-304, doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2419.2011.00584.x.

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Multiscale influence of climate on estuarine populations of forage fish: The role of coastal upwelling, freshwater flow and temperature

Reum, J.C.P., Essington, T.E., Green, C.M., Rice, C.A., Fresh, K.L. 2011. Multiscale influence of climate on estuarine populations of forage fish: The role of coastal upwelling, freshwater flow and temperature. Marine Ecology Progress Series 425: 203-215, doi:10.3354/meps08997.

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Past trends and future scenarios for environmental conditions favoring the accumulation of paralytic shellfish toxins in Puget Sound shellfish

Moore, S.K., Mantua, N.J., Salathé, E.P.  2011. Past trends and future scenarios for environmental conditions favoring the accumulation of paralytic shellfish toxins in Puget Sound shellfish. Harmful Algae 10:521-529, doi:10.1016/j.hal.2011.04.004.

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Potential climate change impacts on thermal habitats of Pacific salmon in the North Pacific Ocean and adjacent seas

Aziz, O,, Mantua, N.J., Myers, K.W.  2011. Potential climate change impacts on thermal habitats of Pacific salmon in the North Pacific Ocean and adjacent seas. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, 68: 1660-1680.

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Quantifying hypoxia impacts on an estuarine demersal community using a hierarchical ensemble approach

Essington, T.E., Paulsen, C.E.  2010. Quantifying hypoxia impacts on an estuarine demersal community using a hierarchical ensemble approach. Ecosystems 13(7): 1035-1048, doi: 10.1007/s10021-010-9372-z.

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Regional interdecadal variability in bias-corrected ocean temperature data

Carson, M., Harrison, D.E.  2010. Journal of Climate23:2847-2855, doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI3121.1.

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The relative influences of El Niño Southern Oscillation and Pacific Decadal Oscillation on paralytic shellfish toxin accumulation in Pacific Northwest shellfish

Moore, S.K., Mantua, N.J., Hickey, B.M., Trainer, V.L. 2010. The relative influences of El Niño Southern Oscillation and Pacific Decadal Oscillation on paralytic shellfish toxin accumulation in Pacific Northwest shellfish. Limnology and Oceanography 55: 2262-2274, doi:10.4319/lo.2010.55.6.2262.

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Defining spring transition: Regional indices for the California Current

Holt, C., Mantua, N.J.  2009. Defining spring transition: Regional indices for the California Current. Marine Ecology Progress Series 393: 285-299, doi:10.3354/meps08147.

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Effects of a century of land cover and climate change on the hydrology of Puget Sound basin

Cuo, L., Lettenmaier, D.P., Alberti, M., Richey, J.E. 2009. Effects of a century of land cover and climate change on the hydrology of Puget Sound basin. Hydrological Processes 23: 907-933.

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Effects of surface forcing on the seasonal cycle of the eastern equatorial Pacific

Harrison, D.E., Chiodi, A.M., Vecchi, G. 2009. Effects of surface forcing on the seasonal cycle of the eastern equatorial Pacific. Journal of Marine Research 67(6):701-729

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Impacts of climate change on the coasts of Washington State

Huppert, D.D., Moore, A., Dyson, K.  2009. Chapter 8 in The Washington Climate Change Impacts Assessment: Evaluating Washington's Future in a Changing Climate, Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington.

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Land waters and sea level

Lettenmaier, D.P., Milly, P.C.D.  2009. Land waters and sea level. Nature Geoscience 2: 452-454, doi:10.1038/ngeo567.

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On the increasing vulnerability of the world ocean to multiple stresses

Miles, E.L.  2009. On the increasing vulnerability of the world ocean to multiple stresses. Annual Review of Environment and Resources 34: 17-41, doi:10.1146/annurev.environ.33.041707.110117.

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Patterns of change in climate and Pacific salmon production

Mantua, N.J.  2009. Patterns of change in climate and Pacific salmon production. Pages 1143 – 1157 in C.C. Krueger and C.E. Zimmerman (eds.), Pacific Salmon: Ecology and Management of Western Alaska’s Populations, American Fisheries Society, Symposium 70, Bethesda, Maryland.

