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Adaptive silviculture for climate change: a national experiment in manager-scientist partnerships to apply an adaptation framework

Nagel, L.M., B.J. Palik, M.A. Battaglia, A.W. D’Amato, J.M. Guldin, C.W. Swanston, M.K. Janowiak, M.D. Powers, L.A. Joyce, C.I. Millar, D.L. Peterson, L.M. Ganio, C. Kirschbaum, and M.R. Roske. 2017. Adaptive silviculture for climate change: a national experiment in manager-scientist partnerships to apply an adaptation framework. Journal of Forestry. (115)

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Assessing vulnerabilities and adapting to climate change in Northwestern U.S. forests

Halofsky, J.E., D.L. Peterson, and H. Prendeville. 2017. Assessing vulnerabilities and adapting to climate change in Northwestern U.S. forests. Climatic Change. doi:10.1007/s10584-017-1972-6

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Climate change and the eco-hydrology of fire: will area burned increase in a warming western USA?

McKenzie, D., and J.S. Littell. 2017. Climate change and the eco-hydrology of fire: will area burned increase in a warming western USA? Ecological Applications 27:26-36. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/eap.1420

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Incorporating climate change into culvert design in Washington State, USA

Wilhere, G., Atha, J., Quinn, T., Tohver, I., Helbrecht, L.  2017. Incorporating climate change into culvert design in Washington State, USA. Ecological Engineering (104) 67-79. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoleng.2017.04.009

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Integrating Climate Resilience in Flood Risk Management: A Work plan for the Washington Silver Jackets

Mauger, G.S., Kennard, H.M. (2017). Integrating Climate Resilience in Flood Risk Management: A Work plan for the Washington Silver Jackets. Report prepared for FEMA. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle. doi:10.7915/CIG7MP4WZ

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Persistence of greater sage-grouse in agricultural landscapes

Shirk, A.J., Schroeder, M.A., Robb, L.A., Cushman, S.A. 2017. Persistence of greater sage-grouse in agricultural landscapes. The Journal of Wildlife Management, 81(5): 905-918. DOI: 10.1002/jwmg.21268

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Preliminary Climate Change Assessment for the Puget Sound Partnership

Siemann, D. and L. Whitely Binder. 2017. Preliminary Climate Change Assessment for Puget Sound Partnership. A Collaboration of Puget Sound Partnership and the University of Washington Climate Impacts Group. Seattle, WA.

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Preparing Washington State Parks for Climate Change: A Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment for Washington State Parks

Whitely Binder, L., H. Morgan, and D. Siemann. 2017. Preparing Washington State Parks for Climate Impacts: A Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment for Washington State Parks. A collaboration of the Washington State Parks and Recreation Commission and the University of Washington Climate Impacts Group. Seattle, WA. https://doi.org/10.7915/CIG6B27QV

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Stillaguamish Tribe of Indians Natural Resources Climate Change Adaptation Plan

Whitely Binder, L., H. Morgan, M. Krosby, J. Sevigny, A. Summers, and T. Neuffer. 2017. Stillaguamish Tribe of Indians Natural Resources Climate Change Adaptation Plan. A collaboration of the Stillaguamish Natural Resources Department and the University of Washington Climate Impacts Group. Seattle, WA.

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Vulnerability and adaptation to climate change in the Blue Mountains

Halofsky, J.E. and D.L. Peterson (eds.). 2017. Vulnerability and adaptation to climate change in the Blue Mountains. USDA General Technical Report PNW-GTR-939. Pacific Northwest Research Station, Portland, OR.

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The Winds of Change? Exploring Climate Change-driven Migration and Related Impacts in the Pacific Northwest: Symposium Summary

Whitely Binder, L.C. and J. Jurjevich. 2016. The Winds of Change? Exploring Climate Change-driven Migration and Related Impacts in the Pacific Northwest: Symposium Summary. June 24, 2016, Portland, Oregon: Portland State University Population Research Center (Portland, Oregon) and the University of Washington Climate Impacts Group (Seattle, Washington).

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A review of the relationships between drought and forest fire in the United States

Littell, J.S., D.L. Peterson, K.L. Riley, Y. Liu, and C.H. Luce. 2016. A review of the relationships between drought and forest fire in the United States. Global Change Biology 22:2353-2369. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13275

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Adapting to Change: Climate Impacts and Innovation in Puget Sound

The Nature Conservancy and the Climate Impacts Group. 2016. Adapting to Change: Climate Impacts and Innovation in Puget Sound. Edited by J. Morse, J. Israel, L. Whitely Binder, G. Mauger, and A.K. Snover. The Nature Conservancy, Seattle, WA. 24 pp.