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Pre- and post-1997/1998 westerly wind events and Equatorial Pacific cold tongue warming

Harrison, D.E., Chiodi, A.M. 2009. Pre- and post-1997/1998 westerly wind events and Equatorial Pacific cold tongue warming. Journal of Climate 22: 568-581, doi: 10.1175/2008JCLI2270.1.

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Preparing for climate change impacts to state-owned aquatic lands: A climate change adaptation strategy for the Washington Department of Natural Resources Aquatic Resources Program

Fredrickson, A.L. 2009. Preparing for climate change impacts to state-owned aquatic lands: A climate change adaptation strategy for the Washington Department of Natural Resources Aquatic Resources Program. M.M.A. thesis, School of Marine Affairs, University of Washington, Seattle.

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A descriptive analysis of temporal and spatial patterns of variability in Puget Sound oceanographic properties

Moore, S.K., Mantua, N.J., Newton, J.A., Kawase, M., Warner, M.J., Kellogg, J.P. 2008. A descriptive analysis of temporal and spatial patterns of variability in Puget Sound oceanographic properties. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science doi:10.1016/j.ecss.2008.09.016.

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Adapting decision making to uncertainty when addressing sea level rise response in Puget Sound

Petersen, A., Canning, D.J., Leschine, T.M., Miles, E.L. 2008. Adapting decision making to uncertainty when addressing sea level rise response in Puget Sound. Proceedings of the 15th Biennial Coastal Zone Conference, July 22-26, 2007, Portland, Oregon. Charleston, SC: NOAA Coastal Services Center.

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Characterizing the interannual variability of the equatorial Pacific: An OLR perspective

Harrison, D.E., Chiodi, A.M. 2008. Characterizing the interannual variability of the equatorial Pacific: An OLR perspective. NOAA Tech. Memo. OAR PMEL-140. Seattle, WA, 30pp.

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Climate change, ecosystem impacts, and management for Pacific Salmon

Schindler, D., Augerot, X., Fleishman, E., Mantua, N.J., Riddell, B., Ruckelshaus, M.H., Seeb, J., Webster, M. 2008. Climate change, ecosystem impacts, and management for Pacific Salmon. Fisheries 33(10):502-506.

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Impacts of climate variability and future climate change on harmful algal blooms and human health

Moore, S.K., Trainer, V.L., Mantua, N.J., Parker, D., Laws, E.A., Backer, L.C., Fleming, L.E. 2008. Impacts of climate variability and future climate change on harmful algal blooms and human health. Environmental Health 7(Suppl 2): S4, doi:10.1186/1476-069X-7-S2-S4.

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Is the upper ocean warming? Comparisons of 50-year trends from different analyses

Carson, M., Harrison, D.E.  2008. Is the upper ocean warming? Comparisons of 50-year trends from different analyses. Journal of Climate 21:2259-2268, doi: 10.1175/2007JCLI2002.1.

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Local and large-scale climate forcing of Puget Sound oceanographic properties on seasonal to interdecadal timescales

Moore, S.K., Mantua, N.J., Kellogg, J.P., Newton, J.A. 2008. Local and large-scale climate forcing of Puget Sound oceanographic properties on seasonal to interdecadal timescales. Limnology and Oceanography 53(5): 1746-1758.

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Recent trends in paralytic shellfish toxins in Puget Sound, relationships to climate, and capacity for prediction of toxic events

Moore, S.K., Mantua, N.J., Hickey, B.M., Trainer, V.L. Recent trends in paralytic shellfish toxins in Puget Sound, relationships to climate, and capacity for prediction of toxic events.  2008. Harmful Algae, doi:10.1016/j.hal.2008.10.003.

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Sea Level Rise in the Coastal Waters of Washington State

Mote, P.W., Petersen, A., Reeder, S., Shipman, H., Whitely Binder, L.C. 2008. Sea Level Rise in the Coastal Waters of Washington State. Report prepared by the Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Oceans, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington and the Washington Department of Ecology, Lacey, Washington.

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Wild and scenic rivers

Palmer, M.A., Lettenmaier, D.P., Poff, N.L., Postel, S., Richter, B., Warner, R. 2008. Chapter 6 in S.H. Julius, J.M. West (eds.), J.S. Baron, B.Griffith, L.A. Joyce, P. Kareiva, B.D. Keller, M.A. Palmer, C.H. Peterson, and J.M. Scott (Authors), Preliminary Review of Adaptation Options for Climate-Sensitive Ecosystems and Resources. A Report by the U.S. Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC, USA, pp. 6-1 to 6-73.

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Anticipating sea level rise response in Puget Sound

Petersen, A.  2007. Anticipating sea level rise response in Puget Sound. M.M.A. thesis, School of Marine Affairs, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Beached birds and physical forcing in the California Current System

Parrish, J.K., Bond, N., Nevins, H., Mantua, N.J., Loeffel, R., Peterson, W.T., Harvey, J.T. 2007. Beached birds and physical forcing in the California Current System. Marine Ecology Progress Series 352: 275-288. Doi: 10.3354/meps07077

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Is the world ocean warming? Upper-ocean temperature trends: 1950-2000

Harrison, D.E., Carson, M.  2007. Is the world ocean warming? Upper-ocean temperature trends: 1950-2000. Journal of Physical Oceanography 37(2): 174-187.

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Sound Science: Synthesizing Ecological and Socioeconomic Information about the Puget Sound Ecosystem

Ruckelshaus, M.H., McClure, M., Mantua, N.J.  2007. Sound Science: Synthesizing Ecological and Socioeconomic Information about the Puget Sound Ecosystem. Report prepared in cooperation with the Sound Science collaborate team. U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Oceanic and Atmostpheric Administration (NMFS), Northwest Fisheries Science Center, Seattle, Washington.

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The value of short-run climate forecasts in managing the coastal coho salmon (Oncorhynchus kisutch) fishery in Washington State

Kaje, J.H., Huppert, D.D.  2007. The value of short-run climate forecasts in managing the coastal coho salmon (Oncorhynchus kisutch) fishery in Washington State. Natural Resource Modeling 20(2):321-349.

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A decadal chronology of 20th-century changes in Earth’s natural systems

Mantua, N.J.  2006. A decadal chronology of 20th-century changes in Earth’s natural systems. In Costanza, R., L.J. Graumlich, and W. Steffen (eds.), Sustainability or Collapse? An Integrated History and Future of People on Earth. Cambridge, Massachusetts: MIT Press.

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Bottom-up forcing and the decline of Steller sea lions (Eumetopias jubatus) in Alaska: Assessing the ocean climate hypothesis

Trites, A.W., Miller, A.J., Maschner, H.D.G., Alexander, M.A., Bograd, S.J., Calder, J.A., Capotondi, A., Coyle, K.O., Di Lorenzo, E., Finney, B.P., Gregr, E.J., Grosch, C.E., Hare, S.R., Hunt, A., Jahncke, J., Kachel, N.B., Kim, H.J., Ladd, C., Mantua, N.J., Marzban, W., Maslowski, W., Mendelssohn, R., Neilson, D.J., Okkonen, S.R., Overland, J.E., Reedy-Maschner, K.L., Royer, T.C., Schwing, F.B., Wang, J.X.L., Winship, A.J. 2006. Bottom-up forcing and the decline of Steller sea lions <i>(Eumetopias jubatus)</i> in Alaska: Assessing the ocean climate hypothesis. Fisheries Oceanography 16(1): 46-67.

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Considering ecosystem-based fisheries management in the California Current

Field, J.C., Francis, R.C. 2006. Considering ecosystem-based fisheries management in the California Current. Marine Policy 30:552-562.

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Delayed coastal upwelling along the U.S. West Coast during 2005: An historical perspective

Schwing, F.B., Bond, N.A., Bograd, S.J., Mitchell, T.P., Alexander, M.A., Mantua, N.J. 2006. Delayed coastal upwelling along the U.S. West Coast during 2005: An historical perspective. Geophysical Research Letters 33, L22S01, doi:10.1029/2006GL026911.