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Area burned in alpine treeline ecotones reflects region-wide trends.

Cansler, C.A., D. McKenzie, and C.B. Halpern. 2016. Area burned in alpine treeline ecotones reflects region-wide trends. International Journal of Wildland Fire 25:1209-1220. https://doi.org/10.1071/WF16025

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Capturing subregional variability in regional-scale climate change vulnerability assessments of natural resources

Buotte, P.C., D.L. Peterson, K.S. McKelvey, and J.A. Hicke. 2016. Capturing subregional variability in regional-scale climate change vulnerability assessments of natural resources. Journal of Environmental Management 169:313-318. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2015.12.017

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Climate change vulnerabilities and adaptation options for forest vegetation management in the northwestern USA

Halofsky, J.E. and D.L. Peterson. 2016. Climate change vulnerabilities and adaptation options for forest vegetation management in the northwestern USA. Atmosphere 7,46. doi:10.3390/atmos7030046.

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Combined Effects of Projected Sea Level Rise, Storm Surge, and Peak River Flows on Water Levels in the Skagit River Floodplain

Hamman, J., Hamlet, A.F., Lee, S.Y., Fuller, R., and Grossman, E.F. 2016. Combined Effects of Projected Sea Level Rise, Storm Surge, and Peak River Flows on Water Levels in the Skagit River Floodplain. Northwest Science 90(1):57-78. http://dx.doi.org/10.3955/046.090.0106

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Developing and implementing climate change adaptation options in forest ecosystems: a case study in southwestern Oregon, USA

Halofsky, J.E., D.L. Peterson, K.L. Metlen, M.G. Myer, and V.A. Sample. 2016. Developing and implementing climate change adaptation options in forest ecosystems: a case study in southwestern Oregon, USA. Forests 7, 268: doi:10.3390/f7110268

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Effects of drought on U.S. Forests and Rangelands: A Comprehensive Science Synthesis | Fire & Drought

Littell, J.S., D.L. Peterson, K.L. Riley, Y. Liu, and C.H. Luce. 2016. Fire and drought. Pages 135-154 in J.M. Vose, J.S. Clark, C.H. Luce, and T. Patel-Weynand (eds.), Effects of drought on U.S. Forests and Rangelands: A Comprehensive Science Synthesis. USDA Forest Service General Technical Report WO-GTR-93b.

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Fire and Drought

Littell, J.S., D.L. Peterson, K.L. Riley, Y.Q. Liu, and C.H. Luce. 2016. Fire and Drought. pages 135-150 in Vose, J.M., J.S. Clark, C.H. Luce, and T. Patel-Weynand. Effects of Drought on Forests and Rangelands in the United States: A Comprehensive Science Synthesis. United States Forest Service General Technical Report Gen. Tech. Report WO-93b.

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Historical Climate Trends for Seattle City Light

Mauger, G.S., Bumbaco, K.A., Norheim, R.A., Won, J.S., Bond, N.A. Observed Climate and Hydrologic Trends for Seattle City Light. Report prepared for Seattle City Light. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle. http://doi.org/10.7915/CIG3ST7FF

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Impacts of Climate Change on Regulated Streamflow, Flood Control, Hydropower Production, and Sediment Discharge in the Skagit River Basin

Lee, S.Y., Hamlet, A.F., and Grossman, E. 2016. Impacts of Climate Change on Regulated Streamflow, Flood Control, Hydropower Production, and Sediment Discharge in the Skagit River Basin. Northwest Science 90(1) 23-43. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.3955/046.090.0104

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Implementing climate change adaptation in forested regions of the western United States

Halofsky, J.E., D.L. Peterson, L.A. Joyce, C.I. Millar, J.M. Rice, and C.W. Swanston. 2016. Implementing climate change adaptation in forested regions of the western United States.  Pages 165-178 in V.A. Sample and R.P. Bixler (eds.), Forest Conservation and Management in the Anthropocene. University Press of Colorado, Boulder.

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Incorporating Climate Change into the Design of Water Crossing Structures

Wilhere, G., Atha, J., Quinn, T., Helbrecht, L., Tohver, I. 2016. Incorporating climate change into the design of water crossing structures. Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife, Habitat Program – Science Division.