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Summertime subtropical sea surface temperature variability

Chiodi, A.M., Harrison, D.E. 2006. Summertime subtropical sea surface temperature variability. Geophysical Research Letters 33(8), L08601, doi:10.1029/2005GL024524, 2006.

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The relationship between Pacific hake (Merluccius productus) distribution and poleward subsurface flow in the California Current System

Agostini, V.N., Francis, R.C., Hollowed, A.B., Pierce, S.D., Wilson, C., Hendrix, A.N. 2006. The relationship between Pacific hake (Merluccius productus) distribution and poleward subsurface flow in the California Current System. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 63:2648-2659.

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Top down modeling and bottom up dynamics: Linking a fisheries based ecosystem model with climate hypotheses in the Northern California Current

Field, J.C., Francis, R.C., Aydin, K 2006. Top down modeling and bottom up dynamics: Linking a fisheries based ecosystem model with climate hypotheses in the Northern California Current.  Progress in Oceanography 68(2-4): 238-270, doi:10.1016/j.pocean.2006.02.010.

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“Coasts Breakout Session”

Kay, J.E., Casola, J.H., Snover, A.K. 2005. “Coasts Breakout Session.” Fact sheet prepared for King County (Washington)’s October 27, 2005 climate change conference “The Future Ain’t What It Used to Be: Preparing for Climate Disruption”. Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

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“Fish and Shellfish Breakout Session”

Kay, J.E., Casola, J.H., Snover, A.K. 2005. “Fish and Shellfish Breakout Session.” Fact sheet prepared for King County (Washington)’s October 27, 2005 climate change conference “The Future Ain’t What It Used to Be: Preparing for Climate Disruption”. Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Climate, ecology and productivity of Pacific sardine (Sardinops sagax) and hake (Merlucciusproductus)

Agostini, V.N. 2005. Climate, ecology and productivity of Pacific sardine (Sardinops sagax) and hake (Merlucciusproductus). Ph.D. dissertation, School of Aquatic and Fishery Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Nonlinear dynamics in ecosystem response to climatic change: Case studies and policy implications

Burkett, V.R., Wilcox, D.A., Stottlemyer, R., Barrow, W., Fagre, D., Baron, J.S., Price, J., Nielsen, J.L., Allen, C.D., Peterson, D.L., Ruggerone, G., Doyle, T. 2005. Nonlinear dynamics in ecosystem response to climatic change: Case studies and policy implications. Ecological Complexity 2:357-394.

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Preserving low-frequency climate signals in growth records of geoduck clams (Panopea abrupta)

Strom, A., Francis, R.C., Mantua, N.J., Miles, E.L., Peterson, D.L. 2005. Preserving low-frequency climate signals in growth records of geoduck clams (Panopea abrupta). Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 228(1-2): 167-178.

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The role of daily surface forcing in setting the temperature and mixed layer structure of the Southern Ocean

Kamenkovich, I.V. 2005. The role of daily surface forcing in setting the temperature and mixed layer structure of the Southern Ocean. Journal of Geophysical Research 101, C07006, doi:10.1029/2004JC002610.

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A comparison of the incorporation of climate forecasts and other climate information by coastal managers in the Pacific Northwest between 1996 and 2003

Andersen, M.S., Miles, E.L., Fluharty, D.L. 2004. A comparison of the incorporation of climate forecasts and other climate information by coastal managers in the Pacific Northwest between 1996 and 2003. In Conference Proceedings for The Coastal Society 19th International Conference, Alexandria, Virginia: The Coastal Society.

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Application of ecosystem-based fishery management approaches in the Northern California Current

Field, J.C. 2004. Application of ecosystem-based fishery management approaches in the Northern California Current. Ph.D. dissertation, School of Aquatic and Fishery Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Boundaries of open marine ecosystems: An application to the Pribilof archipelago, southeast Bering Sea

Ciannelli, L., Robson, B.W., Francis, R.C., Aydin, K, Brodeur, R.D. 2004. Boundaries of open marine ecosystems: An application to the Pribilof archipelago, southeast Bering Sea. Ecological Applications 14(3):942-953.