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Increased water deficit decreases Douglas-fir growth throughout western US forests

Restaino, C.M., D.L. Peterson, and J.S. Littell. 2016. Increased water deficit decreases Douglas-fir growth throughout western US forests. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA, 113 (34): 9557–9562. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1602384113  

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Projecting wildfire area burned in the southeastern United States, 2011-2060

Prestemon, J.P., U. Shankar, A. Xiu, K. Talgo, D. Yang, E. Dixon IV, D. McKenzie, and K.L. Abt. 2016. Projecting wildfire area burned in the southeastern United States, 2011-2060. International Journal of Wildland Fire 25:715-729. https://doi.org/10.1071/WF15124

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Refined Estimates of Climate Change Affected Hydrology in the Chehalis basin

Mauger, G.S., S.-Y. Lee, C. Bandaragoda, Y. Serra, J.S. Won, 2016. Refined Estimates of Climate Change Affected Hydrology in the Chehalis basin. Report prepared for Anchor QEA, LLC. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle. doi:10.7915/CIG53F4MH

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Stillaguamish Tribe Natural Resources Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment

Krosby, M., Morgan, H. Case, M., Whitely Binder, L. 2016. Stillaguamish Tribe Natural Resources Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington.

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State of Knowledge: Climate Change in Puget Sound

Mauger, G.S., J.H. Casola, H.A. Morgan, R.L. Strauch, B. Jones, B. Curry, T.M. Busch Isaksen, L. Whitely Binder, M.B. Krosby, and A.K. Snover. 2015. State of Knowledge: Climate Change in Puget Sound. Report prepared for the Puget Sound Partnership and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle. doi:10.7915/CIG93777D

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A 350-year reconstruction of the response of south Cascade Glacier to interannual and interdecadal climatic variability

Marcinkowski, K.W. and D.L. Peterson. 2015. A 350-year reconstruction of the response of south Cascade Glacier to interannual and interdecadal climatic variability. Northwest Science 89(1): 14-33.

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Adapting transportation to climate change on federal lands in Washington State, U.S.A.

Strauch, R.L., C. L. Raymond, R.M. Rochefort, A.F. Hamlet, C. Lauver. 2015. Adapting transportation to climate change on federal lands in Washington State, U.S.A. Climatic Change, 130: 185-199. DOI 10.1007/s10584-015-1357-7

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Changes in winter Atmospheric Rivers along the North American West Coast in CMIP5 climate models

Warner, M.D., C.F. Mass, and E.P. Salathé Jr.. 2015. Changes in winter Atmospheric Rivers along the North American West Coast in CMIP5 climate models. J. Hydrometeor, 16, 118–128, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-14-0080.1

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Climate change and marine vertebrates

Sydeman, W.J., E. Poloczanska, T.E. Reed, and S.A. Thompson. 2015. Climate change and marine vertebrates. Science 13 (350, no. 6262): 772-777, doi: 10.1126/science.aac9874

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Climate Change Impacts on Tacoma Power Watersheds

Lee, S-Y., Mauger, G., and L. Whitely Binder. 2015. Climate Change Impacts on Tacoma Power Watersheds. Report prepared for Tacoma Power by the Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Climate change, Migration, and the Puget Sound Region

Saperstein, A. 2015. Climate Change, Migration, and the Puget Sound Region: What We Know and How We Could Learn More. Report prepared for the University of Washington Climate Impacts Group. The Daniel J. Evans School of Public Policy and Governance, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Climate-induced range overlap among closely related species

Krosby, M., Wilsey, C., Duggan, J., Heinrichs, J., McGuire, J., Nogeire, T., Lawler, J., and J. Tewksbury. 2015. Climate-induced range overlap among closely related species. Nature Climate Change 5,883–886(2015), doi:10.1038/nclimate2699

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Comparing Large-Scale Hydrological Model Predictions with Observed Streamflow in the Pacific Northwest: Effects of Climate and Groundwater

Safeeq, M., G.S. Mauger, G.E. Grant, I. Arismendi, A.F. Hamlet, S-Y Lee. 2015. Comparing Large-Scale Hydrological Model Predictions with Observed Streamflow in the Pacific Northwest: Effects of Climate and Groundwater. J. Hydrometeor, 15, 2501–2521.

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Final Project Report: Regional Modeling for Windstorms and Lightning

Salathé, E.P. Jr., Mauger, G. S., Mass, C. F., Steed R., and B. Dotson. 2015. Final Project Report: Regional Modeling for Windstorms and Lightning. Report prepared for Seattle City Light by the Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Increased hospital admissions associated with extreme-heat exposure in King County, Washington, 1990-2010

Isaksen, T.B., M.G. Yost, E.K. Hom, Y. Ren , H. Lyons, R.A. Fenske. 2015. Increased hospital admissions associated with extreme-heat exposure in King County, Washington, 1990-2010. Rev Environ Health, 30, 51-64.

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Present-day and future climate pathways affecting Alexandrium blooms in Puget Sound, WA, USA

Moore, S.K., J.A. Johnstone, N.S. Banas, and E.P. Salathé Jr. 2015. Present-day and future climate pathways affecting Alexandrium blooms in Puget Sound, WA, USA. Harmful Algae 48: 1–11, doi:10.1016/j.hal.2015.06.008

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Projecting the hydrologic impacts of climate change on montane wetlands

Lee, S-Y, M.E. Ryan, A.F. Hamlet, W.J. Palen, J.J. Lawler, and M. Halabisky. 2015. Projecting the hydrologic impacts of climate change on montane wetlands. PLoS ONE 10(11):e0142960, doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0142960

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Riparian Climate-Corridors: Analysis Extension, Improvements, and Validation

Krosby, M., R. Norheim, and D. M. Theobald. 2015. Riparian Climate-Corridors: Analysis Extension, Improvements, and Validation. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Agreed but not preferred: Expert views on taboo options for biodiversity conservation, given climate change

Hagerman, S.M., Satterfield, T.  2014. Agreed but not preferred: Expert views on taboo options for biodiversity conservation, given climate change. Ecological Applications 24(3): 548-559.

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Climate and very large wildland fires in the contiguous western USA

Stavros, E.N., Abatzoglou, J., Larkin, N., McKenzie, D., Steel, E.A. 2014. Climate and very large wildland fires in the contiguous western USA. International Journal of Wildland Fire 23(7): 899-914, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/WF13169.

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Climate Change and United States Forests

Peterson, D.L., Vose, J.M., Patel-Weynand, T.  2014. Climate Change and United States Forests. Published by Springer, Dordrecht, The Netherlands. 261 p.

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Climate change and wind intensification in coastal upwelling ecosystems

Syndeman, W.J., García-Reyes, M., Schoelam, D.S., Rykaczewski, R.R., Thompson, S.A., Black, B.A., Bograd, S.J. 2014. Climate change and wind intensification in coastal upwelling ecosystems. Science 4 July 2014: 345 (6192), 77-80. DOI:10.1126/science.1251635

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Climate change vulnerability and adaptation in the North Cascades region, Washington

Raymond, C.L., Peterson, D.L., Rochefort, R.M. 2014. Climate Change Vulnerability and Adaptation in the North Cascades Region, Washington. General Technical Report, PNW-GTR-892. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station. 279 p.

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Climate Change, Sea Level Rise, and Flooding in the Lower Snohomish River Basin

Mauger, G. S., and S.-Y. Lee, 2014. Climate Change, Sea Level Rise, and Flooding in the Lower Snohomish River Basin. Report prepared for The Nature Conservancy by the Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Climate, fire size, and biophysical setting control fire severity and spatial pattern in the northern Cascade Range, USA

Cansler, C.A., and D. McKenzie. 2014. Climate, fire size, and biophysical setting control fire severity and spatial pattern in the northern Cascade Range, USA. Ecological Applications 24:1037–1056, http://dx.doi.org/10.1890/13-1077.1

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Estimates of Twenty-first Century flood risk in the Pacific Northwest based on regional scale climate model simulations

Salathé, E.P., Hamlet, A.F., Mass, C.F., Lee, S-Y., Stumbaugh, M., Steed, R. 2014. Estimates of Twenty-first Century flood risk in the Pacific Northwest based on regional scale climate model simulations. J. Hydrometeorology 15(5): 1881-1899, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-13-0137.1.