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Detecting regime shifts in the ocean: Data considerations

deYoung, B., Harris, R., Alheit, J., Beaugrand, G., Mantua, N.J., Shannon, L. 2004. Detecting regime shifts in the ocean: Data considerations. Progress in Oceanography 60(2-4):143-164.

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Interannual Indian rainfall variability and Indian Ocean sea surface temperature anomalies

Vecchi, G., Harrison, D.E. 2004. Interannual Indian rainfall variability and Indian Ocean sea surface temperature anomalies. pages 247-260 in C. Wang, S.-P. Xie, and J.A. Carton (eds.) Earth Climate: The Ocean-Atmosphere Interaction, American Geophysical Union, Geophysical Monograph 147, Washington D.C..

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Mechanisms controlling the sensitivity of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation to the parameterization of eddy transports in an ocean GCM

Kamenkovich, I.V., Sarachik, E.S. 2004. Mechanisms controlling the sensitivity of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation to the parameterization of eddy transports in an ocean GCM. Journal of Physical Oceanography 34:1628-1647.

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Methods for detecting regime shifts in large marine ecosystems: A review with approaches applied to North Pacific data

Mantua, N.J. 2004. Methods for detecting regime shifts in large marine ecosystems: A review with approaches applied to North Pacific data. Progress in Oceanography 60(2-4):165-182.

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Natural climate insurance for Pacific Northwest salmon and salmon fisheries: Finding our way through the entangled bank

Mantua, N.J., Francis, R.C. 2004. Natural climate insurance for Pacific Northwest salmon and salmon fisheries: Finding our way through the entangled bank. pp. 127-140, in E.E. Knudsen and D. MacDonald (eds), Fish in our Future? Perspectives on Fisheries Sustainability. A special publication of the American Fisheries Society.

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North Pacific climate recorded in growth rings of geoduck clams: A new tool for paleoenvironmental reconstruction

Strom, A., Francis, R.C., Mantua, N.J., Miles, E.L., Peterson, D.L. 2004. North Pacific climate recorded in growth rings of geoduck clams: A new tool for paleoenvironmental reconstruction. Geophysical Research Letters 31, doi: 10.1029/2004GL019440, 2004.

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On reducing errors in temperature and salinity in an ocean model forced by restoring boundary conditions

Kamenkovich, I.V., Sarachik, E.S. 2004. On reducing errors in temperature and salinity in an ocean model forced by restoring boundary conditions. Journal of Physical Oceanography 34:1856-1869.

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Overview of Climate Change Impacts in the U.S. Pacific Northwest

Climate Impacts Group. 2004. Overview of Climate Change Impacts in the U.S. Pacific Northwest. Background paper prepared for the West Coast Governors’ Climate Change Initiative.

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The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) and northern high latitude wintertime surface air temperatures

Vecchi, G., Bond, N. 2004. The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) and northern high latitude wintertime surface air temperatures. Geophysical Research Letters 31, doi: 10.1029/2003GL018645.

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A web of small tensions

Francis, R.C. 2003. A web of small tensions. Fisheries 28:20-23

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Climate and fisheries in the Pacific Northwest: Historical perspectives from Geoducks and early explorers

Strom, A. 2003. Climate and fisheries in the Pacific Northwest: Historical perspectives from Geoducks and early explorers. M. Sc. Thesis, School of Aquatic and Fisheries Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Decadal variability in the Pacific

Sarachik, E.S., Vimont, D. 2003. Decadal variability in the Pacific. pp. 125-167, In G. Boffetta, G. Lacorata, G. Visconti, and A. Vulpiani (eds). Chaos in Geophysical Flows, OTTO editore, Torino, Italy.