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Impacts of 21st century climate change on hydrologic extremes in the Pacific Northwest region of North America

Tohver, I., Hamlet, A.F., Lee, S-Y.  2014. Impacts of 21st century climate change on hydrologic extremes in the Pacific Northwest region of North America. Journal of the American Water Works Association. 1-16. DOI: 10.1111/jawr.12199

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Impacts of climate change on milk production in the United States

Mauger, G.S., Bauman, Y, Nennich, T., and Salathé, E.P.  2014. Impacts of climate change on milk production in the United States. Professional Geographer, doi:10.1080/00330124.2014.921017

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Northwest

Mote, P.W., Snover, A.K., Capalbo, S.M., Eigenbrode, S., Glick, P., Littell, J.S., Raymondi, R., Reeder, S. 2014. Northwest. Chapter 21 in Climate Change Impacts in the United States: The Third U.S. National Climate Assessment, J. Melillo, Terese (T.C.) Richmond, and G.W. Yohe, Eds., U.S. Global Change Research Program, 16-1-nn.

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Regional projections of the likelihood of very large wildland fires under a changing climate in the contiguous Western United States

Stavros, E.N., Abatzoglou, J., McKenzie, D., Larkin, N.  2014. Regional projections of the likelihood of very large wildland fires under a changing climate in the contiguous Western United States. Climatic Change 126(3-4): 455-468, doi: 10.1007/s10584-014-1229-6.

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Riparian Climate-corridors: Identifying Priority Areas for Conservation in a Changing Climate

Krosby, M., Norheim, R., Theobald, D. M., and B. H. McRae. 2014. Riparian Climate-corridors: Identifying Priority Areas for Conservation in a Changing Climate. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle.

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The climate-wildfire-air quality system: interactions and feedbacks across spatial and temporal scales

Stavros, E.N., McKenzie, D., Larkin, N.  2014. The climate-wildfire-air quality system: interactions and feedbacks across spatial and temporal scales. WIREs Climate Change 5: 719-733. doi: 10.1002/wcc.303.

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Uncertainty and Extreme Events in Future Climate and Hydrologic Projections for the Pacific Northwest: Providing a Basis for Vulnerability and Core/Corridor Assessments

Littell, J.S., Mauger, G.S., Salathé, E.P., Hamlet, A.F., Lee, S-Y., Stumbaugh, M., Elsner, M.M., Norheim, R.A., Lutz, E.R., Mantua, N.J. 2014. Uncertainty and Extreme Events in Future Climate and Hydrologic Projections for the Pacific Northwest: Providing a Basis for Vulnerability and Core/Corridor Assessments. Final report for Department of the Interior Pacific Northwest Climate Science Center. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle, WA.

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What is the importance of climate model bias when projecting the impacts of climate change on land surface processes?

Liu, M., Rajagopalan, K., Chung, S.H., Jiang, X., Harris, R., Nergui, T., Guenther, A., Miller, C., Reyes, J., Tague, C., Choate, J., Salathé, E.P., Stöckle, C., Adam, J.C. 2014. What is the importance of climate model bias when projecting the impacts of climate change on land surface processes?. Biogeosciences 11: 2601-2622, doi:10.5194/bg-11-2601-2014.

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Sound Transit Climate Risk Reduction Project

Whitely Binder, L., I. Tohver, A. Shatzkin, and A.K. Snover. 2013. Sound Transit Climate Risk Reduction Project. Federal Transit Administration (FTA) Report No. 0075, U.S. Department of Transportation, Washington, DC. Available at: http://ntl.bts.gov/lib/55000/55500/55558/FTA_Report_No._0075.pdf

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An Evaluation of the Utility of Fine-scale, Downscaled Climate Projections for Connectivity Conservation Planning in Washington State

Washington Wildlife Connectivity Working Group. 2013. An Evaluation of the Utility of Fine-scale, Downscaled Climate Projections for Connectivity Conservation Planning in Washington State. Washington Departments of Fish and Wildlife, and Transportation, Olympia, WA.

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An overview of the Columbia Basin Climate Change Scenarios Project: Approach, methods, and summary of key results

Hamlet, A.F., Elsner, M.M., Mauger, G.S., Lee, S-Y., Tohver, I., Norheim, R.A. 2013. An overview of the Columbia Basin Climate Change Scenarios Project: Approach, methods, and summary of key results. Atmosphere-Ocean 51(4):392-415, doi: 10.1080/07055900.2013.819555.

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Changes in 20th century extreme temperature and precipitation over the western United States from regional climate model simulations and observations

Dulire, V., Zhang, Y., Salathé, E.P.  2013. Changes in 20th century extreme temperature and precipitation over the western United States from regional climate model simulations and observations. Journal of Climate 26(21):8556-8575, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00818.1.

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Choosing and using climate change scenarios for ecological impacts assessments and conservation decisions

Snover, A.K., Mantua, N.J., Littell, J.S., Alexander, M.A., McClure, M., Nye, J. 2013. Choosing and using climate change scenarios for ecological impacts assessments and conservation decisions. Conservation Biology 27(6): 1147-1157, doi: 10.1111/cobi.12163.

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Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation in Washington State: Technical Summaries for Decision Makers

Snover, A.K., Mauger, G.S., Whitely Binder, L.C., Krosby, M., Tohver, I. 2013. Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation in Washington State: Technical Summaries for Decision Makers. State of Knowledge Report prepared for the Washington State Department of Ecology. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation in Washington State: Technical Summaries for Decision Makers – Executive Summary

Snover, A.K., Mauger, G.S., Whitely Binder, L.C., Krosby, M., Tohver, I. 2013. Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation in Washington State: Technical Summaries for Decision Makers – Executive Summary. State of Knowledge Report prepared for the Washington State Department of Ecology. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Climate Change in the Northwest: Implications for our Landscapes, Waters, and Communities

Dalton, M., Mote, P.W., Snover, A.K.  2013. Climate Change in the Northwest: Implications for our Landscapes, Waters, and Communities. Washington, D.C.: Island Press. 271 pp.

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Coasts: Complex changes affecting the Northwest’s diverse shorelines

Reeder, W.S., Ruggiero, P., Shafer, S.L., Snover, A.K., Houston, L.L., Glick, P., Newton, J.A., Capalbo, S.M. 2013. Coasts: Complex changes affecting the Northwest’s diverse shorelines. Chapter 4, pp 67-109. In M.M. Dalton, P.W. Mote, and A.K. Snover (eds.) Climate Change in the Northwest: Implications for Our Landscapes, Waters, and Communities, Washington D.C.: Island Press.

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Forest ecosystems: Vegetation, disturbance, and economics

Littell, J.S., Hicke, J.A., Shafer, S.L., Capalbo, S.M., Houston, L.L., Glick, P. 2013. Forest ecosystems: Vegetation, disturbance, and economics. Chapter 5, pp 110-148. In M.M. Dalton, P.W. Mote, and A.K. Snover (eds.) Climate Change in the Northwest: Implications for Our Landscapes, Waters, and Communities, Washington D.C.: Island Press.

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Incorporating climate science in applications of the U.S. Endangered Species Act for aquatic species

McClure, M., Alexander, M.A., Borggaard, D., Boughton, D., Crozier, L.G., Griffis, R., Jorgensen, J.C., Lindley, S.T., Nye, J., Rowland, M.J., Seney, E.E., Snover, A.K., Toole, C., van Houtan, K. 2013. Incorporating climate science in applications of the U.S. Endangered Species Act for aquatic species. Conservation Biology 27(6): 1222-1233, doi: 10.1111/cobi.12166.

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Introduction

Antrim, L., Miller, I., Whitely Binder, L.C., Tohver, I.  2013. Introduction. Chapter 1, pp.1-10. In Miller, I.M., Shishido, C., Antrim, L, and Bowlby, C.E. (eds.), Climate Change and the Olympic Coast National Marine Sanctuary: Interpreting Potential Futures. Marine Sanctuaries Conservation Series ONMS-13-01. U.S. Department of Commerce, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Office of National Marine Sanctuaries, Silver Spring, MD. 238 pp.

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Introduction: The changing Northwest

Snover, A.K., Glick, P., Capalbo, S.M.  2013. Introduction: The changing Northwest. Chapter 1, pp 1-24. In M.M. Dalton, P.W. Mote, and A.K. Snover (eds.) Climate Change in the Northwest: Implications for Our Landscapes, Waters, and Communities, Washington D.C.: Island Press.

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Key considerations for moving forward with adaptation in OCNMS

Whitely Binder, L.C., Shishido, C., Snover, A.K.  2013. Key considerations for moving forward with adaptation in OCNMS. Chapter 5, pp.153-168. In Miller, I.M., Shishido, C., Antrim, L, and Bowlby, C.E. (eds.), Climate Change and the Olympic Coast National Marine Sanctuary: Interpreting Potential Futures. Marine Sanctuaries Conservation Series ONMS-13-01. U.S. Department of Commerce, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Office of National Marine Sanctuaries, Silver Spring, MD. 238 pp.