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Feedbacks affecting the response of the thermohaline circulation to increasing CO2. A study with a model of intermediate complexity

Kamenkovich, I.V., Sokolov, A, Stone, P.H. 2003. Feedbacks affecting the response of the thermohaline circulation to increasing CO2. A study with a model of intermediate complexity. Climate Dynamics 21(2):119-130

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Ocean heat uptake in transient climate change: Mechanisms and uncertainty due to isopycnal diffusivity

Huang, B., Stone, P.H., Sokolov, A, Kamenkovich, I.V. 2003. Ocean heat uptake in transient climate change: Mechanisms and uncertainty due to isopycnal diffusivity. Journal of Climate 16:3344-3356.

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Physical forcing and the dynamics of the pelagic ecosystem in the eastern tropical Pacific: simulations with ENSO-scale and global warming climate drivers

Watters, G.M., Olson, R.J., Francis, R.C. 2003. Physical forcing and the dynamics of the pelagic ecosystem in the eastern tropical Pacific: simulations with ENSO-scale and global warming climate drivers. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 60(9):1161-1175

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Seasonal footprinting in the Pacific: Implications for ENSO

Vimont, D., Wallace, J.M., Battisti, D.S. 2003. Seasonal footprinting in the Pacific: Implications for ENSO. Journal of Climate 16:2668-75.

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The deep-ocean heat uptake of transient climate change

Huang, B., Stone, P.H., Sokolov, A, Kamenkovich, I.V. 2003. The deep-ocean heat uptake of transient climate change. Journal of Climate 16:1352-1363.

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The ocean in climate

Sarachik, E.S. 2003. The ocean in climate. pp. 129-133 In T. Potter and B. Colman (eds.), Handbook of Weather, Climate and Water (Vol 2). Hoboken, New Jersey: Wiley-Interscience.

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Tracking environmental processes in the coastal zone for understanding and predicting Oregon coho (Oncorhynchus kisutch) marine survival

Logerwell, E.A., Mantua, N.J., Lawson, P.W., Francis, R.C., Agostini, V.N. Tracking environmental processes in the coastal zone for understanding and predicting Oregon coho <i>(Oncorhynchus kisutch)</i> marine survival. 2003. Fisheries Oceanography 12(6):554-568.

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“Ocean triads” in the Mediterranean Sea: Physical mechanisms potentially structuring reproductive habitat suitability (with example application to European anchovy)

Agostini, V.N., Bakun, A. 2002. “Ocean triads” in the Mediterranean Sea: Physical mechanisms potentially structuring reproductive habitat suitability (with example application to European anchovy). Fisheries Oceanography 11(3):129.

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A multi-century perspective of variability in the Pacific Decadal Oscillation: new insights from tree rings and corals

Gedalof, Z.M., Mantua, N.J., Peterson, D.L. 2002. A multi-century perspective of variability in the Pacific Decadal Oscillation: new insights from tree rings and corals. Geophysical Research Letters 29(24):2204. doi:10.1029/ 2002GL015824.

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An integrated, sustained ocean observing system

Nowlin, W.D., Smith, N., Harrison, D.E., Koblinski, C., Needler, G. 2002. An integrated, sustained ocean observing system. pp. 29-38 In C.J. Koblinsky and N.R. Smith (eds.), Observing Ocean In the 21st Century. Melbourne, Australia: GODAE and Australian Bureau of Meteorology Publishers.

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Central equatorial Pacific zonal currents I: The Sverdrup balance, nonlinearity and tropical instability waves: Annual mean dynamics

Harrison, D.E., Romea, R., Hankin, S. 2002. Central equatorial Pacific zonal currents I: The Sverdrup balance, nonlinearity and tropical instability waves: Annual mean dynamics. Journal of Marine Research 59:895-919.

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Central equatorial Pacific zonal currents II: The seasonal cycle and the boreal surface eastward surge

Harrison, D.E., Romea, R., Vecchi, G. 2002. Central equatorial Pacific zonal currents II: The seasonal cycle and the boreal surface eastward surge. Journal of Marine Research 59:921-948.

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Climate change and fisheries management in the Northern California Current

Field, J.C., Francis, R.C. 2002. Climate change and fisheries management in the Northern California Current. In N. McGinn (ed.), Fisheries in a Changing Climate Symposium 32, pp. 245-262, Bethesda, Maryland: American Fisheries Society.