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Optimal design of a climatological network: Beyond practical considerations

Mauger, G.S., Bumbaco, K.A., Hakim, G.J., Mote, P.W.  2013. Optimal design of a climatological network: Beyond practical considerations. Geoscientific Instrumentation, Methods and Data Systems 2(2):199-212. doi:10.5194/gi-2-199-2013.

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Physical effects of climate change in OCNMS: Altered hydrologic patterns

Tohver, I.  2013. Chapter 2.8, pp.60-66. In Miller, I.M., Shishido, C., Antrim, L, and Bowlby, C.E. (eds.), Climate Change and the Olympic Coast National Marine Sanctuary: Interpreting Potential Futures. Marine Sanctuaries Conservation Series ONMS-13-01. U.S. Department of Commerce, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Office of National Marine Sanctuaries, Silver Spring, MD. 238 pp.

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Potential effects of warming climate on visitor use in three Alaskan national parks

Albano, C.M., Angelo, C.L., Strauch, R.L., Thurman, L.L.  2013. Potential effects of warming climate on visitor use in three Alaskan national parks. Park Science 30(1):37-44.

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Restoring salmon habitat for a changing climate

Beechie, T.J., Imaki, H., Greene, J., Wade, A., Wu, H., Press, G., Roni, P., Kimball, J., Stanford, J., Kiffney, P., Mantua, N.J. 2013. Restoring salmon habitat for a changing climate. River Research and Applications, 29: 939-960. doi: 10.1002/rra.2590

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Steelhead vulnerability to climate change in the Pacific Northwest

Wade, A.A., Beechie, T.J., Fleishman, E., Mantua, N.J., Wu, H., Kimball, J.S., Stroms, D.M., Stanford, J.A. 2013. Steelhead vulnerability to climate change in the Pacific Northwest. Journal of Applied Ecology 50(5): 1093-1104, doi: 10.1111/1365-2664.12137.

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Temporal carbon dynamics of forests in Washington, U.S.: Implications for ecological theory and carbon management

Raymond, C.L., McKenzie, D.  2013. Temporal carbon dynamics of forests in Washington, U.S.: Implications for ecological theory and carbon management. Forest Ecology and Management 310: 796-811, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2013.09.026.

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The North Cascadia Adaptation Partnership: A science-management collaboration for responding to climate change

Raymond, C.L., Peterson, D.L., Rochefort, R.M. 2013. The North Cascadia Adaptation Partnership: A science-management collaboration for responding to climate change. Sustainability 5(1):136-159, doi:10.3390/su5010136.

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Tree growth and climate in the Pacific Northwest, North America: A broad-scale analysis of changing growth environments

Albright, W.L., Peterson, D.L. Tree growth and climate in the Pacific Northwest, North America: A broad-scale analysis of changing growth environments. 2013. Journal of Biogeography 40:2119-2133, doi: 10.1111/jbi.12157.

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Tree-species range shifts in a changing climate – detecting, modeling, assisting

Iverson, L.R., McKenzie, D. 2013. Tree-species range shifts in a changing climate – detecting, modeling, assisting. Landscape Ecology 28(5):879-889, doi: 10.1007/s10980-013-9885-x.

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U.S. strategy for forest management adaptation to climate change: Building a framework for decision making

Sample, V.A., Halofsky, J.E., Peterson, D.L.  2013. U.S. strategy for forest management adaptation to climate change: Building a framework for decision making. Annals of Forest Science, doi:10.1007/s13595-013-0288-6.

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Wildfire and fuel treatment effects on forest carbon dynamics in the western United States

Restaino, J.C., Peterson, D.L.  2013. Wildfire and fuel treatment effects on forest carbon dynamics in the western United States. Forest Ecology and Management 303:46-60, doi:10.1016/j.foreco.2013.03.043.

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Carbon dynamics of forests in Washington, USA: 21st century projections based on climate-driven changes in fire regimes

Raymond, C.L., McKenzie, D.  2012. Carbon dynamics of forests in Washington, USA: 21st century projections based on climate-driven changes in fire regimes. Ecological Applications 22(5):1589-1611, doi:10.1890/11-1851.1.

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Effects of Projected Twenty-First Century Sea Level Rise, Storm Surge, and River Flooding on Water Levels in Puget Sound Floodplains and Estuaries

Hamman, J.J.  2012. Master's Thesis, University of Washington.