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Coastal upwelling in a warming future

Mote, P.W., Mantua, N.J. 2002. Coastal upwelling in a warming future. Geophysical Research Letters 29(23), 2138 doi: 10.1029/2002GL016086.

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Global climate change and marine policy: Planning for impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability

Miles, E.L. 2002. In D.M. Johnston and A. Sirivivatnanon (eds.), Ocean Governance and Sustainable Development in the Pacific Region, SEAPOL Inter-Regional Conference, March 21-23, 2001. Bangkok, Thailand: Southeast Asian Progr. On Ocean Law, Policy, and Mangmt.

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Potential impacts of climate variability and change on water quality in south Puget Sound: A management perspective

Engoltz, T. 2002. “Ocean triads” in the Mediterranean Sea: Physical mechanisms potentially structuring reproductive habitat suitability (with example application to European anchovy). MMA thesis, School of Marine Affairs, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Some thoughts on sustainability and marine conservation

Francis, R.C. 2002. Some thoughts on sustainability and marine conservation. Fisheries 27(1): 18-22.

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The Pacific Decadal Oscillation

Mantua, N.J., Hare, S.R. 2002. The Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Journal of Oceanography 58(1):35-44.

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An historical narrative on the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, interdecadal climate variability and ecosystem impacts

Hare, S.R., Mantua, N.J. 2001. An historical narrative on the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, interdecadal climate variability and ecosystem impacts. Report of a talk presented at the 20th NE Pacific Pink and Chum Workshop, Seattle, WA, 22 March 2001.

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Climate sea surface temperature analysis

Reynolds, R.E., Harrison, D.E., Stokes, D. 2001. Climate sea surface temperature analysis. pp. 87-101. In C.J. Koblinski and N.R. Smith (eds.), Observing the Ocean In the 21st Century. Melbourne, Australia: GODAE and Australian Bureau of Meteorology Publishers.

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The effects of vertical mixing on the circulation of the AABW in the Atlantic

Kamenkovich, I.V., Goodman, P.J. 2001. The effects of vertical mixing on the circulation of the AABW in the Atlantic. pp. 217-226 In D. Seidov (ed.), American Geophysical Union Monograph Series.

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The possible effects and management implications of climate variability/change on pinniped-salmonid interactions at low population levels of salmonids

Morimoto, G.E. 2001. The possible effects and management implications of climate variability/change on pinniped-salmonid interactions at low population levels of salmonids. MMA thesis, School of Marine Affairs, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Towards a fisheries ecosystem plan for the Northern California Current

Field, J.C., Francis, R.C., Strom, A. 2001. Towards a fisheries ecosystem plan for the Northern California Current. CalCOFI Report 42: 74-87.

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An interpretation of the results from atmospheric general circulation models forced by the time history of the observed sea surface temperature distribution

Bretherton, C.S., Battisti, D.S. 2000. An interpretation of the results from atmospheric general circulation models forced by the time history of the observed sea surface temperature distribution. Geophysical Research Letters 27:767-770.

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Characterization and Assessment of Economic Systems in the Interior Columbia Basin: Fisheries

Fluharty, D.L. 2000. Characterization and Assessment of Economic Systems in the Interior Columbia Basin: Fisheries. General Technical Report PNW-GTR-451, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Portland, Oregon.

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Coastal hazards management and constraints on policy development: A case study of coastal erosion management in Ocean Shores, Washington.

Hastings, K. 2000. Coastal hazards management and constraints on policy development: A case study of coastal erosion management in Ocean Shores, Washington. M.M.A thesis, School of Marine Affairs, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Empirical evidence for North Pacific regime shifts in 1977 and 1989

Hare, S.R., Mantua, N.J. 2000. Empirical evidence for North Pacific regime shifts in 1977 and 1989. Progress in Oceanography 47(2-4):103-145.

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Global adjustment of the termocline in response to deep water formation

Huang, R.X., Cane, M., Naik, N., Goodman, P.J. 2000. Global adjustment of the termocline in response to deep water formation. Geophysical Research Letters 27(6):759-762.

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