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ENSO anomalies over the western United States: Present and future patterns in regional climate simulations

Zhang, Y., Dulire, V., Salathé, E.P., Qian, Y., Leung, L.R. 2012. To appear in Journal of Climate.

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Estimating seasonal uncertainties in paleo-reconstructed hydrologic variables, with applications to climate change assessments

Lutz, E.R., Hamlet, A.F., Littell, J.S.  2012. (in press).

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Estimating the water budget of major U.S. river basins via remote sensing

Gao, H., Tang, Q., Ferguson, C.R., Wood, E.F., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2012. To appear in International Journal of Remote Sensing.

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Moisture flux convergence in regional and global climate models: Implications for droughts in the southwestern United States under climate change

Gao, Y., Leung, L.R., Salathé, E.P., Dominguez, F., Nijssen, B., Lettenmaier, D.P. 2012. Geophysical Research Letters, 39, L09711, doi:10.1029/2012GL051560.

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Northern Rockies Climate Change Primer

Littell, J.S.  2012. Northern Rockies Climate Change Primer. Prepared for the U.S. Forest Service, Region 1, by the Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Ocean Acidification: From Knowledge to Action, Washington State’s Strategic Response

Whitely Binder, L.C., Washington State Blue Ribbon Panel on Ocean Acidification. 2012. Ocean Acidification: From Knowledge to Action, Washington State’s Strategic Response. H. Adelsman and L. Whitely Binder (eds). Washington Department of Ecology, Olympia, Washington. Publication no. 12-01-015.

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Paleoreconstruction of cool season precipitation and warm season streamflow in the Pacific Northwest with estimates of uncertainties and applications to climate change assessments

Lutz, E.R., Hamlet, A.F., Littell, J.S.  2012. Water Resources Research 48, W01525, doi:10.1029/2011WR010687.

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Potential trophodynamic and environmental drivers of steelhead (Oncorhynchus mykiss) productivity in the North Pacific Ocean

Atcheson, M.E., Myers, K.W., Davis, N.D., Mantua, N.J.  2012. Potential trophodynamic and environmental drivers of steelhead (Oncorhynchus mykiss) productivity in the North Pacific Ocean. Fisheries Oceanography 21(5):321-335, doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2419.2012.00627.x.

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Resource allocation under stress: The Snake River in Idaho

Slaughter, R.  2012. Resource allocation under stress:  The Snake River in Idaho. Climate Impacts Group (CIG), University of Washington, and Idaho Water Resources Research Institute (IWRRI), University of Idaho. A case study of the impact of institutional design on resource allocation and adaptation. IWRRI Report 201203.

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Responses to climate change integration challenges in the PNW

Peters, J.  2012. Responses to climate change integration challenges in the PNW. White Paper prepared for the North Pacific Landscape Conservation Cooperative. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle. 37 pg.

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Seasonal hydrologic forecasting: Do multimodel ensemble averages always yield improvements in forecast skill?

Bohn, T.J., Sonessa, M.Y., Lettenmaier, D.P.  2012. To appear in Journal of Hydrometeorology.

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Simulating the effects of climate change on population connectivity of American marten (Martes americana) in the northern Rocky Mountains, USA

Wasserman, T.N., Cushman, S.A., Shirk, A.S., Landguth, E.L., Littell, J.S. 2012. Simulating the effects of climate change on population connectivity of American marten (Martes americana)  in the northern Rocky Mountains, USA. Landscape Ecology 27(2):211-225, doi:10.1007/s10980-011-9653-8.

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The salmon MALBEC project: A North Pacific-scale study to support salmon conservation planning

Mantua, N.J., Taylor, N.G., Ruggerone, G.T., Myers, K.W., Preikshot, D., Augerot, X., Davis, N.D., Dorner, B., Hilborn, R., Peterman, R.M., Rand, P., Schindler, D., Stanford, J., Walker, R.V., Walters, C.J. The salmon MALBEC project: A North Pacific-scale study to support salmon conservation planning. 2012. To appear in Proceedings of the NPAFC BASIS Symposium.

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The State of Adaptation in the United States: An Overview

Hansen, L., Gregg, R.M., Arroyo, V., Jackson, L., Snover, A.K. 2012. The State of Adaptation in the United States: An Overview. A report for the John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation. EcoAdapt.

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U.S. National Forests adapt to climate change through science-management partnerships

Littell, J.S., Peterson, D.L., Millar, C.I., O'Halloran, K.  2012. Climatic Change doi: 10.1007/s10584-011-0066-0.

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